Kaleidoscopic-Truth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.4%

Resolved

Trades

293

lifetime

Volume

$158.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$541

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 05-22 16:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 100% +$13

Other

10% 88% +$20

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	103	$124.3K	62,359	62,359	+0	open	—	05-22 16:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	10	$9.8K	4,890	4,890	+0	open	—	05-15 11:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	6	$4.4K	2,214	2,214	+0	open	—	05-22 16:21
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$3.4K	1,918	1,617	+300	open	—	03-31 14:52
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	2	$2.0K	1,004	1,004	+0	open	—	05-13 18:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	6	$893	457	457	+0	open	—	05-22 16:20
Pharos FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$811	412	411	+1	Yes	+$12	04-29 13:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	4	$800	414	414	+0	open	—	05-08 17:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$599	311	311	+0	open	—	05-08 16:59
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$574	288	288	+0	open	—	04-14 16:58
btc updown 5m 1775832600	5	$553	455	103	+352	open	—	04-10 14:54
btc updown 5m 1775412300	2	$420	213	213	+0	open	—	04-05 18:10
btc updown 5m 1775412000	2	$418	211	211	+0	open	—	04-05 18:05
btc updown 5m 1775387700	3	$407	235	203	+32	open	—	04-05 11:21
btc updown 5m 1775411400	2	$405	211	210	+1	open	—	04-05 17:55
btc updown 5m 1775410200	6	$403	233	215	+18	open	—	04-05 17:35
btc updown 5m 1775388000	3	$398	233	199	+34	open	—	04-05 11:25
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$310	301	9	+292	open	—	04-01 18:44
btc updown 5m 1775412600	2	$304	156	155	+0	open	—	04-05 18:15
btc updown 5m 1775412900	2	$301	153	153	+0	open	—	04-05 18:20
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$300	300	0	+300	Yes	+$0	04-15 18:46
btc updown 5m 1775413200	2	$300	152	151	+0	open	—	04-05 18:25
btc updown 5m 1775416200	2	$250	133	132	+1	open	—	04-05 19:15
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$250	250	0	+250	Yes	+$0	04-14 16:59
btc updown 5m 1775411100	3	$222	114	114	+0	open	—	04-05 17:50
btc updown 5m 1775411700	2	$202	103	103	+0	open	—	04-05 18:00
bitcoin above 78k on april 17	2	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	04-17 17:46
btc updown 5m 1775475600	2	$200	203	0	+203	open	—	04-06 11:44
btc updown 5m 1775475900	2	$200	255	0	+255	open	—	04-06 11:49
btc updown 5m 1775457000	2	$200	205	0	+205	open	—	04-06 06:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 16:21:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4a1b5b…
05-22 16:21:12	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x49fd11…
05-22 16:20:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	405	99¢	$401	0xcbf243…
05-21 19:55:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaaa7d6…
05-21 19:54:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x19e08c…
05-21 19:53:35	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2f8607…
05-21 19:53:28	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xa9cca9…
05-21 19:53:24	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa9d038…
05-21 19:53:17	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x3000fa…
05-21 19:53:12	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2af5fc…
05-20 08:12:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	205	97¢	$198	0x584740…
05-19 17:55:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	193	97¢	$186	0x6b0e12…
05-19 17:32:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x010869…
05-19 17:31:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0x59fc63…
05-19 17:31:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x4f6dd4…
05-19 10:57:35	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Francesca Jones vs Yelyzaveta Kotliar	Francesca Jones	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3581d1…
05-19 10:54:40	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,102	100¢	$1,099	0xc2ac17…
05-19 10:54:20	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,102	100¢	$1,100	0x236c11…
05-19 10:54:03	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,102	100¢	$1,099	0xc749e9…
05-19 10:53:58	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,102	100¢	$1,100	0x9b5912…
05-19 10:53:37	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,102	100¢	$1,099	0x2dfcac…
05-19 10:53:30	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,102	100¢	$1,100	0x9a9fcc…
05-19 10:51:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	1,102	100¢	$1,099	0x50d662…
05-19 10:51:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	1,102	100¢	$1,100	0x9957a8…
05-19 10:51:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	1,102	100¢	$1,099	0x6e497b…
05-19 10:51:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	1,102	100¢	$1,100	0xf11d70…
05-19 10:48:57	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,102	100¢	$1,099	0x355f6f…
05-19 10:48:41	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,102	100¢	$1,100	0x6d972a…
05-19 10:48:29	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,102	100¢	$1,099	0xe73fea…
05-19 10:48:18	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,102	100¢	$1,100	0xf245a9…
05-19 10:47:06	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xba2e5a…
05-18 15:38:42	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xf1b2b0…
05-18 15:38:00	Will Trump post "New York" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4d99c3…
05-18 15:34:04	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	301	100¢	$300	0x956dd4…
05-18 15:33:57	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x0849fd…
05-18 15:33:43	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	301	100¢	$300	0x1efaa1…
05-18 15:33:36	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x49fea9…
05-18 15:33:23	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	301	100¢	$300	0x648db7…
05-18 15:33:15	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x17478a…
05-18 15:32:55	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x09a217…
05-17 06:59:59	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x57dff9…
05-17 06:52:13	Spread: Nagoya Grampus (-1.5)	Cerezo Ōsaka	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc3dcd8…
05-17 06:48:01	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	301	100¢	$300	0x1faa52…
05-16 18:07:02	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x665c2c…
05-16 18:05:56	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x47ef1f…
05-16 18:04:28	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	201	100¢	$200	0x62193a…
05-15 11:53:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x523812…
05-14 11:31:34	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians	Mumbai Indians	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x116785…
05-14 11:27:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x839892…
05-14 11:27:04	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xba14ab…
05-14 11:26:47	Zagreb: Zsombor Piros vs Josip Simundza	Zsombor Piros	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x83b30d…
05-14 11:26:31	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x8e7e21…
05-13 18:11:23	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,004	100¢	$999	0xbfc083…
05-13 18:11:18	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,004	100¢	$1,000	0xad01dd…
05-13 18:10:27	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,003	100¢	$999	0x03ab32…
05-13 18:10:20	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,003	100¢	$1,000	0x00aea2…
05-13 18:09:16	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	2,372	100¢	$2,363	0x66ef3d…
05-13 18:09:09	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	2,372	100¢	$2,365	0xaac399…
05-13 18:08:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	2,370	100¢	$2,363	0xd374c2…
05-13 18:08:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	2,370	100¢	$2,365	0x117d8c…
05-13 18:06:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	2,370	100¢	$2,363	0x36680d…
05-13 18:06:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	2,370	100¢	$2,365	0x45e97b…
05-13 18:05:05	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	2,372	100¢	$2,363	0x47dbf7…
05-13 18:04:58	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	2,372	100¢	$2,365	0xe50151…
05-13 17:49:29	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x75b232…
05-13 17:49:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x90676b…
05-12 18:27:35	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Kolkata Knight Riders	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xf4c818…
05-12 17:54:17	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xf0f8d3…
05-12 17:52:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0d75a2…
05-12 17:51:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1937d0…
05-12 17:49:58	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe65fa6…
05-12 17:49:04	Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)	Levante UD	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x9b248f…
05-12 17:46:42	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	411	100¢	$410	0x7f89bf…
05-11 18:01:07	Counter-Strike: cirahvi vs TOOMUCHVIDEOGAMES (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season	cirahvi	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x4a1a90…
05-11 17:57:30	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	411	100¢	$410	0x195b96…
05-11 17:38:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x433cd8…
05-11 17:38:03	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x398831…
05-10 16:32:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd43121…
05-10 16:32:07	Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	INOX Division	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5d6975…
05-10 16:31:37	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xb3f51d…
05-10 16:24:23	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	241	100¢	$240	0xd3ac4d…
05-09 19:01:24	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x7dccc2…
05-09 18:57:45	LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	LOUD	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x549a0f…
05-09 18:57:33	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2fcf4f…
05-09 18:57:10	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Ignacio Buse	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x430234…
05-09 14:39:57	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb2f4a2…
05-08 17:46:43	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x582236…
05-08 17:45:40	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe402a1…
05-08 17:45:14	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Noemi Basiletti	Elina Svitolina	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x13d746…
05-08 17:01:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	104	97¢	$100	0xc2f119…
05-08 17:01:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0xe5e5fa…
05-08 17:01:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	311	96¢	$300	0x607aaf…
05-08 17:01:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	311	97¢	$300	0x105feb…
05-08 16:59:21	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	311	96¢	$299	0xff44e6…
05-08 16:59:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	311	97¢	$300	0x080869…
05-08 16:49:42	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	251	100¢	$250	0xa54694…
05-08 10:26:19	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0xadf11d…
05-08 10:25:21	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	2,975	100¢	$2,963	0x9ea936…
05-08 10:25:11	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	2,975	100¢	$2,966	0xd8e9d4…
05-08 10:25:04	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	2,975	100¢	$2,963	0xa7068f…