Modest-Ladle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$938

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.2%

Resolved

147

Trades

283

lifetime

Volume

$27.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$98

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 05-09 11:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 94% -$681

Other

26% 81% -$257

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-09).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in nyc on january 26 28 29f	14	$723	400	400	-0	No	+$27	01-27 01:39
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 03:45 UTC	1	$570	663	0	+663	Up	-$570	02-03 03:54
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 03:30 UTC	1	$508	571	0	+571	Up	+$63	02-03 03:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 03:15 UTC	1	$477	508	0	+508	Up	+$30	02-03 03:26
highest temperature in london on february 10 2026 13c	7	$468	240	240	+0	No	+$12	02-10 17:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 03:00 UTC	1	$455	478	0	+478	Up	+$23	02-03 03:08
highest temperature in london on february 10 2026 10c	4	$450	228	228	+0	No	+$7	02-10 11:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 02:45 UTC	1	$446	455	0	+455	Down	+$9	02-03 02:55
highest temperature in seoul on february 10 2026 4c	2	$399	222	222	+0	No	+$44	02-10 10:17
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 02:15 UTC	1	$377	411	0	+411	Up	+$33	02-03 02:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 02:00 UTC	1	$362	378	0	+378	Down	+$15	02-03 02:08
highest temperature in seoul on february 10 2026 1c	3	$344	178	178	+0	No	+$10	02-10 04:28
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 01:45 UTC	2	$331	363	0	+363	Up	+$32	02-03 01:54
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 02:30 UTC	1	$330	358	0	+358	Down	+$28	02-03 02:38
highest temperature in nyc on february 9 2026 32 33f	2	$317	167	167	+0	No	+$17	02-10 03:21
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 01:30 UTC	1	$315	331	0	+331	Down	+$16	02-03 01:41
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$303	307	0	+307	Down	-$303	05-09 11:24
highest temperature in nyc on february 10 2026 36forhigher	2	$286	441	0	+441	Yes	-$286	02-11 00:51
highest temperature in nyc on february 9 2026 28 29f	3	$285	151	151	+0	No	+$16	02-09 19:58
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$285	296	0	+296	Down	+$11	05-09 10:44
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$285	293	0	+293	Up	+$9	05-09 10:39
highest temperature in london on march 2 2026 15c	4	$279	146	146	+0	No	+$13	03-02 14:11
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	3	$274	278	0	+278	Up	+$3	05-09 10:28
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$273	281	0	+281	Up	+$8	05-09 10:34
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$267	272	0	+272	Up	+$5	05-09 10:19
highest temperature in london on january 26 7c	14	$266	298	180	+118	No	+$116	01-26 14:54
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$265	269	0	+269	Down	+$4	05-09 10:09
highest temperature in london on march 2 2026 14c	2	$259	135	135	+0	No	+$11	03-02 12:47
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 00:45 UTC	1	$256	278	0	+278	Up	+$22	02-03 00:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	6	$256	259	0	+259	Up	+$3	05-09 09:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 11:24:39	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x45f983…
05-09 11:23:50	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	272	99¢	$269	0x202e9b…
05-09 10:44:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	296	96¢	$285	0x8f3c96…
05-09 10:39:13	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xac6210…
05-09 10:38:53	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	288	97¢	$279	0x6c1ca5…
05-09 10:34:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	281	97¢	$273	0xf5b66a…
05-09 10:28:44	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0xf0c51b…
05-09 10:28:34	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xea3f05…
05-09 10:28:32	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	160	99¢	$158	0x0e5fb9…
05-09 10:24:31	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x538450…
05-09 10:24:29	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x5f2ac8…
05-09 10:19:05	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	272	98¢	$267	0x51c17f…
05-09 10:09:17	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	269	99¢	$265	0x0b4423…
05-09 09:58:10	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	261	97¢	$253	0xf0cdc3…
05-09 09:54:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0x2d3407…
05-09 09:54:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x17daf7…
05-09 09:54:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x101272…
05-09 09:54:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$7	0x4edc8b…
05-09 09:54:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	159	99¢	$158	0xd15c94…
05-09 09:54:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x49022d…
05-09 09:44:28	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	250	96¢	$241	0x5eaec8…
05-09 09:39:11	BNB Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	247	99¢	$244	0x77f65b…
05-09 09:33:37	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	244	99¢	$240	0x8f4505…
05-09 09:28:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	241	99¢	$239	0x462cab…
05-09 09:18:55	BNB Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	107	99¢	$106	0x15ad76…
05-09 09:17:57	BNB Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	132	99¢	$130	0x5e5961…
05-09 09:04:11	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	234	98¢	$229	0x00b938…
05-09 08:59:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	230	98¢	$226	0x6f717a…
05-09 08:54:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0xa34560…
05-09 08:53:25	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	150	99¢	$149	0x4cf44e…
05-09 08:48:59	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	225	99¢	$222	0x44eb9b…
05-09 08:43:58	BNB Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	222	99¢	$220	0x79e50a…
05-09 08:34:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	74	97¢	$72	0xbae366…
05-09 08:33:51	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	145	99¢	$144	0x53309c…
05-09 08:29:11	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	217	99¢	$214	0xb8fa9b…
05-09 07:14:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xf5bae1…
05-09 07:13:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	177	99¢	$175	0x611146…
05-09 07:08:29	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	206	99¢	$203	0xc44d4d…
05-09 06:59:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	203	99¢	$201	0x389900…
05-09 06:48:42	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	201	99¢	$199	0x6ac512…
05-09 06:23:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	196	97¢	$190	0x6aff6a…
05-09 06:17:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	193	99¢	$191	0x0cb378…
05-09 06:12:31	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	190	98¢	$186	0x6908ae…
05-09 06:09:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	188	99¢	$186	0x0dd1ff…
05-09 06:04:57	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	186	99¢	$184	0x2eec23…
05-09 05:48:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	182	98¢	$178	0x67e92b…
05-09 05:43:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	180	99¢	$179	0xa11395…
05-09 05:23:10	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	179	99¢	$177	0xda3881…
05-09 05:18:37	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	177	99¢	$174	0xc169bf…
05-09 05:13:50	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	175	99¢	$173	0xeb5411…
05-09 05:09:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	168	96¢	$161	0xbc58d7…
05-09 05:03:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	166	99¢	$165	0x2ceced…
05-09 04:54:19	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	165	99¢	$163	0x4e80e4…
05-09 04:49:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	163	99¢	$162	0x6f5694…
05-09 04:44:38	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	161	99¢	$159	0xb849e6…
05-09 04:39:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	160	99¢	$158	0x9508c2…
05-09 04:29:09	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	155	97¢	$151	0x1ee39b…
05-09 04:18:53	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	152	98¢	$149	0x33ad99…
05-09 04:13:41	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	151	99¢	$149	0xf68e9f…
05-09 04:08:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	149	99¢	$148	0x980101…
05-08 22:23:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	146	98¢	$143	0xb25394…
05-08 22:18:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	145	99¢	$143	0xd28357…
05-08 22:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	142	98¢	$139	0xcefb45…
05-08 22:08:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	138	97¢	$133	0x0bdef5…
05-08 22:04:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	135	98¢	$133	0xe31d2d…
05-08 21:59:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	133	98¢	$130	0x6c4feb…
05-08 21:24:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	132	99¢	$130	0x57da38…
05-08 21:18:33	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	128	97¢	$124	0x5d8352…
05-08 21:13:52	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	126	99¢	$125	0x6c5789…
05-08 20:09:56	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x71fb3f…
05-08 19:54:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	124	99¢	$122	0x8c02e4…
05-08 19:49:25	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	123	99¢	$121	0x701a9b…
05-08 19:44:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0x235ffa…
05-08 19:34:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	116	99¢	$115	0x8e1f3e…
05-08 19:29:21	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	119	99¢	$118	0x432e2c…
05-08 18:48:05	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 29°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xfa2829…
03-02 14:11:37	highest temperature in london on march 2 2026 16c	No	BUY	361	41¢	$148	0x443556…
03-02 14:11:09	highest temperature in london on march 2 2026 15c	No	SELL	146	100¢	$146	0x594a4b…
03-02 12:47:59	highest temperature in london on march 2 2026 15c	No	BUY	23	91¢	$21	0x5062bb…
03-02 12:47:57	highest temperature in london on march 2 2026 15c	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x9ffeeb…
03-02 12:47:55	highest temperature in london on march 2 2026 15c	No	BUY	117	91¢	$106	0x78961b…
03-02 12:47:01	highest temperature in london on march 2 2026 14c	No	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0x2b4156…
03-02 08:30:17	highest temperature in london on march 2 2026 14c	No	BUY	135	92¢	$124	0x0bc0f0…
02-15 11:20:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x64a054…
02-15 11:14:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	148	99¢	$147	0xcc97e8…
02-15 11:04:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	146	98¢	$143	0x3f79bf…
02-15 10:59:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	144	99¢	$143	0x9f47cf…
02-15 10:49:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	140	97¢	$136	0x4ecbe9…
02-15 10:44:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	138	99¢	$137	0x2c1056…
02-15 10:39:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	134	97¢	$130	0x4a52e5…
02-15 10:19:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	130	97¢	$126	0xf1f948…
02-15 09:59:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	126	97¢	$123	0xaa18df…
02-15 09:54:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0xbcd59f…
02-11 00:51:45	highest temperature in nyc on february 10 2026 36forhigher	No	BUY	426	65¢	$277	0xd96b1d…
02-11 00:26:41	highest temperature in nyc on february 10 2026 36forhigher	No	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xf218b8…
02-10 18:07:43	highest temperature in nyc on february 10 2026 32 33f	No	BUY	286	84¢	$240	0x100978…
02-10 17:54:49	highest temperature in london on february 10 2026 13c	No	SELL	240	100¢	$240	0x1bd755…
02-10 12:00:25	highest temperature in london on february 10 2026 13c	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x7c9428…
02-10 11:57:21	highest temperature in london on february 10 2026 13c	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x3325a7…
02-10 11:56:21	highest temperature in london on february 10 2026 13c	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x5a779d…