Known-Curler — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$650

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 05-21 18:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 60% $-8

Other

21% — —

Politics

11% 100% +$0

Sports

6% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	3	$107	1,091	91	+1,000	open	—	05-04 18:30
ssc fcb rmc 2026 01 11 fcb	1	$95	194	0	+194	open	—	01-11 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	3	$57	72	41	+31	open	—	04-25 18:14
ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	1	$39	116	0	+116	open	—	03-03 13:31
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$35	146	0	+146	open	—	02-28 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	3	$30	54	18	+36	Up	+$0	05-06 10:53
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$30	23	23	+0	No	+$0	05-04 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$24	25	25	+0	Up	+$4	05-07 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	4	$21	67	67	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$21	23	22	+1	open	—	04-25 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$20	1,036	0	+1,036	open	—	05-04 18:44
fl1 psg lil 2026 01 16 psg	1	$20	29	0	+29	open	—	01-12 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$20	129	0	+129	open	—	05-04 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$18	92	9	+83	open	—	05-04 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$16	23	23	+0	Down	$-4	05-06 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$15	605	0	+605	open	—	05-04 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-18 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	$-10	05-06 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-04 18:35
btc updown 5m 1777040400	1	$10	59	0	+59	open	—	04-24 14:23
btc updown 5m 1772124300	1	$6	140	0	+140	open	—	02-26 16:47
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$5	0	777	-777	open	—	01-02 17:26
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$5	62	0	+62	open	—	04-25 18:19
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	1	$5	333	0	+333	open	—	01-16 12:18
will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	1	$5	64	0	+64	open	—	02-28 16:36
Will Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?	1	$5	36	0	+36	open	—	04-25 18:07
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	333	0	+333	open	—	05-21 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$5	74	0	+74	open	—	04-25 18:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 18:22:43	Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$5	0xc81301…
05-18 08:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x42bca2…
05-18 08:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x37a73d…
05-07 18:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	25	55¢	$14	0xee2dcd…
05-07 18:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x1888ce…
05-07 18:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	45	10¢	$4	0xf83e33…
05-07 18:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x1313d8…
05-07 18:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	22	32¢	$7	0x7402dc…
05-07 18:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x5e1436…
05-06 10:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	23	27¢	$6	0xda3feb…
05-06 10:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x23fcc8…
05-06 10:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x93537f…
05-06 10:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	18	86¢	$15	0x1efff0…
05-06 10:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xa4f684…
05-06 10:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x083ae5…
05-04 19:00:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	23	66¢	$15	0x0de9dc…
05-04 18:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x682b5e…
05-04 18:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0x5d34e1…
05-04 18:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xa7782d…
05-04 18:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	85	6¢	$5	0x258de1…
05-04 18:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x692508…
05-04 18:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xcaac0b…
05-04 18:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xa05d01…
05-04 18:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	105	10¢	$10	0xfa871a…
05-04 18:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xdd0bfc…
05-04 18:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xef4672…
05-04 18:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xbecdb9…
05-04 18:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xb0fc21…
05-04 18:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	91	96¢	$87	0x4b6e93…
05-04 18:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x037fcb…
05-04 18:26:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0xf15f50…
04-25 18:19:22	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x57240a…
04-25 18:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	22	48¢	$11	0x85f53d…
04-25 18:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x2b9278…
04-25 18:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x0d641d…
04-25 18:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	41	77¢	$32	0xcc4d91…
04-25 18:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xc461a5…
04-25 18:07:16	Will Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x8ad822…
04-25 18:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0x4d063f…
04-24 14:23:30	btc updown 5m 1777040400	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x0548ae…
03-03 13:31:37	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	Charles Oliveira	BUY	116	34¢	$39	0x3cbedb…
02-28 16:36:31	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	No	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0xf78c7f…
02-28 16:35:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	146	24¢	$35	0xf1c764…
02-26 16:47:20	btc updown 5m 1772124300	Up	BUY	140	4¢	$6	0xbeb9ae…
01-16 12:18:06	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	No	BUY	333	2¢	$5	0xaf7e7e…
01-12 17:40:07	fl1 psg lil 2026 01 16 psg	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xb8e7f1…
01-11 17:13:04	ssc fcb rmc 2026 01 11 fcb	Yes	BUY	194	49¢	$95	0xec2cf0…
01-02 17:26:23	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	777	1¢	$5	0x8fe58c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	19	$19.5K	617	05-23 10:06
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	17	$6.12K	1,861	05-18 08:39
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	17	$4.03K	607	05-18 08:38
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	17	$2.71K	303	05-18 08:38
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	16	$44.9K	1,867	05-18 08:38
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	16	$11.3K	162	05-18 08:38
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	16	$11.2K	1,924	05-18 08:38
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	16	$5.31K	817	05-18 08:38