Nimble-Diploma — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$44.0K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.2%

Resolved

2,059

Trades

9,036

lifetime

Volume

$503.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-25 14:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 126 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 58% -$43,955

Other

1% 57% -$63

Sports

0% 75% +$2

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 667 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 10:30 UTC	3	$6.0K	3,749	3,698	+51	Down	+$1,373	03-17 10:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 03:00 UTC	9	$5.9K	3,793	3,730	+63	Down	+$56	04-14 03:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 03:50 UTC	5	$4.9K	2,927	2,874	+53	Down	+$591	04-14 03:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 04:05 UTC	2	$4.9K	2,786	2,762	+24	Up	+$687	03-17 04:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 04:00 UTC	8	$4.4K	3,376	3,303	+73	Down	-$334	04-14 04:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 03:05 UTC	2	$4.1K	2,158	2,155	+3	Down	+$141	03-17 03:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 03:05 UTC	11	$4.1K	2,501	2,450	+50	Up	+$496	04-14 03:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 01:35 UTC	13	$4.0K	3,556	1,651	+1,905	Down	-$747	10-17 01:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 03:20 UTC	5	$3.9K	3,637	1,500	+2,137	Down	-$954	04-14 03:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 05:10 UTC	13	$3.6K	5,037	2,476	+2,561	Down	-$2,031	04-14 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	54	$3.5K	2,584	2,584	+0	Up	+$1,207	09-09 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	54	$3.3K	1,955	1,955	+0	Up	+$338	09-09 07:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 01:45 UTC	10	$3.0K	2,634	1,400	+1,234	Down	-$248	10-17 01:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 04:30 UTC	8	$2.9K	3,938	3,798	+140	Down	-$1,101	04-14 04:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:25 UTC	26	$2.7K	1,532	1,532	+0	Down	+$255	10-17 00:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 03:35 UTC	4	$2.7K	1,741	1,686	+54	Up	+$740	04-14 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	6	$2.6K	3,387	3,387	+0	Up	-$1,356	09-09 07:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 03:25 UTC	2	$2.6K	7,584	0	+7,584	Up	-$2,594	03-17 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	6	$2.5K	4,974	0	+4,974	Down	-$2,500	09-09 06:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 01:30 UTC	5	$2.5K	1,381	1,365	+16	Down	+$163	04-14 01:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 04:50 UTC	5	$2.4K	1,491	1,455	+35	Down	+$476	04-14 04:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 06:00 UTC	2	$2.4K	1,262	1,253	+9	Up	+$107	04-14 06:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 01:50 UTC	3	$2.4K	1,294	1,286	+9	Up	+$24	04-14 01:54
bitcoin up or down on march 14 2026	94	$2.3K	97,394	498	+96,896	Down	-$2,308	03-14 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 01:55 UTC	5	$2.2K	1,777	1,738	+39	Down	-$302	04-14 02:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 06:10 UTC	1	$2.2K	2,361	0	+2,361	Down	-$2,164	04-15 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	27	$2.1K	1,212	1,212	+0	Up	+$127	09-09 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 03:15 UTC	3	$2.1K	4,276	0	+4,276	Up	-$2,126	03-17 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	25	$2.1K	1,173	1,173	+0	Down	-$61	09-09 00:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 01:35 UTC	5	$2.1K	1,095	1,092	+3	Up	-$4	04-14 01:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 14:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xd24b6b…
10-25 14:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xbcdaae…
10-25 14:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xa6aac2…
10-25 14:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x8207cc…
10-25 14:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0x4f0167…
10-25 14:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x0c066a…
10-25 14:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x26b53e…
10-25 14:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x9d3adf…
10-25 14:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	39	97¢	$38	0x55e2a7…
10-25 14:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x5389f0…
10-25 14:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	15	96¢	$15	0xad1135…
10-25 14:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xc37e43…
10-25 14:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xc07fc3…
10-25 14:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xa41bdf…
10-25 14:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x4840bb…
10-25 13:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x8ea229…
10-25 13:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0x80aa4b…
10-25 13:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x8664f7…
10-25 13:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x084f01…
10-25 12:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	17	93¢	$15	0xe3ee1f…
10-25 12:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x9b4355…
10-25 06:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	79	98¢	$78	0x49e27b…
10-25 06:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xbf40cf…
10-25 06:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0x52ca8e…
10-25 06:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x28aa43…
10-25 06:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x0de52c…
10-25 06:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xca64e7…
10-25 06:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x047e1a…
10-25 06:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x79acce…
10-25 06:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x02cbc9…
10-25 05:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa158cb…
10-25 05:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0x9d93bf…
10-25 05:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x9b31e3…
10-25 05:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x70de63…
10-25 05:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xc9abee…
10-25 05:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	92	98¢	$90	0x4839a1…
10-25 05:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x2537f7…
10-25 05:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	66	75¢	$50	0x64ee56…
10-25 05:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0xe2a61d…
10-25 05:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x33d942…
10-25 05:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x388bf7…
10-25 04:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x4551d2…
10-25 04:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x288659…
10-25 04:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xe85b50…
10-25 04:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	63	96¢	$61	0xb6ca54…
10-25 04:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0xe086bc…
10-25 04:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	59	99¢	$58	0x4ad78f…
10-25 04:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x01328d…
10-25 04:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe38726…
10-25 02:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x03a1be…
10-25 02:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x0fe148…
10-25 02:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x827520…
10-25 02:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xe51252…
10-25 02:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0xaded0c…
10-25 02:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x9d20af…
10-25 02:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x368c08…
10-25 02:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x1d8524…
10-24 17:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0xadb622…
10-24 17:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x61bd55…
10-24 17:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x0f8a88…
10-24 17:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xe2cd03…
10-24 17:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x873f8d…
10-24 17:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x7a0b22…
10-24 16:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x8f7af5…
10-24 16:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x5842b2…
10-24 16:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x2a1724…
10-24 16:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0a721d…
10-24 16:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0xf33a96…
10-24 16:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	15	97¢	$14	0x2d1483…
10-24 16:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x235041…
10-24 16:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x1e0a22…
10-24 16:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xff2651…
10-24 16:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xb09784…
10-24 16:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xcb8e4e…
10-24 16:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x073e3a…
10-24 16:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x2093fe…
10-24 01:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x59779f…
10-24 01:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x16c6ad…
10-24 01:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x3b4c90…
10-24 01:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xf40221…
10-24 01:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0x7e1bf8…
10-24 01:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x213848…
10-24 01:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x11363b…
10-24 01:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x6417b4…
10-23 22:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x20a0b8…
10-23 22:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x3b3fad…
10-23 15:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0x1e630f…
10-23 15:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x899d96…
10-23 14:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0x067933…
10-23 14:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x332ed5…
10-23 14:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x07548d…
10-23 14:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x1bcba5…
10-23 14:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xadb298…
10-23 14:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xa7929a…
10-23 14:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0xdc828d…
10-23 14:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xe8c970…
10-23 14:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x6ef806…
10-23 14:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x5da11c…
10-23 14:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0x934201…
10-23 14:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x68e90a…