Normal-Shaw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$84

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.2%

Resolved

Trades

112,011

lifetime

Volume

$779.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-21 06:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 17% $-84

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 3438 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1772318700	140	$6.9K	4,393	4,383	+10	open	—	02-28 22:59
btc updown 15m 1773824400	88	$4.5K	2,851	2,182	+669	open	—	03-18 09:14
btc updown 15m 1773947700	257	$3.7K	4,521	1,150	+3,371	open	—	03-19 19:30
btc updown 15m 1773721800	50	$3.6K	2,008	1,818	+190	open	—	03-17 04:44
btc updown 15m 1773942300	139	$3.5K	2,946	1,555	+1,391	open	—	03-19 18:01
btc updown 15m 1773944100	233	$3.4K	4,163	1,030	+3,133	open	—	03-19 18:29
btc updown 15m 1773816300	116	$3.0K	3,666	0	+3,666	open	—	03-18 06:58
btc updown 15m 1773800100	62	$3.0K	1,964	1,405	+559	open	—	03-18 02:31
btc updown 15m 1773940500	143	$2.9K	2,745	1,239	+1,506	open	—	03-19 17:31
btc updown 15m 1773805500	151	$2.9K	3,967	0	+3,967	open	—	03-18 03:59
btc updown 15m 1773828900	68	$2.8K	1,884	1,401	+483	open	—	03-18 10:31
btc updown 15m 1773819000	102	$2.7K	3,435	0	+3,435	open	—	03-18 07:44
btc updown 15m 1773936900	258	$2.7K	4,248	444	+3,804	open	—	03-19 16:26
btc updown 15m 1773821700	122	$2.6K	3,342	0	+3,342	open	—	03-18 08:30
btc updown 15m 1773801900	114	$2.6K	3,434	0	+3,434	open	—	03-18 02:59
btc updown 15m 1773831600	179	$2.6K	3,823	0	+3,823	open	—	03-18 11:14
btc updown 15m 1773939600	131	$2.6K	2,585	1,009	+1,576	open	—	03-19 17:13
btc updown 15m 1773945900	256	$2.6K	4,344	0	+4,344	open	—	03-19 18:58
btc updown 15m 1773814500	110	$2.5K	3,335	0	+3,335	open	—	03-18 06:25
btc updown 15m 1773936000	301	$2.5K	4,644	10	+4,634	open	—	03-19 16:14
btc updown 15m 1773938700	144	$2.5K	2,678	800	+1,878	open	—	03-19 17:01
btc updown 15m 1773807300	112	$2.5K	3,183	0	+3,183	open	—	03-18 04:27
btc updown 15m 1773761400	52	$2.4K	1,641	1,192	+449	open	—	03-17 15:45
btc updown 15m 1773045900	172	$2.3K	3,974	342	+3,632	open	—	03-09 09:00
btc updown 15m 1773934200	275	$2.3K	3,996	35	+3,961	open	—	03-19 15:42
btc updown 15m 1772973900	309	$2.3K	2,774	1,335	+1,439	open	—	03-08 12:57
btc updown 15m 1773045000	213	$2.3K	3,883	370	+3,513	open	—	03-09 08:45
btc updown 15m 1773828000	109	$2.2K	3,074	0	+3,074	open	—	03-18 10:13
btc updown 15m 1773629100	68	$2.2K	1,434	1,032	+402	open	—	03-16 02:59
btc updown 15m 1773043200	249	$2.2K	4,273	15	+4,258	open	—	03-09 08:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 06:09:41	btc updown 5m 1782021900	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xd3a436…
06-21 06:09:38	btc updown 5m 1782021900	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xf91e54…
06-21 06:09:34	btc updown 5m 1782021900	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x8eaacc…
06-21 05:43:28	btc updown 5m 1782020400	Up	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x33ade0…
06-21 05:43:22	btc updown 5m 1782020400	Up	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x82a4e8…
06-21 05:43:11	btc updown 5m 1782020400	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x8469a2…
06-21 05:41:14	btc updown 5m 1782020400	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd451a3…
06-06 13:24:37	btc updown 5m 1780752000	Down	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0x86bfa6…
06-06 13:24:31	btc updown 5m 1780752000	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x7cceef…
06-06 13:24:06	btc updown 5m 1780752000	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd59691…
06-01 12:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x41b3ff…
06-01 12:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	18	93¢	$16	0xfffdb7…
06-01 12:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x58e69e…
06-01 12:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xe7a76b…
06-01 12:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x42df1c…
06-01 12:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	75¢	$12	0x3ecf44…
06-01 12:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x139771…
06-01 12:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x9bf573…
06-01 12:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc66e74…
06-01 11:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x7358b9…
06-01 11:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x88ce54…
06-01 07:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	37	24¢	$9	0xe1716f…
06-01 07:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x4e64a4…
06-01 07:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x4ab7dc…
06-01 07:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xe7cc71…
06-01 07:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xaf7725…
06-01 07:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xef63ed…
06-01 07:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	19	37¢	$7	0xf2bb66…
06-01 07:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xe0a5ff…
06-01 07:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc190f9…
06-01 07:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	24	24¢	$6	0x54c99a…
06-01 07:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x2c9743…
06-01 07:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x9e8d26…
06-01 07:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x946d54…
06-01 07:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0x47f2fa…
06-01 07:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x138375…
06-01 07:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xa32edc…
06-01 07:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	63¢	$6	0x7cdda8…
06-01 07:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x6656db…
06-01 06:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x943ade…
06-01 06:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x9781d9…
06-01 06:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0xd8fde2…
06-01 06:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xc3c40a…
06-01 06:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xc9f54e…
06-01 06:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xa47912…
06-01 06:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x56f7c7…
06-01 06:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0x1a3be7…
06-01 06:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd1cf31…
06-01 05:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x093d8c…
05-31 03:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0x1205c1…
05-31 03:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd5ab51…
05-31 02:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	28	59¢	$17	0x6764e1…
05-31 02:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6f23fe…
05-31 02:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x762128…
05-31 02:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x4601f4…
05-31 02:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xb86f04…
05-31 02:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x7623de…
05-31 02:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x4fc8c7…
05-31 02:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xebae69…
05-31 02:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	86¢	$6	0x24c1e6…
05-31 02:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xa5b793…
05-31 02:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x7788b6…
05-31 02:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x391ad8…
05-31 02:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x757af1…
05-31 02:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x6e01ed…
05-31 02:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xd5c532…
05-31 02:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xca19e3…
05-31 02:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	13	25¢	$3	0x65779f…
05-31 02:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x95b7c0…
05-31 02:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0xa169f7…
05-31 02:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x4809f0…
05-31 02:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	81¢	$7	0xe6bc2b…
05-31 02:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0x9acfdd…
05-31 02:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x5496cd…
05-31 02:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x76f11d…
05-31 02:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	57¢	$5	0x745a1e…
05-31 02:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4e4eb2…
05-31 02:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x13a2fc…
05-31 02:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x27a300…
05-31 02:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x899f1b…
05-31 02:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xe41bc5…
05-31 02:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x6fdfb7…
05-31 02:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x85d5a0…
05-31 02:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x81e0a1…
05-31 02:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x5bf8bf…
05-31 02:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7a80ba…
05-31 02:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x45966a…
05-31 02:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xf31ab8…
05-12 01:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0x5bbbf9…
05-12 01:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xef3888…
05-12 01:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xb13726…
05-12 01:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0xdedbbc…
05-12 00:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0xf1823c…
05-12 00:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x3908b4…
05-12 00:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x3c9b15…
05-12 00:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x3afe07…
05-12 00:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x1bde78…
05-12 00:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x1dcea1…
05-12 00:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x8de67c…
05-12 00:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x495df2…