Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

+$178

Hit rate

29.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$483

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$630

1 position

First seen

2026-03-17

last 10-07 14:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

95% 0% -$6

Other

5% 33% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		+3,717	$452	17¢	$630	+$178	10-07 14:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$452	3,717	0	+3,717	open	—	10-07 14:23
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	1	$5	23	0	+23	No	-$5	03-17 12:27
djia up or down on march 17 2026	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	03-17 20:38
will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	2	$4	65	0	+65	Yes	-$4	03-26 22:33
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	1	$3	21	0	+21	No	-$3	06-18 12:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$2	4	4	+0	No	+$0	03-24 16:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$2	12	0	+12	No	-$2	03-17 12:33
coin up or down on march 18 2026	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	-$2	03-18 12:31
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	2	$2	5	5	+0	No	$0	03-18 12:23
will sp 500 spx hit 6600 low in march 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	03-17 13:36
spx opens up or down on march 18 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	-$1	03-18 12:25
will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	1	$1	18	0	+18	No	-$1	03-17 12:53
will gold gc hit low 4900 by end of march	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	03-17 13:35
nvda up or down on april 10 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	04-10 13:11
iran leadership change by march 31	1	$1	8	0	+8	No	-$1	03-17 12:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 14:23:44	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,963	12¢	$241	0xe5bc30…
10-07 14:16:01	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,753	12¢	$211	0x17a82b…
06-18 12:32:32	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xaeaa3c…
04-10 13:11:05	nvda up or down on april 10 2026	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4ed974…
03-26 22:33:49	will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	No	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xbbf850…
03-24 16:08:53	will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	No	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x563173…
03-24 16:07:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0xa35c87…
03-18 12:31:19	coin up or down on march 18 2026	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x6b4468…
03-18 12:25:05	spx opens up or down on march 18 2026	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4e8767…
03-18 12:23:35	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x175c3b…
03-17 20:38:31	djia up or down on march 17 2026	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1387eb…
03-17 13:36:59	will sp 500 spx hit 6600 low in march 2026	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x17a667…
03-17 13:35:53	will gold gc hit low 4900 by end of march	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x57f20a…
03-17 13:01:51	djia up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x0e778c…
03-17 12:53:51	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x665f61…
03-17 12:50:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x994207…
03-17 12:38:43	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x72ddcd…
03-17 12:36:55	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7b2fc9…
03-17 12:33:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x7d087c…
03-17 12:27:09	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x5dee87…