Liquid-Ephemera — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$211

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.0%

Resolved

356

Trades

548

lifetime

Volume

$1.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 07-24 06:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 29% -$211

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-24).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	3	$36	46	23	+23	Up	+$10	05-18 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	3	$30	131	31	+100	Down	+$18	05-19 10:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 13:10 UTC	1	$24	90	0	+90	Up	-$24	06-15 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	3	$21	17	17	+0	Up	+$13	04-30 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$21	15	15	+0	Up	+$9	04-30 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$20	12	12	+0	Up	+$4	05-20 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	4	$18	11	11	+0	Up	+$4	04-30 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	Up	+$7	04-30 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$16	46	0	+46	Down	-$16	07-21 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$16	51	0	+51	Down	-$16	07-21 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$14	63	0	+63	Down	-$14	04-30 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	4	$14	16	11	+4	Down	+$8	04-30 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	3	$12	16	10	+6	Up	+$8	04-30 09:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 20:50 UTC	2	$11	15	15	+0	Up	+$1	07-20 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	3	$10	18	7	+11	Up	+$2	04-30 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$10	59	0	+59	Down	-$10	04-30 07:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	3	$10	26	0	+26	Up	+$7	05-20 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	3	$10	127	0	+127	Up	+$1	05-19 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	3	$10	15	11	+5	Down	+$4	04-30 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$9	18	0	+18	Down	-$9	04-30 08:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$9	53	0	+53	Down	-$9	05-19 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$9	28	0	+28	Down	-$9	05-20 07:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$9	36	0	+36	Down	-$9	05-20 09:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 21:10 UTC	2	$8	9	9	+0	Down	+$2	07-20 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$4	04-30 08:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 15:45 UTC	1	$8	25	0	+25	Down	-$8	06-19 15:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$8	25	0	+25	Up	-$8	05-25 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$8	20	0	+20	Up	+$12	07-21 12:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$8	16	0	+16	Up	+$8	05-20 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$8	20	0	+20	Up	+$12	07-21 13:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 06:29:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x8714a8…
07-24 06:22:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd4f240…
07-24 06:20:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x0a745e…
07-24 06:18:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x208ba1…
07-22 08:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x538c57…
07-22 08:10:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x65db6c…
07-22 08:07:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6a7ddc…
07-22 07:26:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x8e31af…
07-22 07:16:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x762728…
07-21 13:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	34¢	$8	0x4b0d57…
07-21 13:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	26	31¢	$8	0x2c4f5d…
07-21 13:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0xcafe53…
07-21 13:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0x50ed30…
07-21 13:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	38	21¢	$8	0x0eb0fd…
07-21 13:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xcd813a…
07-21 12:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0x5337a7…
07-21 12:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0xf4555f…
07-21 12:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0xf3e844…
07-21 12:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x15a8b9…
07-21 12:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0x3f37ed…
07-21 12:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb5a36f…
07-21 12:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xf0228c…
07-21 12:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe08c71…
07-21 12:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0xbb4181…
07-21 03:18:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x229f47…
07-21 03:12:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xaa8a66…
07-21 03:07:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x521490…
07-21 03:04:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 03:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x7bbcd6…
07-21 03:02:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x51ac7b…
07-21 02:56:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa52b57…
07-20 21:20:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x60049c…
07-20 21:15:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x1e6b91…
07-20 21:14:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 21:10 UTC	Down	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0x83ac57…
07-20 21:11:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xfc6872…
07-20 21:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x17e1fa…
07-20 21:02:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x42bceb…
07-20 21:01:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x42b01b…
07-20 20:57:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xe36977…
07-20 20:54:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 20:50 UTC	Up	SELL	15	44¢	$6	0x0e03bf…
07-20 20:51:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x3ef1cc…
07-20 20:48:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x7820f6…
07-20 20:48:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6ccc17…
07-20 20:41:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xf59753…
07-20 20:35:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xb2efa2…
07-20 20:26:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xa223be…
07-20 20:20:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xd185da…
07-20 20:17:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x77f6e3…
07-20 16:05:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x8431c6…
07-20 16:04:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x1a7dd7…
07-20 16:02:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xbe8e23…
07-20 15:53:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5fa3f0…
07-20 15:50:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa81d51…
07-20 15:35:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x310c58…
07-20 15:32:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x02a245…
07-20 15:25:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xdb2e6e…
07-20 15:21:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xb4d272…
07-20 15:17:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xb1de7a…
07-20 15:10:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x90f6ed…
07-20 15:06:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xc7fa0c…
07-20 15:02:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x5f0a6b…
06-19 16:18:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf05e0f…
06-19 16:17:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x630452…
06-19 16:16:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x10af70…
06-19 15:46:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0xbf97ab…
06-19 15:41:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x937145…
06-19 15:31:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe29f4a…
06-19 15:27:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x709274…
06-19 15:22:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	28	27¢	$8	0xc91273…
06-19 15:16:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x21c748…
06-19 15:14:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xb0ec91…
06-19 15:09:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x25c6c2…
06-15 13:11:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	90	26¢	$24	0x3c33fd…
05-27 08:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb09012…
05-27 08:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6be876…
05-27 08:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xdcf255…
05-27 08:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9b44eb…
05-27 08:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x201a62…
05-27 08:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x632cb3…
05-27 08:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8d2628…
05-27 08:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6238aa…
05-27 08:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x38c2b0…
05-27 07:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x4e24c2…
05-27 07:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x22e694…
05-27 07:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x39ebd2…
05-26 22:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc0eb29…
05-26 22:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf0eefb…
05-26 21:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf93419…
05-26 21:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0xad4c66…
05-26 21:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x8ec847…
05-26 21:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa230d4…
05-26 21:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7f5dd8…
05-26 21:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x77a6db…
05-26 21:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x40e55f…
05-26 21:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2c2d6e…
05-26 21:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x983f7e…
05-26 21:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd87d42…
05-26 21:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x22c554…
05-26 21:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x56bb7b…
05-26 21:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x07531f…
05-26 21:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2d3544…