Phony-Chassis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$106

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.5%

Resolved

Trades

104

lifetime

Volume

$2.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 10-05 10:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 59% +$106

Sports

0% 100% +$5

Other

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	13	$437	341	341	+0	Down	+$37	05-02 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	6	$211	150	150	+0	Up	+$11	05-02 03:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 09:15 UTC	2	$139	94	92	+1	Up	+$40	03-17 09:24
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 09:15 UTC	5	$138	93	91	+1	Up	+$39	03-17 09:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 10:15 UTC	3	$113	74	73	+1	Up	+$34	03-17 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	4	$108	102	102	+0	Down	+$8	05-02 04:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 09:05 UTC	2	$92	74	73	+1	Up	+$53	03-17 09:10
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 12:00 UTC	2	$86	59	58	+1	Down	+$26	03-17 12:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 13:55 UTC	3	$86	58	57	+1	Up	+$27	03-17 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 13:30 UTC	2	$85	57	56	+1	Up	+$26	03-17 13:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 13:40 UTC	8	$84	66	65	+1	Down	+$45	03-17 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	5	$72	39	39	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 03:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 13:35 UTC	2	$64	45	45	+1	Up	+$25	03-17 13:39
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 08:50 UTC	7	$61	42	41	+1	Down	+$21	03-17 08:54
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 10:15 UTC	2	$60	114	0	+114	Down	-$60	03-17 10:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 08:50 UTC	2	$57	38	38	+1	Down	+$18	03-17 08:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 08:45 UTC	2	$57	38	37	+1	Down	+$17	03-17 08:50
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 10:00 UTC	1	$50	95	0	+95	Down	-$50	03-17 09:55
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 10:00 UTC	1	$50	93	0	+93	Down	-$50	03-17 09:55
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 10:00 UTC	1	$50	93	0	+93	Down	-$50	03-17 09:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 10:00 UTC	1	$50	94	0	+94	Down	-$50	03-17 09:54
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 10:15 UTC	3	$50	112	0	+112	Up	+$62	03-17 10:18
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 10:15 UTC	1	$30	55	0	+55	Up	+$25	03-17 10:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 09:00 UTC	1	$30	58	0	+58	Down	-$30	03-17 08:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 11:30 UTC	1	$30	57	0	+57	Up	-$30	03-17 11:28
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 08:55 UTC	1	$30	58	0	+58	Down	-$30	03-17 08:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 13:45 UTC	1	$30	59	0	+59	Up	-$30	03-17 13:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 11:30 UTC	1	$30	56	0	+56	Up	-$30	03-17 11:24
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 11:30 UTC	1	$30	56	0	+56	Up	-$30	03-17 11:28
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 09:00 UTC	1	$30	54	0	+54	Down	-$30	03-17 08:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 10:12:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0x96ea85…
10-05 10:08:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xb43bdb…
08-20 09:57:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x54a185…
08-20 09:49:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x00ca82…
08-20 09:44:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xab7b03…
08-20 09:35:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x026ecc…
07-26 07:37:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x257be7…
07-26 07:37:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x9655ae…
07-05 09:18:28	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe59aa2…
05-13 03:25:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf274e3…
05-13 03:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0xa68a64…
05-13 03:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xaea0ff…
05-13 03:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xc903aa…
05-13 03:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	28	91¢	$25	0x19edba…
05-13 03:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x4f101e…
05-06 08:38:14	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	DN SOOPers	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xd392c5…
05-02 04:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	42	57¢	$24	0xb86304…
05-02 04:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xc3817b…
05-02 04:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	60	57¢	$34	0x919139…
05-02 04:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xd30534…
05-02 04:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	32	86¢	$27	0x2fc70a…
05-02 04:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x7664c6…
05-02 04:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	39	71¢	$28	0x0293b1…
05-02 04:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x72ca0c…
05-02 04:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	68	75¢	$51	0x95ae45…
05-02 04:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x8d018b…
05-02 04:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xe29d3f…
05-02 04:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0x51bced…
05-02 04:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xcca223…
05-02 04:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xa759fd…
05-02 04:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	102	54¢	$55	0x0716c1…
05-02 04:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x74e9f9…
05-02 04:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x6ffcf9…
05-02 03:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	59	96¢	$56	0x0bcaf4…
05-02 03:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x53b54c…
05-02 03:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xcd9c87…
05-02 03:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	91	60¢	$55	0x7ec4cd…
05-02 03:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xe97ea8…
05-02 03:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xf2e493…
04-29 05:50:54	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf216c5…
04-29 05:50:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x115d5a…
03-18 03:00:53	nhl buf las 2026 03 17	Sabres	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x5b421f…
03-17 13:59:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 13:55 UTC	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xc4f6bd…
03-17 13:59:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 13:55 UTC	Up	SELL	48	99¢	$47	0x397f84…
03-17 13:53:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x752e1b…
03-17 13:43:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 13:40 UTC	Down	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0xfeaafd…
03-17 13:43:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 13:40 UTC	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xcea027…
03-17 13:43:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 13:40 UTC	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xba4230…
03-17 13:43:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 13:40 UTC	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0xac4b19…
03-17 13:43:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 13:40 UTC	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0x2a6533…
03-17 13:43:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 13:40 UTC	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x05cf2c…
03-17 13:43:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 13:40 UTC	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x631475…
03-17 13:43:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xa7a36e…
03-17 13:41:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	66	30¢	$20	0xd8c72c…
03-17 13:39:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 13:35 UTC	Up	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x114495…
03-17 13:35:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x13ba43…
03-17 13:33:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 13:30 UTC	Up	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0x5c5d36…
03-17 13:28:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x0cd3e3…
03-17 12:36:33	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x0b119d…
03-17 12:19:07	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0xd341b7…
03-17 12:11:47	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	58	97¢	$56	0x6eb334…
03-17 11:57:53	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xcad34f…
03-17 11:28:57	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0xe1368c…
03-17 11:28:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x36023c…
03-17 11:24:13	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0xb00e7a…
03-17 10:48:57	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x4c1c1a…
03-17 10:35:17	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x237445…
03-17 10:29:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 10:15 UTC	Up	SELL	73	99¢	$73	0xf070f6…
03-17 10:18:53	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xad0444…
03-17 10:17:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xc9671d…
03-17 10:16:23	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x3e3d0b…
03-17 10:16:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x8a3fbe…
03-17 10:15:15	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x7a359d…
03-17 10:14:27	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	55	54¢	$30	0xb15ff5…
03-17 10:14:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x5d69a7…
03-17 10:13:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0xc54c2c…
03-17 09:56:11	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x24922a…
03-17 09:55:47	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xfc242d…
03-17 09:55:05	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	95	53¢	$50	0xdb0d40…
03-17 09:54:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xef078d…
03-17 09:24:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	92	96¢	$89	0x1df9ed…
03-17 09:23:17	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x283688…
03-17 09:23:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xea4aad…
03-17 09:23:11	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xf51c6f…
03-17 09:23:07	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	68	96¢	$66	0x0e3d4e…
03-17 09:13:47	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x64dd4f…
03-17 09:11:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xb8f294…
03-17 09:10:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 09:05 UTC	Up	SELL	73	98¢	$72	0xcc8e61…
03-17 09:06:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x89db63…
03-17 08:58:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xa4ac8d…
03-17 08:58:19	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	54	55¢	$30	0xdc46ab…
03-17 08:54:39	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 08:50 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb5f709…
03-17 08:54:39	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 08:50 UTC	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x8ef32c…
03-17 08:54:37	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 08:50 UTC	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe0ab77…
03-17 08:54:37	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 08:50 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x71444b…
03-17 08:54:37	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 08:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5d210b…
03-17 08:54:37	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 08:50 UTC	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x38d01c…
03-17 08:54:37	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x36a647…
03-17 08:54:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 08:50 UTC	Down	SELL	38	99¢	$37	0xdde9a5…
03-17 08:54:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xf255a3…