Giant-Fortnight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$110

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.3%

Resolved

Trades

4,706

lifetime

Volume

$39.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-29 09:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 44% +$110

Politics

5% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 340 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$2.1K	1,099	1,099	+0	open	—	02-28 23:35
btc updown 5m 1771750500	35	$862	1,027	32	+995	open	—	02-22 08:56
btc updown 15m 1772471700	13	$611	821	20	+801	open	—	03-02 17:29
btc updown 5m 1772756700	12	$598	778	0	+778	open	—	03-06 00:27
btc updown 5m 1772292300	153	$593	1,346	0	+1,346	open	—	02-28 15:27
btc updown 5m 1772655900	12	$566	660	85	+575	open	—	03-04 20:29
btc updown 5m 1772753100	11	$549	881	0	+881	open	—	03-05 23:26
btc updown 5m 1772671200	11	$546	638	0	+638	open	—	03-05 00:43
btc updown 15m 1772040600	22	$542	487	312	+175	open	—	02-25 17:42
btc updown 5m 1772772900	9	$448	822	0	+822	open	—	03-06 04:58
btc updown 5m 1771753200	16	$396	469	0	+469	open	—	02-22 09:43
btc updown 5m 1775980500	8	$359	370	158	+212	open	—	04-12 07:59
btc updown 5m 1772289900	184	$342	875	0	+875	open	—	02-28 14:48
btc updown 5m 1773785400	18	$342	575	420	+155	open	—	03-17 22:13
btc updown 15m 1772772300	9	$340	877	0	+877	open	—	03-06 04:58
btc updown 5m 1772290500	167	$336	856	0	+856	open	—	02-28 15:00
btc updown 5m 1772287800	177	$334	886	0	+886	open	—	02-28 14:14
btc updown 5m 1772289300	158	$323	834	0	+834	open	—	02-28 14:37
btc updown 5m 1772285400	161	$322	834	0	+834	open	—	02-28 13:34
btc updown 5m 1772291400	159	$322	828	0	+828	open	—	02-28 15:14
btc updown 5m 1772291100	160	$322	769	0	+769	open	—	02-28 15:08
btc updown 5m 1772284800	148	$318	706	0	+706	open	—	02-28 13:23
btc updown 5m 1772286000	161	$315	806	0	+806	open	—	02-28 13:44
btc updown 5m 1772283900	156	$314	780	0	+780	open	—	02-28 13:08
btc updown 5m 1772834100	6	$299	492	0	+492	open	—	03-06 21:56
btc updown 5m 1772291700	149	$295	769	0	+769	open	—	02-28 15:18
btc updown 5m 1772288400	140	$294	752	0	+752	open	—	02-28 14:23
btc updown 5m 1772290800	134	$288	709	0	+709	open	—	02-28 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	87	$265	516	0	+516	open	—	04-25 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	6	$252	345	0	+345	open	—	04-28 10:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 09:54:44	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	BUY	222	5¢	$10	0xb662b5…
06-27 13:14:56	btc updown 5m 1782565800	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x84b0e3…
06-27 13:14:55	btc updown 15m 1782565200	Down	BUY	29	54¢	$15	0xf8d2a8…
06-18 06:58:58	btc updown 5m 1781765700	Up	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0xdd2e9d…
06-18 06:58:58	btc updown 15m 1781765100	Down	BUY	32	23¢	$7	0x5876cc…
06-13 16:17:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	19	26¢	$5	0x6c5e62…
06-13 05:44:48	btc updown 15m 1781328600	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0xb9dec7…
06-13 05:44:48	btc updown 5m 1781329200	Up	BUY	27	23¢	$6	0x531f11…
06-02 09:31:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,271	1¢	$47	0x362a3b…
05-20 17:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x829df2…
05-20 17:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x852e2d…
05-20 17:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	43	6¢	$3	0x3eb4c1…
05-20 17:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x3193d4…
05-20 17:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x8bb073…
05-19 17:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0x6d0bf6…
05-19 17:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	32	31¢	$10	0x7316a0…
05-19 17:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	42	41¢	$17	0xfefdbc…
05-17 21:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	42	40¢	$17	0xc55a7b…
05-17 21:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	63¢	$21	0xbdc7bf…
05-17 21:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	38¢	$14	0x43c126…
05-17 21:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	32	69¢	$22	0x89c16d…
05-17 21:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x6e8d37…
05-17 21:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	32	64¢	$21	0xb725fc…
05-17 20:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	79¢	$16	0xdf3363…
05-17 20:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xc0ce29…
05-17 20:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x01162d…
05-17 20:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xbdd4fd…
05-17 20:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xb5dec6…
05-17 20:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0x116e73…
05-17 20:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0xfd4a68…
05-17 20:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	29	51¢	$15	0xca5db8…
05-17 20:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	40¢	$3	0x1998d1…
05-17 20:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	37	56¢	$21	0xec0db2…
05-17 20:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0xc8aaa3…
05-17 20:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	47	33¢	$15	0x523206…
05-17 20:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	38	56¢	$21	0x35c062…
05-17 20:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xfd3699…
05-17 20:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x92a64f…
05-17 20:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x0571d8…
05-17 16:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	27	84¢	$22	0xa0f1b7…
05-17 16:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	76¢	$20	0xcd0735…
05-17 12:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	43¢	$16	0x25c1cb…
05-17 12:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	38	55¢	$21	0x5d0cfd…
05-17 12:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	39	39¢	$15	0xcc5117…
05-17 12:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	57¢	$21	0x81c7ed…
05-17 12:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	35	38¢	$13	0x260439…
05-17 12:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	35	38¢	$13	0xb19001…
05-17 12:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	38	54¢	$21	0x6dd6fb…
05-17 11:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0xc54a67…
05-17 11:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	30	38¢	$11	0x0cba52…
05-17 11:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	39	39¢	$15	0x32653f…
05-17 11:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	39	59¢	$23	0x54329b…
05-17 11:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	39¢	$7	0x035888…
05-17 11:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0xe9453c…
05-17 11:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0x22876e…
05-17 11:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	38	54¢	$21	0x294c70…
05-17 08:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	82	41¢	$34	0x93ceb6…
05-17 08:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	30	54¢	$16	0x8e6fea…
05-17 08:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x2ebceb…
05-17 08:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	38	55¢	$21	0xb41e9f…
05-17 08:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	30	54¢	$16	0x1dc4ee…
05-17 08:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x1008fd…
05-17 08:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	38	55¢	$21	0x98a082…
05-17 08:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xdba2ce…
05-17 08:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	37	55¢	$21	0xcac630…
05-17 08:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x070445…
05-17 00:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x9bcad1…
05-17 00:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x2036f1…
05-17 00:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xc4f0f0…
05-17 00:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	30¢	$7	0xa813a2…
05-17 00:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xe1663b…
05-17 00:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xbbd390…
05-17 00:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	28¢	$9	0x7f2242…
05-17 00:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x3816b9…
05-17 00:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	37	24¢	$9	0x357708…
05-17 00:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xd1c4eb…
05-17 00:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	44	20¢	$9	0x65c10c…
05-17 00:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x9775bf…
05-17 00:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	28¢	$9	0x9b2e16…
05-17 00:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x4bae90…
05-16 20:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	79¢	$21	0x3b7315…
05-16 20:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	21¢	$6	0x7f5305…
05-16 20:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0x276e30…
05-16 20:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0xa13387…
05-16 20:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	19¢	$6	0xeaba04…
05-16 18:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x953e19…
05-16 18:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	32	5¢	$2	0x005027…
05-16 05:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	55	38¢	$21	0xeb81c2…
05-16 05:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	42	50¢	$21	0xa8e950…
05-16 05:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0x38030a…
05-16 05:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	14	51¢	$7	0x5826d4…
05-16 05:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xe95871…
05-16 05:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	37	34¢	$13	0x373b96…
05-16 05:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	43	29¢	$13	0x4a0306…
05-16 05:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$21	0xb2f95a…
05-15 23:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$3	0xaa3bbe…
05-15 23:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	72¢	$21	0xd09bf0…
05-15 22:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	34	41¢	$14	0xb4ea3c…
05-15 22:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	36	58¢	$21	0x6ce805…
05-15 21:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0xe2f3a1…