Giant-Fortnight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.63K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.8%

Resolved

724

Trades

4,931

lifetime

Volume

$41.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-25 03:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 128 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 49% +$3,598

Politics

5% 33% -$6

Sports

0% 100% +$51

Other

0% 20% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$2.1K	1,099	1,099	+0	Yes	-$6	02-28 23:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 08:55 UTC	35	$862	1,027	32	+995	Down	-$821	02-22 08:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 17:15 UTC	13	$611	821	20	+801	Down	+$216	03-02 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 00:25 UTC	12	$598	778	0	+778	Down	+$180	03-06 00:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 15:25 UTC	153	$593	1,346	0	+1,346	Up	-$29	02-28 15:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 20:25 UTC	12	$566	660	85	+575	Up	+$140	03-04 20:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 23:25 UTC	11	$549	881	0	+881	Up	+$332	03-05 23:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 00:40 UTC	11	$546	638	0	+638	Up	+$92	03-05 00:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 17:30 UTC	22	$542	487	312	+175	Up	+$75	02-25 17:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 04:55 UTC	9	$448	822	0	+822	Up	+$374	03-06 04:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 09:40 UTC	16	$396	469	0	+469	Up	+$74	02-22 09:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 07:55 UTC	8	$359	370	158	+212	Down	-$124	04-12 07:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:45 UTC	184	$342	875	0	+875	Down	+$18	02-28 14:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 22:10 UTC	18	$342	575	420	+155	Down	-$73	03-17 22:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 04:45 UTC	9	$340	877	0	+877	Up	-$340	03-06 04:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:55 UTC	167	$336	856	0	+856	Down	+$98	02-28 15:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:10 UTC	177	$334	886	0	+886	Down	+$93	02-28 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:35 UTC	158	$323	834	0	+834	Up	-$23	02-28 14:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 13:30 UTC	161	$322	834	0	+834	Up	-$17	02-28 13:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 15:10 UTC	159	$322	828	0	+828	Down	-$37	02-28 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 15:05 UTC	160	$322	769	0	+769	Down	+$3	02-28 15:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 13:20 UTC	148	$318	706	0	+706	Up	+$68	02-28 13:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 13:40 UTC	161	$315	806	0	+806	Up	+$55	02-28 13:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 13:05 UTC	156	$314	780	0	+780	Up	-$44	02-28 13:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 21:55 UTC	6	$299	492	0	+492	Up	-$299	03-06 21:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 15:15 UTC	149	$295	769	0	+769	Up	-$65	02-28 15:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:20 UTC	140	$294	752	0	+752	Down	-$49	02-28 14:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC	134	$288	709	0	+709	Up	-$48	02-28 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	87	$265	516	0	+516	Down	-$13	04-25 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	6	$252	345	0	+345	Down	+$93	04-28 10:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 03:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	16	65¢	$10	0x3790f8…
10-25 03:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	65¢	$11	0x2aa239…
10-25 03:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xe8b6f9…
10-25 03:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x658617…
10-25 03:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xd3131e…
10-25 03:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	69¢	$12	0xaf4ab9…
10-24 06:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	21	47¢	$10	0xbe8940…
10-24 06:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$11	0x2328bc…
10-24 06:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	23	74¢	$17	0x0e4ef9…
10-24 06:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	52¢	$12	0xe918d5…
10-24 05:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0xfeefe4…
10-24 05:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	21	55¢	$12	0xab8fd3…
10-24 05:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x1a4634…
10-24 05:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$11	0xa07221…
10-23 20:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	6¢	$2	0x9cbbf6…
10-20 12:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	17	23¢	$4	0xefbae2…
10-20 12:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0x3d84af…
10-20 04:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	19	82¢	$16	0x7c78a0…
10-20 04:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x96f75c…
10-20 00:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0xde9305…
10-19 22:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	16	36¢	$6	0x02efe2…
10-19 22:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0xf4dc30…
10-17 18:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	512	1¢	$5	0xdc12df…
10-17 18:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	16	35¢	$6	0x492bf1…
10-17 18:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x67d540…
10-17 18:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	40¢	$9	0x0f4022…
10-15 22:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	552	1¢	$6	0x830c9d…
10-15 22:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	13	34¢	$4	0x281871…
10-15 22:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x11d274…
10-15 16:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	22	22¢	$5	0x94fa86…
10-15 16:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0xeefdfa…
10-10 21:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	43	45¢	$19	0x7b8e91…
10-10 21:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	31¢	$9	0xb3e9bd…
10-10 21:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xa11e81…
10-10 21:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	53	30¢	$16	0x177984…
10-10 21:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	43¢	$11	0x0a5074…
10-10 21:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0x16cc9c…
10-10 20:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	75¢	$13	0x9c46d0…
10-10 20:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x049ea1…
10-10 17:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0x7017f6…
10-10 17:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x9b3eed…
10-10 15:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	21	46¢	$10	0x42f0e1…
10-10 15:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x2b800a…
10-10 15:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xea5905…
10-10 15:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x930e38…
10-10 15:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	19¢	$3	0x8dc438…
10-10 15:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x0e02df…
10-10 02:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	29¢	$6	0x98d129…
10-10 02:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	69¢	$12	0x4123eb…
10-09 22:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	165	1¢	$2	0x3c9b8e…
09-26 13:11:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	47	68¢	$32	0xdc6891…
09-26 13:11:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0xd329b5…
09-26 13:11:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	34	8¢	$3	0x75f8e8…
09-26 13:11:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0x141046…
09-26 13:11:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0x068b99…
09-26 02:59:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 02:55 UTC	Up	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xa21cc8…
09-26 02:59:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x4a3e49…
09-25 12:57:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 12:55 UTC	Down	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0x27fed0…
09-25 12:57:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0x5d651b…
09-25 12:56:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	28	68¢	$19	0x0e2870…
09-25 12:55:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	29	29¢	$8	0x4a1d58…
09-24 13:56:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	22	3¢	$1	0x1dea3c…
09-24 13:55:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	23	7¢	$2	0x04df2a…
09-24 06:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xc791c7…
09-24 06:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0xc54eab…
09-24 06:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	24	22¢	$5	0x5d9b46…
09-24 06:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	74¢	$17	0x84789b…
09-24 06:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	25¢	$6	0x26112d…
09-24 06:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	33¢	$8	0xbc9bf6…
09-24 06:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x0e610c…
09-24 06:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x213337…
09-24 06:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x10ef06…
09-23 12:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0x2262e3…
09-23 12:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x361e96…
09-23 07:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	27¢	$4	0x892f9a…
09-23 07:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x51712d…
09-22 19:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	19	54¢	$10	0x44865c…
09-22 19:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xb7ee30…
09-22 17:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	23	19¢	$4	0xa8efd5…
09-22 17:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	27¢	$6	0xcd177c…
09-22 04:56:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 04:55 UTC	Up	SELL	22	15¢	$3	0xab5a93…
09-22 04:56:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0xa80b25…
09-22 02:11:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x990100…
09-22 02:11:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	11	86¢	$10	0x8a845b…
09-14 03:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0xf9e0c4…
09-14 03:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	45¢	$10	0x04a3f0…
09-14 01:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	22	26¢	$6	0x938421…
09-14 01:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	25¢	$6	0xc80ae3…
09-14 01:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	32¢	$4	0xa3f474…
09-14 01:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x61c588…
09-13 02:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	30	19¢	$6	0x8cf79c…
09-13 02:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	11¢	$3	0xf044ee…
09-13 01:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	37	30¢	$11	0xdcad27…
09-13 01:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	38	25¢	$9	0x0b44b8…
09-13 01:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	22	37¢	$8	0xd94d51…
09-13 01:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	41¢	$9	0x37818b…
09-12 09:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0xa980bb…
09-12 09:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa6d648…
09-12 09:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	44¢	$5	0x1051aa…
09-12 09:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x930d1c…