Genuine-Wrinkle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$311

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 05-06 12:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 39% -$44

Other

16% 100% +$9

Politics

2% 0% -$7

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	4	$58	48	33	+15	Down	+$8	05-06 12:30
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$49	29	29	+0	Yes	+$9	05-06 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$43	23	23	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$25	15	15	+0	Down	+$5	05-06 01:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$20	28	0	+28	Up	-$20	05-06 12:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 06:05 UTC	3	$16	74	10	+63	Down	+$5	04-09 06:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$15	18	0	+18	Down	-$15	05-06 12:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 00:15 UTC	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	-$10	04-09 00:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 05:10 UTC	1	$10	14	0	+14	Up	+$4	04-09 05:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 06:25 UTC	1	$10	18	0	+18	Down	-$10	04-09 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	05-06 00:47
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$7	6,770	0	+6,770	Yes	-$7	04-09 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$6	76	0	+76	Up	-$6	05-06 01:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 05:55 UTC	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	-$5	04-09 05:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 06:10 UTC	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	-$2	04-09 06:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 06:00 UTC	1	$1	12	0	+12	Up	-$1	04-09 06:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Up	-$1	05-06 00:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	-$1	05-06 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$1	33	0	+33	Up	-$1	05-06 12:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 12:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0xd099de…
05-06 12:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x667aae…
05-06 12:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xfbdb84…
05-06 12:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xb04c13…
05-06 12:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xee6d57…
05-06 12:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x133514…
05-06 12:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xfc759e…
05-06 12:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x776af2…
05-06 12:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x4fc9f1…
05-06 10:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x270fb7…
05-06 10:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x374556…
05-06 10:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xdbebd5…
05-06 01:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd32f65…
05-06 01:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x56d51a…
05-06 01:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xea9536…
05-06 00:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x8dd33d…
05-06 00:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb8b486…
05-06 00:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xcc132c…
05-06 00:44:58	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xb6eaab…
04-09 06:25:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x5665eb…
04-09 06:14:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xf43013…
04-09 06:11:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 06:05 UTC	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7e664b…
04-09 06:09:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xbb4e11…
04-09 06:07:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2671e0…
04-09 06:01:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf5db3b…
04-09 05:57:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8374bb…
04-09 05:14:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x383d0d…
04-09 00:19:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xc507e1…
04-09 00:16:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa55725…
04-09 00:14:09	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	6,770	0¢	$7	0x2ca250…