Known-Task — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$121

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.2%

Resolved

141

Trades

12,612

lifetime

Volume

$197.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 07-01 06:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 59% $-121

Other

4% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 403 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx opens up or down on march 27 2026	9	$2.9K	1,917	1,917	+0	open	—	03-27 13:40
btc updown 5m 1774884900	33	$2.8K	2,585	1,679	+906	open	—	03-30 15:37
btc updown 5m 1774884300	67	$2.0K	1,796	952	+843	open	—	03-30 15:27
spx opens up or down on march 26 2026	3	$1.8K	1,160	1,160	+0	open	—	03-26 13:45
btc updown 5m 1774877700	10	$1.4K	1,441	805	+635	open	—	03-30 13:39
btc updown 5m 1774878000	34	$1.3K	1,175	724	+451	open	—	03-30 13:44
btc updown 5m 1774878900	49	$1.3K	1,204	636	+568	open	—	03-30 13:58
btc updown 5m 1774971600	2	$901	769	376	+393	open	—	03-31 15:44
btc updown 5m 1775230200	52	$895	995	995	+0	open	—	04-03 15:34
spx opens up or down on march 17 2026	9	$846	1,152	0	+1,152	open	—	03-17 10:16
btc updown 5m 1775715300	11	$831	651	455	+196	open	—	04-09 06:19
btc updown 5m 1774854000	13	$800	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-30 07:04
btc updown 5m 1775383200	7	$791	757	524	+233	open	—	04-05 10:05
btc updown 5m 1774877100	40	$764	785	194	+591	open	—	03-30 13:29
btc updown 5m 1774853100	33	$756	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	03-30 06:49
btc updown 5m 1774879500	26	$755	572	457	+115	open	—	03-30 14:09
btc updown 5m 1774863600	27	$745	800	301	+499	open	—	03-30 09:43
btc updown 5m 1775298300	18	$720	600	410	+190	open	—	04-04 10:30
btc updown 5m 1774854900	70	$710	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	03-30 07:19
btc updown 5m 1774863000	16	$710	800	200	+600	open	—	03-30 09:34
btc updown 5m 1775215200	25	$708	500	312	+188	open	—	04-03 11:24
btc updown 5m 1775230800	10	$703	438	426	+11	open	—	04-03 15:45
btc updown 5m 1774973100	2	$700	1,252	0	+1,252	open	—	03-31 16:05
btc updown 5m 1774858200	38	$692	946	300	+646	open	—	03-30 08:14
btc updown 5m 1774869300	33	$680	829	0	+829	open	—	03-30 11:16
btc updown 5m 1775226000	11	$628	600	259	+341	open	—	04-03 14:25
btc updown 5m 1774881900	5	$612	819	205	+614	open	—	03-30 14:48
btc updown 5m 1774879200	14	$593	600	290	+310	open	—	03-30 14:04
btc updown 5m 1775227200	16	$592	440	301	+139	open	—	04-03 14:44
btc updown 5m 1775228100	6	$590	700	396	+304	open	—	04-03 14:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 11:51:46	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xfe8771…
07-01 11:51:44	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	8	33¢	$2	0x7587bb…
07-01 11:48:44	btc updown 5m 1782906300	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xb9c2b1…
07-01 11:04:23	btc updown 5m 1782903600	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xbae8c8…
07-01 11:01:32	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x7f4a8a…
07-01 10:23:49	btc updown 5m 1782901200	Down	BUY	77	21¢	$16	0xcf3f3b…
07-01 10:22:59	btc updown 5m 1782901200	Down	SELL	62	23¢	$14	0x034640…
07-01 10:22:08	btc updown 5m 1782901200	Down	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x5da12b…
07-01 10:19:05	btc updown 5m 1782900900	Down	BUY	32	30¢	$10	0x191c8c…
07-01 09:57:11	btc updown 5m 1782899700	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x77d39b…
07-01 09:57:11	btc updown 5m 1782899700	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x6652ab…
07-01 09:57:11	btc updown 5m 1782899700	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x23b7d1…
07-01 09:57:10	btc updown 5m 1782899700	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4ce539…
07-01 09:57:07	btc updown 5m 1782899700	Down	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x83b049…
07-01 09:55:08	btc updown 15m 1782899100	Down	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0x5d737a…
07-01 09:54:23	btc updown 15m 1782899100	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x963910…
07-01 09:52:14	btc updown 5m 1782899400	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xb208c7…
07-01 09:51:28	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	17	16¢	$3	0x7229ea…
07-01 09:49:14	btc updown 5m 1782899100	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xf29bac…
07-01 09:40:41	btc updown 5m 1782898800	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8f4173…
07-01 09:34:17	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0xeb1d29…
07-01 09:33:28	btc updown 15m 1782898200	Down	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xef4657…
07-01 09:29:20	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5a7cbd…
07-01 09:29:14	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x2d6810…
07-01 09:25:49	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x061fb2…
07-01 09:24:59	btc updown 15m 1782897300	Up	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x770308…
07-01 09:24:41	btc updown 15m 1782897300	Up	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x1b68ec…
07-01 09:24:17	btc updown 15m 1782897300	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x95743c…
07-01 09:23:01	btc updown 5m 1782897600	Up	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0xfe9644…
07-01 09:22:47	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x50e38a…
07-01 09:22:29	btc updown 15m 1782897300	Down	BUY	13	66¢	$9	0xa9eada…
07-01 09:22:23	btc updown 15m 1782897300	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x902be0…
07-01 09:21:53	btc updown 5m 1782897600	Down	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x09cfe6…
07-01 08:57:35	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4f4f70…
07-01 08:57:02	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xe8c913…
07-01 08:57:01	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x1d7a8b…
07-01 08:56:19	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x2aa067…
07-01 08:55:29	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0x283103…
07-01 08:55:25	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x3f7ec4…
07-01 08:55:23	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x06f190…
07-01 08:54:55	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x8ccbaa…
07-01 08:54:52	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x744699…
07-01 08:54:25	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x0bba61…
07-01 08:54:19	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x6b6fe2…
07-01 08:53:29	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0xd615d8…
07-01 08:53:23	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0xc12c67…
07-01 08:53:16	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xb0bc9c…
07-01 08:53:07	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x60bb3a…
07-01 08:52:19	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xd43248…
07-01 08:51:20	btc updown 5m 1782895800	Up	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0xba33b6…
07-01 08:51:20	btc updown 5m 1782895800	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x9b93bb…
07-01 08:51:20	btc updown 5m 1782895800	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x8150f0…
07-01 08:48:56	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x0f9ff1…
07-01 08:47:16	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x46c348…
07-01 08:45:08	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xb3162f…
07-01 08:44:22	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x59a84a…
07-01 08:43:14	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0xa11414…
07-01 08:41:43	btc updown 5m 1782895200	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x767516…
07-01 08:41:41	btc updown 5m 1782895200	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x561a1c…
07-01 08:41:41	btc updown 5m 1782895200	Up	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x2a66e2…
07-01 08:40:35	btc updown 15m 1782894600	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x8502bc…
07-01 08:40:35	btc updown 15m 1782894600	Down	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x020b86…
07-01 08:38:19	btc updown 5m 1782894900	Down	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x252b15…
07-01 08:35:32	btc updown 15m 1782894600	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x2aa82d…
07-01 08:35:32	btc updown 15m 1782894600	Down	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x2a29c8…
07-01 08:35:32	btc updown 15m 1782894600	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x02059d…
07-01 08:35:32	btc updown 15m 1782894600	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x01738b…
07-01 08:28:49	btc updown 5m 1782894300	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xe6d788…
07-01 08:28:49	btc updown 5m 1782894300	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3379f7…
07-01 08:28:49	btc updown 5m 1782894300	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x1aff6e…
07-01 08:28:20	btc updown 5m 1782894300	Up	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xc64f2d…
07-01 08:22:43	btc updown 5m 1782894000	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x978f67…
07-01 08:10:05	btc updown 5m 1782893100	Down	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x23a859…
07-01 08:09:47	btc updown 5m 1782893100	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x4e25f3…
07-01 08:09:19	btc updown 5m 1782893100	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xe26d52…
07-01 08:01:43	btc updown 5m 1782892800	Down	SELL	41	91¢	$38	0x404108…
07-01 08:01:04	btc updown 5m 1782892800	Down	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0xbcbf81…
07-01 07:59:01	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Down	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0x84d253…
07-01 07:56:34	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Up	SELL	90	39¢	$35	0x19707f…
07-01 07:56:32	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x42b532…
07-01 07:56:31	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x98417f…
07-01 07:55:38	btc updown 5m 1782892500	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xacad1b…
07-01 07:04:11	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x7669ab…
07-01 07:03:40	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xe4c3f8…
07-01 07:03:34	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0x05980b…
07-01 07:03:32	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x004b92…
07-01 07:03:26	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd4a029…
07-01 07:03:23	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa91e1d…
07-01 07:03:20	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x4caa7e…
07-01 07:03:05	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x9fe350…
07-01 07:02:50	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x97afea…
07-01 07:02:31	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xccbaf8…
07-01 07:01:49	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	32	49¢	$16	0x883e0b…
07-01 07:01:10	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	72	50¢	$36	0x133934…
07-01 06:59:13	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	28	49¢	$14	0x866877…
07-01 06:59:05	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x294a07…
07-01 06:56:35	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x73a2b0…
07-01 06:55:56	btc updown 5m 1782888900	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xce3853…
07-01 06:55:20	btc updown 5m 1782888900	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xf77739…
07-01 06:55:20	btc updown 5m 1782888900	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb5e925…