Adored-Applause — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

287

Trades

288

lifetime

Volume

$3.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-30 09:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 221 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$5

Politics

5% 89% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 14?	1	$26	26	+26	Yes	+$0	05-14 15:03
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$26	27	+27	No	-$26	05-15 05:00
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-02 14:16
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:50
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	26	+26	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:33
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:41
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-28 10:47
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:41
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-27 10:30
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:31
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:16
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on April 25?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-25 12:40
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-24 09:05
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:20
highest temperature in jakarta on april 22 2026 35c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:17
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$1	04-21 15:51
highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 15corhigher	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 06:26
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 20 2026 20c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 01:22
highest temperature in karachi on april 20 2026 34c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-20 16:46
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 15c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 06:10
highest temperature in lucknow on april 19 2026 42c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:08
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-19 05:40
highest temperature in moscow on april 18 2026 10c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:19
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 08:06
highest temperature in manila on april 17 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 10:20
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 54 55f	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 03:47
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 16 2026 31c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:06
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 05:53
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-15 14:47
highest temperature in wellington on april 15 2026 19c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-15 06:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 09:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x54f835…
10-29 07:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x208986…
10-28 04:57:08	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe4088f…
10-27 07:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4b8e0b…
10-26 05:30:38	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2e392c…
10-24 06:50:08	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9c77ee…
10-22 09:51:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xabd325…
10-20 04:36:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xd38432…
10-19 06:26:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce7ec4…
10-18 07:27:47	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x80908d…
10-17 07:20:41	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef4497…
10-16 05:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa1c64…
10-15 06:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1fd794…
10-14 07:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x825aea…
10-13 14:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5bb124…
10-13 04:19:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf9a93…
10-12 04:24:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22347c…
10-11 03:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x256567…
10-08 05:14:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ae6a8…
10-07 08:51:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeff903…
10-06 07:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5174d…
10-04 08:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6197f6…
10-03 03:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x741228…
10-02 07:20:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcce81f…
10-02 03:12:48	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72f0e3…
10-01 07:35:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51da58…
09-30 07:37:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9ee80…
09-29 07:12:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ce2d7…
09-28 08:13:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x901801…
09-27 02:28:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x134dc6…
09-25 07:26:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2fbbba…
09-24 06:41:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7ed715…
09-23 05:14:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8907a8…
09-22 06:13:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4950d6…
09-21 08:21:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27bd5f…
09-20 03:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad7ca8…
09-19 06:47:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8fd287…
09-18 01:09:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x517165…
09-17 03:30:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9f29c…
09-16 08:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x262b24…
09-15 23:33:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf30fe…
09-15 02:26:43	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71f7bd…
09-14 00:53:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa59542…
09-13 12:49:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0fc336…
09-12 07:27:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19d952…
09-11 01:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ce06a…
09-10 01:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x507e1e…
09-09 01:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc06f8…
09-08 01:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x74702f…
09-07 01:49:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe69d78…
09-06 01:13:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4904f8…
09-05 09:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a3bae…
09-04 08:17:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ceaac…
09-03 01:26:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3beeb2…
09-01 01:23:21	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2420f3…
08-30 00:13:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd3e7f6…
08-29 05:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe31c69…
08-28 01:29:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x766b30…
08-27 01:17:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x382cda…
08-26 02:01:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x46d7b8…
08-25 06:41:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe33f11…
08-24 07:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x713126…
08-23 07:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x79aca7…
08-22 06:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb22d64…
08-21 01:27:19	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd34ad…
08-20 05:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x392c47…
08-19 07:20:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83c80a…
08-18 00:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc377b5…
08-17 06:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1fc228…
08-16 01:44:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf65b14…
08-15 02:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ff911…
08-14 01:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8071e5…
08-13 00:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x013e81…
08-12 06:47:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4974d0…
08-11 00:20:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x23681d…
08-10 00:22:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8bc31b…
08-09 07:44:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4465ed…
08-09 00:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc4a10c…
08-08 00:19:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f944b…
08-07 00:25:59	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae5a3d…
08-06 00:23:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e3df2…
08-05 00:33:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6dcdec…
08-04 03:25:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x781e5b…
08-03 00:18:03	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xebd2bf…
08-02 00:20:41	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2f85d…
08-01 00:16:05	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf83f59…
07-31 07:09:32	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd35b1…
07-30 00:16:29	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef8b1d…
07-29 00:16:38	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24da19…
07-28 00:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x66a792…
07-27 01:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49392a…
07-26 01:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5bc4b4…
07-25 00:30:31	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc23e91…
07-24 01:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa34ac3…
07-23 00:30:01	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 98-99°F on July 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd3ee71…
07-22 01:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb300da…
07-20 23:35:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d1a9a…
07-19 22:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x292228…
07-18 22:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84a967…
07-17 23:44:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd8c33…