Worn-Sole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$52

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$16.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$308

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 06-08 23:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

76% 100% +$52

Other

15% — —

Crypto

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	7	$2.7K	2,083	2,083	+0	open	—	04-16 18:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$2.5K	1,275	1,275	+0	No	+$6	05-12 05:58
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$2.4K	1,223	1,223	+0	open	—	05-01 11:35
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	2	$1.7K	2,214	2,214	+0	open	—	06-08 08:08
israel closes its airspace by june 8	1	$1.6K	1,647	0	+1,647	open	—	06-08 23:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,246	0	+1,246	No	+$46	05-07 22:07
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	1	$1.2K	1,228	0	+1,228	open	—	05-30 17:45
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	3	$669	517	517	+0	open	—	04-12 04:19
btc updown 5m 1780610700	2	$290	223	223	+0	open	—	06-04 22:10
btc updown 5m 1775672700	2	$273	180	175	+6	open	—	04-08 18:31
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	3	$235	385	385	+0	open	—	04-12 04:19
btc updown 5m 1776108000	2	$222	125	123	+2	open	—	04-13 19:25
btc updown 5m 1776108900	4	$211	436	412	+24	open	—	04-13 19:39
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	2	$145	112	112	+0	open	—	04-12 04:19
btc updown 5m 1776109200	2	$112	248	237	+11	open	—	04-13 19:43
btc updown 5m 1780907100	2	$100	1,787	0	+1,787	open	—	06-08 08:29
btc updown 5m 1780610100	3	$76	443	26	+417	open	—	06-04 22:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$72	74	0	+74	open	—	05-30 17:47
btc updown 5m 1774731000	2	$50	32	31	+0	open	—	03-28 20:53
btc updown 5m 1774730700	2	$43	25	24	+0	open	—	03-28 20:51
btc updown 5m 1774731300	1	$19	83	0	+83	open	—	03-28 20:58
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$15	14	14	+0	open	—	04-07 23:11
btc updown 5m 1774730400	1	$11	27	0	+27	open	—	03-28 20:42
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$7	44	44	+0	open	—	04-07 13:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 23:12:39	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	1,647	100¢	$1,639	0x27df6b…
06-08 08:29:45	btc updown 5m 1780907100	Down	BUY	937	4¢	$41	0xdf1098…
06-08 08:29:45	btc updown 5m 1780907100	Down	BUY	850	7¢	$59	0x054c9f…
06-08 08:08:16	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	2,214	46¢	$1,022	0x671552…
06-07 21:00:52	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	2,214	32¢	$700	0xfdff71…
06-04 22:10:03	btc updown 5m 1780610700	Down	SELL	223	99¢	$221	0xba08b4…
06-04 22:09:46	btc updown 5m 1780610700	Down	BUY	223	31¢	$69	0xcd4993…
06-04 22:00:46	btc updown 5m 1780610100	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x6776bb…
06-04 21:57:48	btc updown 5m 1780610100	Up	BUY	417	6¢	$25	0xbea8aa…
06-04 21:57:46	btc updown 5m 1780610100	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x730b3f…
05-30 17:47:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	74	98¢	$72	0x52ddf8…
05-30 17:45:49	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	No	BUY	1,228	98¢	$1,200	0xe2d2f1…
05-12 05:58:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	1,275	100¢	$1,273	0x33c23c…
05-10 22:43:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1,275	99¢	$1,267	0xfa2cab…
05-07 22:07:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1,246	96¢	$1,200	0xa07bb6…
05-01 11:35:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	1,223	100¢	$1,221	0x88aeb9…
04-16 18:17:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1,223	99¢	$1,209	0x790010…
04-16 18:13:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	2,083	58¢	$1,209	0xe87454…
04-15 06:50:22	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	522	61¢	$320	0x664bac…
04-14 11:02:05	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	461	69¢	$319	0x4b50bd…
04-13 19:47:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	408	77¢	$316	0xfc4974…
04-13 19:43:29	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	122	77¢	$94	0xcdd3ca…
04-13 19:43:05	btc updown 5m 1776109200	Up	SELL	237	5¢	$12	0x35c940…
04-13 19:41:01	btc updown 5m 1776109200	Up	BUY	248	40¢	$100	0x7bccfd…
04-13 19:39:27	btc updown 5m 1776108900	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x7f1239…
04-13 19:38:49	btc updown 5m 1776108900	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x93c047…
04-13 19:37:23	btc updown 5m 1776108900	Up	SELL	411	27¢	$109	0x2c8de5…
04-13 19:35:37	btc updown 5m 1776108900	Up	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x8439ab…
04-13 19:25:37	btc updown 5m 1776108000	Up	SELL	123	99¢	$122	0x368566…
04-13 19:21:33	btc updown 5m 1776108000	Up	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xbeb4b5…
04-12 04:20:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	553	83¢	$459	0xf911d1…
04-12 04:19:57	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	517	59¢	$305	0x64ec6b…
04-12 04:19:53	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	385	22¢	$85	0xf90bfb…
04-12 04:19:49	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	112	62¢	$70	0x252b58…
04-09 16:28:13	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	445	70¢	$314	0x28fc6b…
04-08 19:31:07	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	112	67¢	$75	0x0acbd8…
04-08 19:28:55	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xe02fd6…
04-08 19:28:49	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x5f9cf8…
04-08 18:31:19	btc updown 5m 1775672700	Down	SELL	175	99¢	$173	0x96af54…
04-08 18:28:35	btc updown 5m 1775672700	Down	BUY	180	55¢	$100	0x669e7c…
04-08 18:18:59	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	271	37¢	$100	0x819734…
04-07 23:15:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	16	79¢	$13	0x40ab45…
04-07 23:11:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0x3a4c62…
04-07 13:19:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0xd99d1e…
04-07 13:18:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	44	3¢	$1	0x24fb1f…
03-28 20:58:00	btc updown 5m 1774731300	Up	BUY	83	23¢	$19	0xf55ef4…
03-28 20:56:20	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	44	12¢	$5	0x70c526…
03-28 20:53:00	btc updown 5m 1774731000	Up	SELL	31	81¢	$25	0x87d893…
03-28 20:52:44	btc updown 5m 1774731000	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$24	0xe54b0d…
03-28 20:51:42	btc updown 5m 1774730700	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x0f0d5d…
03-28 20:48:58	btc updown 5m 1774730700	Up	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0xe16a28…
03-28 20:42:24	btc updown 5m 1774730400	Up	BUY	27	40¢	$11	0x0639a2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	16	$30.7K	377	06-09 23:04
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	14	$43.8K	281	06-08 08:30
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	13	$8.64M	12,675	06-10 00:14
Skinny-Class 0xfc2f…10c7	13	$727.0K	2,087	06-09 17:11
Velvety-Rutabaga 0x9ddf…2c83	13	$325.0K	1,371	06-09 23:10
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	13	$203.5K	13,340	06-09 23:42
Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b	13	$27.7K	372	06-09 22:31
Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b	13	$18.4K	212	06-09 22:10