Frail-Discharge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$202

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.2%

Resolved

1,126

Trades

1,899

lifetime

Volume

$30.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 10-28 01:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 144 days

Categories

Other

95% 69% -$202

Crypto

3% 40% +$5

Sports

2% 54% -$6

Politics

0% 60% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 8?	6	$368	426	+426	No	+$58	08-08 00:42
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5?	6	$368	414	+414	Yes	-$368	08-05 00:56
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 21?	6	$295	333	+333	No	+$38	07-20 23:09
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 7?	6	$275	303	+303	No	+$28	08-06 23:00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 14?	6	$270	309	+309	No	+$39	07-14 14:38
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 5?	5	$268	340	+340	No	+$72	08-05 07:23
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 2?	6	$268	320	+320	No	+$52	08-02 08:55
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 1?	5	$268	292	+292	No	+$24	08-01 00:43
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 31?	5	$266	332	+332	No	+$66	07-31 00:01
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 6?	5	$251	284	+284	No	+$33	08-06 03:15
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 30?	6	$249	323	+323	No	+$73	07-30 03:41
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 9?	4	$237	291	+291	No	+$54	08-08 18:00
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 31?	3	$235	278	+278	Yes	-$235	07-30 18:00
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 16?	4	$230	296	+296	No	+$66	07-16 02:32
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 30?	4	$219	256	+256	No	+$37	07-29 18:00
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 14?	4	$207	239	+239	No	+$32	07-13 21:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 15?	5	$195	222	+222	Yes	-$195	07-15 04:01
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 16?	5	$195	219	+219	No	+$24	07-15 21:15
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 18?	4	$185	206	+206	No	+$21	07-18 02:32
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on July 15?	4	$179	204	+204	No	+$25	07-15 00:01
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on July 19?	4	$179	192	+192	No	+$12	07-18 22:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5?	2	$175	210	+210	No	+$35	08-04 23:00
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 1?	2	$175	200	+200	No	+$25	07-31 14:00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 11?	2	$175	205	+205	No	+$30	08-10 11:30
Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on August 13?	2	$175	194	+194	No	+$19	08-12 11:30
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on August 17?	2	$175	210	+210	Yes	-$175	08-16 18:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 9?	2	$175	198	+198	No	+$23	08-08 20:00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 18?	2	$175	203	+203	No	+$28	07-17 14:00
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 17?	2	$173	199	+199	No	+$26	08-16 20:00
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 10?	4	$168	204	+204	Yes	-$168	08-10 02:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 01:09:35	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xec74aa…
10-28 01:09:33	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x9b73a5…
10-27 01:10:32	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x02c3d8…
10-27 01:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x284c0b…
10-26 02:10:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	47	42¢	$20	0x7877d0…
10-26 01:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xa8668f…
10-25 02:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x347945…
10-25 02:09:41	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0x911b38…
10-22 22:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x0ab864…
10-22 22:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	58	34¢	$20	0x2397c0…
10-22 22:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xdd6384…
10-22 22:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x1f736b…
10-22 22:10:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x6fc05a…
10-19 01:09:47	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x3940ff…
10-19 01:09:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x24922c…
10-19 01:09:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xfb1b00…
10-19 01:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xd67664…
10-19 01:09:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x00de84…
10-17 02:08:05	highest temperature in tokyo on october 18 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x6e8a08…
10-17 02:07:59	highest temperature in ankara on october 18 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x2e5a85…
10-15 03:09:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x760a38…
10-05 02:05:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x0a716b…
10-05 01:05:50	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xb977cd…
10-05 01:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xe1cff2…
10-05 01:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	53	37¢	$20	0x2c13ed…
10-02 07:05:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x05aa9d…
10-02 04:05:47	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xe8346d…
10-02 01:05:47	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0xaf0b0a…
10-02 01:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xd1bab2…
09-30 01:05:38	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	48	41¢	$20	0xd6a200…
09-30 01:05:38	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	47	42¢	$20	0x55cbad…
09-30 01:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xf4811d…
09-29 05:05:47	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xcd7d9f…
09-29 01:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xca8552…
09-29 01:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0xa851a1…
09-28 01:05:44	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xc4ec5f…
09-28 01:05:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xb5ebaf…
09-28 01:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x589b59…
09-27 07:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0x9349f0…
09-27 02:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0x5df90c…
09-26 01:06:11	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	64	31¢	$20	0xc57652…
09-26 01:06:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x45bae8…
09-25 02:05:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x3c7f7f…
09-25 01:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xdb7a5c…
09-25 01:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xe51fc9…
09-25 01:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x26f889…
09-25 01:05:59	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x386d22…
09-24 07:05:59	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0x65fcf2…
09-24 07:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x299842…
09-22 22:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0x083e47…
09-22 22:05:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x961060…
09-22 02:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xe647ac…
09-22 01:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x053ca7…
09-22 01:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x9dbcb5…
09-22 01:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	47	42¢	$20	0xb2efad…
09-21 01:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xfc76ba…
09-21 01:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x076ed7…
09-21 01:05:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x644e1c…
09-20 07:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xb7a29c…
09-20 05:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0xafc713…
09-20 05:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x5f7160…
09-20 03:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xaafc2a…
09-20 01:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x7f8819…
09-19 01:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x675fce…
09-19 01:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0x0db0cf…
09-17 02:06:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xba2045…
09-16 07:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x323daf…
09-15 01:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x2de953…
09-14 01:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xc5c078…
09-14 01:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x9f4903…
09-13 07:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xabf5dd…
09-13 01:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0xf2502c…
09-13 01:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x46082a…
09-13 01:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0x918106…
09-12 06:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 13?	No	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0xa45481…
09-12 01:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on September 13?	No	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x9c6cf4…
09-12 01:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on September 13?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x5ba423…
09-12 01:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 13?	No	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0xf71521…
09-12 01:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 13?	No	BUY	18	71¢	$13	0xaef672…
09-12 01:05:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 13?	No	BUY	19	69¢	$13	0x5a8421…
09-12 01:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 13?	No	BUY	19	69¢	$13	0x6536d3…
09-12 01:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on September 13?	No	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x4cad4b…
09-12 01:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	29	45¢	$13	0xedf4a8…
09-12 01:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on September 13?	No	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0x1caef6…
09-12 01:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 13?	No	BUY	17	78¢	$13	0x07d49d…
09-11 07:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 12?	No	BUY	23	58¢	$13	0x4d8008…
09-11 02:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on September 12?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x8a3a58…
09-11 02:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 12?	No	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0x442a34…
09-11 01:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 12?	No	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0x5058c4…
09-11 01:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 12?	No	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0xb9081f…
09-11 01:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 12?	No	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0x86380e…
09-11 01:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	32	40¢	$13	0x7bc168…
09-11 01:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 12?	No	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0x7462a3…
09-11 01:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 12?	No	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x02b406…
09-11 01:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 12?	No	BUY	19	69¢	$13	0x8f958e…
09-11 01:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 12?	No	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0x7bfe15…
09-10 01:06:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 11?	No	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xf8a515…
09-10 01:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 11?	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xb21d74…
09-10 01:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 11?	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xb60c03…
09-10 01:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 11?	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x5cdf3c…