Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$129
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
3,180
lifetime
Volume
$160.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$51
Open exposure
$895
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 06-29 22:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
79%
Other
21% 100% +$1
Crypto
0%
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 208 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -767 $-909 100¢ $-763 +$145 06-02 23:29
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes -1,143 $-361 10¢ $-109 +$253 06-10 22:27
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes -1,241 $-77 $-13 +$64 06-30 15:27
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? Yes +36 $5 10¢ $3 $-2 06-25 19:28
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? Yes +224 $4 $2 $-2 06-25 19:27
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? Yes +611 $4 $2 $-2 06-25 19:28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-12 15:13
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes -450 $319 $-1 $-320 06-11 20:52
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? No +333 $3 $0 $-2 06-25 23:15
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? Yes +87 $1 $0 $-1 06-25 19:28
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes -94 $2 $-0 $-3 06-11 14:24