Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

57.5%

Resolved

139

Trades

141

lifetime

Volume

$351

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-10-15

last 10-27 04:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 55% +$13

Other

25% 38% -$54

Sports

1% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	Yes		+2,126	$17	0¢	$2	-$15	10-15 17:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	1	$36	511	+511	Yes	-$36	10-15 17:26
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	1	$17	2,126	+2,126	open	—	10-15 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 10AM ET	1	$10	27	+27	Down	+$16	10-16 14:56
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:15 UTC	1	$9	11	+11	Down	+$2	10-16 15:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 16:15 UTC	1	$9	13	+13	Up	+$4	10-16 16:25
Solana Up or Down - October 16, 3AM ET	1	$8	13	+13	Up	+$5	10-16 07:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 02:45 UTC	2	$7	11	+11	Up	+$1	10-18 02:45
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 02:45 UTC	1	$6	11	+11	Up	+$5	10-18 02:46
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:40 UTC	1	$6	8	+8	Up	+$2	10-17 03:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	10-16 03:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11PM ET	1	$5	298	+298	Up	-$5	10-16 03:56
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:05 UTC	1	$5	11	+11	Up	+$6	10-16 16:05
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:00 UTC	1	$5	500	+500	Up	-$5	10-16 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:05 UTC	1	$5	17	+17	Up	-$5	10-16 16:06
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-17 00:00 UTC	1	$5	9	+9	Down	-$5	10-17 03:43
HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 17:00 UTC	1	$5	6	+6	Down	+$1	10-16 17:07
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 02:45 UTC	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	10-18 02:47
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:15 UTC	1	$5	7	+7	Down	-$5	10-16 16:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 17:00 UTC	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	10-16 17:05
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 02:45 UTC	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	10-18 02:47
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 17:00 UTC	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	10-16 17:06
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 17:00 UTC	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	10-16 17:07
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 15:30 UTC	1	$5	25	+25	Up	-$5	10-16 15:41
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:15 UTC	1	$4	5	+5	Down	+$1	10-16 16:18
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:15 UTC	1	$4	7	+7	Down	+$3	10-16 18:25
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:25 UTC	1	$4	6	+6	Up	-$4	10-16 17:26
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:25 UTC	1	$4	5	+5	Up	+$1	10-16 17:27
ZEC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 16:15 UTC	1	$4	6	+6	Down	-$4	10-16 16:16
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 03:30 UTC	1	$4	4	+4	Up	+$0	10-17 03:41
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:25 UTC	1	$4	6	+6	Up	+$2	10-16 17:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 04:18:30	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x850fcf…
10-27 04:13:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x36b5a5…
10-27 04:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xae02af…
10-26 20:30:42	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7912cc…
10-26 20:30:24	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x9aff0d…
10-26 20:30:12	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x438d1c…
10-26 19:57:48	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x61773a…
10-26 19:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe518e7…
10-24 04:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x88d257…
10-24 04:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xb9d3bb…
10-24 04:16:35	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd9b926…
10-24 04:15:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa1b313…
10-23 17:20:45	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xbed193…
10-23 17:20:29	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x344bd3…
10-23 17:20:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1d67ff…
10-23 17:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2b3c63…
10-22 04:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbf7b02…
10-22 04:10:57	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x7b1442…
10-22 04:10:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9ae0c4…
10-22 04:10:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4440f7…
10-22 04:09:57	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0e40f4…
10-22 04:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0d55f6…
10-21 17:48:54	Luka Dončić: Points O/U 32.5	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xadac42…
10-21 17:48:23	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xfaa68e…
10-21 17:47:50	Bennedict Mathurin: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1101f0…
10-21 17:47:02	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb2af2c…
10-21 17:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa71c4b…
10-21 17:44:57	BNB Up or Down - October 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x483dc1…
10-21 16:36:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0701d2…
10-21 16:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4419a0…
10-21 16:36:11	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x94cec2…
10-21 16:35:50	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x309011…
10-19 17:54:50	Bitcoin above 81,800 on October 19, 2PM ET?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x162dc9…
10-19 17:54:00	XRP Up or Down - October 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3dd6ca…
10-19 17:53:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1f707a…
10-19 17:18:03	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7b03c7…
10-19 17:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x08bede…
10-19 17:17:17	HYPE Up or Down - October 19, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9381b9…
10-19 17:16:27	BNB Up or Down - October 19, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8713e0…
10-19 17:16:08	XRP Up or Down - October 19, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc0f831…
10-19 17:15:27	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x6081f5…
10-19 17:15:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x17c7c8…
10-19 17:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc175b4…
10-19 15:00:23	Will AEK win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe35c7e…
10-19 14:53:42	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd56ad7…
10-19 14:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x25dd06…
10-19 14:52:45	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd47e84…
10-19 14:52:32	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x0b52c7…
10-19 14:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xad1d68…
10-19 14:25:30	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xed972d…
10-19 14:25:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x949b25…
10-19 14:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x12dccc…
10-19 04:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb39bae…
10-19 04:28:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xad48c2…
10-19 04:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x570256…
10-18 17:56:48	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x39c596…
10-18 16:27:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa997ac…
10-18 16:27:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8f4fa3…
10-18 16:26:26	BNB Up or Down - October 18, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6b3d18…
10-18 16:25:42	HYPE Up or Down - October 18, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x350a9a…
10-18 16:25:21	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1080fa…
10-18 16:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa1be61…
10-18 16:23:59	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x7b4537…
10-18 16:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5142b2…
10-18 16:22:54	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x63a9c6…
10-18 16:22:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2494da…
10-18 10:57:41	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8dea06…
10-18 10:57:27	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x8bf379…
10-18 10:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x729255…
10-18 09:34:11	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x58392c…
10-18 09:33:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc25a8b…
10-18 09:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x3e4a23…
10-18 07:41:36	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5fa2d9…
10-18 07:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa5383d…
10-18 06:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xf867db…
10-18 06:20:35	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x077d3e…
10-18 06:19:44	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2ca02e…
10-18 06:19:27	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe2c480…
10-18 06:19:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd63f77…
10-18 06:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x0338b2…
10-18 06:18:24	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xa6d44c…
10-18 06:18:03	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x3a9561…
10-18 06:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0cdf80…
10-18 02:59:23	bitcoin above 82200 on october 17 2026 11pm et	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x92de44…
10-18 02:56:50	XRP Up or Down - October 17, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5b5ee1…
10-18 02:47:27	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9f9645…
10-18 02:47:00	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x106ac8…
10-18 02:46:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xfcd0ad…
10-18 02:45:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x5f37fa…
10-18 02:45:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9b1cb1…
10-17 18:09:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x4db199…
10-17 18:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xb0ecaf…
10-17 17:01:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xce1a63…
10-17 17:01:21	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x41d99c…
10-17 17:01:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xfd27e6…
10-17 17:00:51	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xe6f812…
10-17 03:55:29	Nuggets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x8ec6f2…
10-17 03:47:08	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x30fd47…
10-17 03:46:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0x282dca…
10-17 03:46:26	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x085a69…