Unwelcome-Demur — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$408

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

32.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 07-19 21:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 26% -$310

Politics

18% 0% -$56

Other

10% 100% +$5

Sports

2% 0% -$47

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	7	$346	3,986	3,986	+0	Yes	-$56	03-02 15:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 20:15 UTC	2	$221	469	444	+25	Down	-$16	04-03 20:19
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$195	453	453	+0	No	+$5	03-02 15:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 21:10 UTC	3	$183	407	132	+275	Down	+$70	04-05 21:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 21:25 UTC	3	$147	377	355	+21	Down	-$11	04-05 21:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 21:50 UTC	1	$124	4,520	0	+4,520	Up	-$124	04-05 21:53
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 20:20 UTC	1	$97	695	0	+695	Down	-$97	04-03 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	3	$89	83	83	+0	Down	+$59	05-15 15:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	3	$76	125	125	+0	Down	+$36	05-15 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	3	$69	719	0	+719	Up	-$69	05-15 16:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 21:00 UTC	2	$60	692	0	+692	Down	-$60	04-05 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$49	112	37	+74	Up	-$11	05-15 15:48
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$47	715	0	+715	Yes	-$47	07-19 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	3	$41	193	143	+50	Up	+$19	05-27 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$31	34	34	+0	Up	+$9	05-15 15:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 20:00 UTC	1	$31	102	0	+102	Down	-$31	04-03 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$20	332	0	+332	Down	-$20	05-15 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$16	32	0	+32	Up	-$16	05-27 15:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$16	211	0	+211	Up	-$16	05-27 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$15	52	0	+52	Down	-$15	05-15 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$10	40	0	+40	Up	-$10	05-27 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	-$5	05-15 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-27 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	$0	05-15 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$1	10	0	+10	Down	-$1	05-27 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	-$1	05-27 14:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 21:58:45	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	715	7¢	$47	0x24f6d6…
05-27 15:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0x930028…
05-27 14:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xdaeebb…
05-27 14:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd496e7…
05-27 14:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	143	21¢	$30	0xe677dd…
05-27 14:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x43f177…
05-27 14:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x510fd6…
05-27 14:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4acc09…
05-27 14:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	111	13¢	$15	0xc904cd…
05-27 14:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x1aab82…
05-27 14:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xda3dc4…
05-27 14:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x610509…
05-15 16:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	394	5¢	$20	0x204b69…
05-15 16:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	93	10¢	$9	0x7b8bda…
05-15 16:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	232	17¢	$40	0x951c6e…
05-15 16:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0xb65315…
05-15 15:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	74	20¢	$15	0xdf9c80…
05-15 15:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	37	52¢	$19	0x3f2018…
05-15 15:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	37	40¢	$15	0xe460f6…
05-15 15:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	238	2¢	$5	0x98c6f3…
05-15 15:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0x817551…
05-15 15:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	68	48¢	$32	0xef662a…
05-15 15:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	57	41¢	$23	0x2b80cd…
05-15 15:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x7e2d34…
05-15 15:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xe794b4…
05-15 15:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xeb5673…
05-15 15:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	34	59¢	$20	0xa2f2ce…
05-15 15:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	34	32¢	$11	0x1a0519…
05-15 15:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0x708d2d…
05-15 15:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	41	80¢	$33	0x711c68…
05-15 15:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	83	18¢	$15	0xf73a3c…
05-15 14:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x577dc2…
04-05 21:53:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4,520	3¢	$124	0x77ae67…
04-05 21:28:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 21:25 UTC	Up	SELL	355	19¢	$68	0x488def…
04-05 21:26:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	207	14¢	$29	0xe88025…
04-05 21:25:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	170	29¢	$50	0xd7b75a…
04-05 21:12:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	268	4¢	$10	0x49324e…
04-05 21:12:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 21:10 UTC	Down	SELL	132	93¢	$123	0x0f44e7…
04-05 21:11:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0xa3b0ee…
04-05 21:02:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	276	4¢	$10	0x37894e…
04-05 21:01:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0x435e02…
04-03 20:23:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	695	14¢	$97	0xfad4c2…
04-03 20:19:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 20:15 UTC	Up	SELL	444	23¢	$103	0xd84ad4…
04-03 20:18:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	469	25¢	$118	0xa24e8f…
04-03 20:02:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	102	30¢	$31	0xd54aba…
03-02 15:57:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	545	0¢	$1	0x393320…
03-02 15:55:55	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	453	22¢	$100	0x9d5dfe…
03-01 18:32:21	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	453	21¢	$95	0x73fa94…
02-28 21:50:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	545	3¢	$14	0x4a8b26…
02-28 20:16:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	3,440	4¢	$145	0xb9f78d…
02-28 20:13:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	908	5¢	$42	0x1c4162…
02-28 20:10:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	724	6¢	$43	0x9e1c01…
02-28 20:06:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,490	6¢	$86	0xc10918…
02-28 19:53:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	318	5¢	$15	0xdd0f31…