Fat-Switchboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

—

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

81 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$11.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$143

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-15 01:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

96% 0% -$6

Crypto

4% 98% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-15).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes		+50	$1	1¢	$1	$0	05-26 05:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	22	$11.2K	5,610	5,610	+0	No	-$6	01-12 07:31
bitcoin above 96k on january 20	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	01-20 05:17
bitcoin above 66k on april 9	1	$17	17	0	+17	Yes	+$0	04-09 09:30
bitcoin above 64k on march 25	2	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	03-25 07:33
bitcoin above 92k on january 15	1	$14	14	0	+14	Yes	+$0	01-15 07:25
bitcoin above 62k on july 15 2026	1	$13	14	0	+14	Yes	+$0	07-15 01:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	1	$12	12	0	+12	Yes	+$0	05-13 03:23
bitcoin above 76k on march 10	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	03-10 06:40
bitcoin above 90k on january 16	1	$12	12	0	+12	Yes	+$0	01-16 03:53
bitcoin above 54k on march 3	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	03-02 03:07
ethereum above 2900 on january 31	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	01-31 09:01
ethereum above 2200 on february 25	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-25 09:04
bitcoin above 84k on january 27	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	01-27 12:28
bitcoin above 88k on january 31	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	01-31 09:00
bitcoin above 96k on january 23	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	01-23 02:36
bitcoin above 92k on january 29	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	01-29 09:56
bitcoin above 60k on april 2	1	$9	9	0	+9	Yes	+$0	04-02 02:05
ethereum above 1400 on march 3	1	$9	9	0	+9	Yes	+$0	03-02 03:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?	1	$8	8	0	+8	Yes	+$0	05-02 02:00
ethereum above 2200 on february 17	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	02-17 11:37
ethereum above 3200 on january 25	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	01-25 03:51
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 2?	1	$7	7	0	+7	Yes	+$0	05-02 02:04
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$7	7	0	+7	Yes	+$0	03-18 02:12
ethereum above 3500 on january 19	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	01-19 06:25
ethereum above 3100 on january 27	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	01-27 12:29
bitcoin above 72k on february 17	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	02-17 11:36
ethereum above 2300 on march 10	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	03-10 06:41
ethereum above 1800 on april 2	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	04-02 02:06
ethereum above 1900 on march 25	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	03-25 07:33
bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	06-05 10:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 01:43:29	bitcoin above 62k on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$13	0x98a40a…
06-05 10:07:15	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa3ffc1…
05-26 05:52:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x516172…
05-26 05:51:48	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0cbef1…
05-26 05:51:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8d34c1…
05-13 03:23:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf70f73…
05-02 02:04:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x335284…
05-02 02:00:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x879c5f…
04-09 09:30:17	bitcoin above 66k on april 9	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9ccf14…
04-02 02:06:15	ethereum above 1800 on april 2	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9e7adf…
04-02 02:05:35	bitcoin above 60k on april 2	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0e23ef…
03-25 07:33:43	ethereum above 1900 on march 25	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x56f7da…
03-25 07:33:37	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c6aa4…
03-25 07:33:33	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x36db6d…
03-18 02:12:27	ethereum above 2000 on march 18	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x54419a…
03-18 02:12:21	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x1f1939…
03-18 02:12:15	bitcoin above 68k on march 18	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x57381a…
03-10 06:41:15	ethereum above 2300 on march 10	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf3a765…
03-10 06:40:31	bitcoin above 76k on march 10	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe9e23c…
03-02 03:07:59	ethereum above 1400 on march 3	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb89d2b…
03-02 03:07:03	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb86e67…
02-25 09:04:04	ethereum above 2200 on february 25	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7cdaf9…
02-25 08:01:14	bitcoin above 70k on february 25	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb379fb…
02-17 11:37:03	ethereum above 2200 on february 17	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x87be8e…
02-17 11:36:05	bitcoin above 72k on february 17	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xd907ee…
02-10 01:27:43	bitcoin above 66k on february 10	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x905bde…
02-10 01:26:47	ethereum above 1700 on february 10	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xee2547…
01-31 09:01:04	ethereum above 2900 on january 31	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd39e37…
01-31 09:00:58	bitcoin above 88k on january 31	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x11ecec…
01-29 09:57:12	ethereum above 3200 on january 29	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x56e6ad…
01-29 09:56:32	bitcoin above 92k on january 29	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbc8f58…
01-27 12:29:07	ethereum above 3100 on january 27	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe7820a…
01-27 12:28:25	bitcoin above 84k on january 27	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8678ba…
01-25 03:51:04	ethereum above 3200 on january 25	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc72e26…
01-25 03:50:58	bitcoin above 94k on january 25	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1889e6…
01-24 02:16:58	ethereum above 3200 on january 24	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x236c2b…
01-24 02:16:54	bitcoin above 94k on january 24	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x08a2a4…
01-23 02:36:42	ethereum above 3200 on january 23	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe6648f…
01-23 02:36:36	bitcoin above 96k on january 23	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4e1211…
01-22 08:42:56	ethereum above 3200 on january 22	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa86578…
01-22 08:42:50	bitcoin above 94k on january 22	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcdab22…
01-21 05:01:50	ethereum above 3200 on january 21	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3a05a5…
01-21 05:01:20	bitcoin above 94k on january 21	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xed79ed…
01-20 05:17:54	ethereum above 3400 on january 20	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8d6156…
01-20 05:17:46	bitcoin above 96k on january 20	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x3d9f5a…
01-19 06:25:50	ethereum above 3500 on january 19	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8c2cd5…
01-19 06:25:38	bitcoin above 96k on january 19	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbbcfa5…
01-16 03:53:36	ethereum above 3600 on january 16	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xad031a…
01-16 03:53:30	bitcoin above 90k on january 16	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf653cc…
01-15 07:25:32	ethereum above 3600 on january 15	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe89a49…
01-15 07:25:24	bitcoin above 92k on january 15	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc49995…
01-14 06:02:20	ethereum above 3000 on january 14	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8f0a58…
01-14 06:02:10	bitcoin above 88k on january 14	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8b221c…
01-13 04:54:01	ethereum above 3500 on january 13	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x439834…
01-13 04:53:57	bitcoin above 96k on january 13	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x41caa3…
01-12 07:33:08	ethereum above 2700 on january 12	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf79cd4…
01-12 07:32:56	bitcoin above 86k on january 12	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xd424e2…
01-12 07:31:48	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0x89523b…
01-12 07:31:26	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x3015e7…
01-12 07:29:46	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0xddd4ef…
01-12 07:29:36	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x32ddce…
01-12 07:28:40	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0xe9eb53…
01-12 07:26:54	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xb989fc…
01-12 07:26:28	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0x6be448…
01-12 07:26:04	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x46d413…
01-12 07:25:46	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0x5b87fa…
01-12 07:25:18	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x8550ef…
01-12 07:24:38	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0x65bf57…
01-12 07:24:34	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x03da95…
01-12 07:24:24	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0x179fbf…
01-12 07:24:04	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xd95cc2…
01-12 07:23:44	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	520	100¢	$518	0x752cda…
01-12 07:22:04	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	520	100¢	$519	0x02ed5e…
01-12 07:21:54	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	530	100¢	$528	0x72c393…
01-12 07:21:38	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	530	100¢	$529	0x04ac3e…
01-12 07:21:32	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	530	100¢	$528	0x2ba321…
01-12 07:21:26	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	530	100¢	$529	0x10426d…
01-12 07:20:52	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	530	100¢	$528	0x12f164…
01-12 07:20:34	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	530	100¢	$529	0xc00103…
01-05 07:54:55	ethereum above 2800 on january 5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xadc7f8…
01-05 07:54:35	bitcoin above 86k on january 5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5406e2…