Physical-Icebreaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$88

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.2%

Resolved

233

Trades

541

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 05-17 00:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

72% 100% +$77

Crypto

27% 44% -$168

Politics

1% 100% +$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in nyc on february 20 2026 42 43f	7	$1.3K	1,294	0	+1,294	No	+$2	02-21 03:10
highest temperature in seattle on february 21 2026 50 51f	4	$998	1,016	0	+1,016	No	+$18	02-22 07:05
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 20 2026 34corhigher	12	$830	421	421	+0	No	+$8	02-20 18:24
highest temperature in nyc on february 15 2026 46forhigher	2	$638	639	0	+639	No	+$1	02-15 19:44
highest temperature in sao paulo on february 19 2026 33corhigher	3	$600	302	302	+0	No	+$2	02-19 17:39
highest temperature in atlanta on february 18 2026 54 55f	1	$525	526	0	+526	No	+$1	02-18 00:46
highest temperature in sao paulo on february 18 2026 35corhigher	3	$448	450	0	+450	No	+$2	02-18 10:19
highest temperature in dallas on february 16 2026 60 61f	1	$409	410	0	+410	No	+$0	02-16 14:50
highest temperature in ankara on february 15 2026 11corbelow	2	$394	395	0	+395	No	+$1	02-15 04:38
highest temperature in nyc on february 15 2026 44 45f	1	$244	244	0	+244	No	+$0	02-15 23:30
highest temperature in paris on february 17 2026 12corhigher	1	$224	225	0	+225	No	+$0	02-17 14:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 05:15 UTC	6	$203	416	0	+416	Up	+$18	03-23 05:16
highest temperature in paris on february 18 2026 6c	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	02-18 15:09
highest temperature in paris on february 16 2026 13corhigher	2	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	02-16 14:34
highest temperature in dallas on february 16 2026 64 65f	1	$198	200	0	+200	No	+$2	02-16 14:02
highest temperature in nyc on february 13 2026 44forhigher	1	$145	146	0	+146	No	+$0	02-13 05:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 04:55 UTC	10	$128	253	0	+253	Up	+$13	03-23 04:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 05:15 UTC	2	$125	84	84	+0	Down	+$41	02-06 05:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 03:15 UTC	3	$112	211	0	+211	Down	-$112	03-24 03:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 02:50 UTC	2	$105	125	0	+125	Down	-$2	03-24 02:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 05:30 UTC	8	$101	227	0	+227	Down	-$1	03-23 05:34
highest temperature in seattle on february 21 2026 48 49f	1	$100	119	0	+119	Yes	+$19	02-22 07:05
will trump say third term in march	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	04-03 02:24
highest temperature in nyc on february 19 2026 40 41f	6	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	02-20 04:26
highest temperature in miami on february 17 2026 86forhigher	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	02-17 14:30
highest temperature in dallas on february 17 2026 84forhigher	3	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	02-17 16:43
highest temperature in seattle on february 17 2026 39forbelow	2	$99	100	0	+100	No	+$1	02-17 14:47
highest temperature in sao paulo on february 20 2026 34corhigher	3	$78	57	25	+32	No	+$3	02-19 05:09
highest temperature in nyc on february 16 2026 46forhigher	1	$77	77	0	+77	No	+$0	02-16 15:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 14:00 UTC	2	$58	40	40	+0	Down	+$18	02-06 14:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 00:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x20190f…
05-17 00:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xdff10e…
05-17 00:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xe16175…
05-17 00:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xdf7e18…
05-16 23:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x0706be…
05-16 23:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x9ad259…
05-16 23:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x452039…
05-16 23:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x61d19f…
05-16 23:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xc8b383…
05-16 23:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x4dc17d…
05-16 23:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xd7d783…
05-16 23:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x63ddf6…
05-16 23:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xbe6a6d…
05-16 23:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xed3238…
05-16 23:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x8040a7…
05-16 23:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x65df3f…
05-16 23:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xd11a95…
05-16 23:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa5e71a…
05-16 23:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x237f20…
05-16 23:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x16bfe2…
05-16 23:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd132be…
05-16 23:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x2ad189…
05-16 23:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x27e26f…
05-16 23:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x53d710…
05-16 23:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x600ab5…
05-16 23:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc37e21…
05-16 23:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xe5b025…
05-16 23:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0xd7588b…
05-16 23:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x693fdd…
05-16 23:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x420911…
05-16 23:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x46b807…
05-16 23:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x4216d8…
05-16 23:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x07654e…
05-16 22:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x193860…
05-16 22:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	38	85¢	$32	0xf826da…
05-16 22:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	28¢	$9	0x6d3450…
05-16 22:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x66b429…
05-16 22:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	23	31¢	$7	0x6e7f07…
05-16 22:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	54	59¢	$32	0x92cf9e…
05-16 22:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x1071bb…
05-16 22:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xbc9b2f…
05-16 22:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xdb0810…
05-16 22:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x412248…
05-16 22:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x1655dc…
05-16 22:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1e6791…
05-16 22:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xae4a7a…
05-16 22:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xa51ec8…
05-16 22:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xc276c3…
05-16 22:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb2dc9e…
05-16 22:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x35bfc7…
05-16 22:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2cf330…
05-16 22:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x17ab1a…
05-16 13:02:39	LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	BNK FEARX	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x3d69cf…
05-04 19:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	22	10¢	$2	0x7d15da…
05-04 19:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x54bce8…
04-03 02:27:21	Will Trump say "N Word" in April?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xa49dcd…
04-03 02:24:39	will trump say third term in march	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa5f1d3…
03-24 04:02:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xb99248…
03-24 04:01:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xe01cec…
03-24 03:54:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xaa735b…
03-24 03:36:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x7f84eb…
03-24 03:31:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x37f8e8…
03-24 03:31:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x91385a…
03-24 03:28:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x30061a…
03-24 03:27:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x4b17e9…
03-24 03:26:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x2e9ff4…
03-24 03:24:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x63234a…
03-24 03:21:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x691f26…
03-24 03:19:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x80cfb9…
03-24 03:19:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xa55894…
03-24 03:16:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x867d0b…
03-24 03:10:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xa04024…
03-24 03:07:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 03:05 UTC	Down	SELL	23	43¢	$10	0x3d0219…
03-24 03:06:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x57a97e…
03-24 03:02:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x066b15…
03-24 02:56:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x41618f…
03-24 02:54:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	103	98¢	$100	0x514afc…
03-24 02:50:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xddfcfe…
03-24 02:46:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x04ad6f…
03-24 02:41:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa8ff7e…
03-24 02:39:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x1b3011…
03-24 02:36:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xee787b…
03-24 02:30:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x1090c2…
03-24 02:28:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xcb1e27…
03-24 02:26:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x52ed83…
03-24 02:25:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x05a626…
03-24 02:24:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x904fe2…
03-24 02:24:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa610a2…
03-24 01:57:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xcd1417…
03-24 01:50:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xfc2df5…
03-24 01:49:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb0fa5d…
03-24 01:48:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x81472f…
03-24 01:46:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x7a0e9f…
03-24 01:46:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x27448a…
03-24 01:45:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xcb860f…
03-24 01:39:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x319935…
03-24 01:39:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x8edf64…
03-24 01:39:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xd212bc…
03-24 01:38:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x06733e…
03-24 01:38:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x46d757…