Giant-Fortnight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$110

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.3%

Resolved

Trades

4,739

lifetime

Volume

$40.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-20 16:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 44% +$110

Politics

5% — —

Sports

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$2.1K	1,099	1,099	+0	open	—	02-28 23:35
btc updown 5m 1771750500	35	$862	1,027	32	+995	open	—	02-22 08:56
btc updown 15m 1772471700	13	$611	821	20	+801	open	—	03-02 17:29
btc updown 5m 1772756700	12	$598	778	0	+778	open	—	03-06 00:27
btc updown 5m 1772292300	153	$593	1,346	0	+1,346	open	—	02-28 15:27
btc updown 5m 1772655900	12	$566	660	85	+575	open	—	03-04 20:29
btc updown 5m 1772753100	11	$549	881	0	+881	open	—	03-05 23:26
btc updown 5m 1772671200	11	$546	638	0	+638	open	—	03-05 00:43
btc updown 15m 1772040600	22	$542	487	312	+175	open	—	02-25 17:42
btc updown 5m 1772772900	9	$448	822	0	+822	open	—	03-06 04:58
btc updown 5m 1771753200	16	$396	469	0	+469	open	—	02-22 09:43
btc updown 5m 1775980500	8	$359	370	158	+212	open	—	04-12 07:59
btc updown 5m 1772289900	184	$342	875	0	+875	open	—	02-28 14:48
btc updown 5m 1773785400	18	$342	575	420	+155	open	—	03-17 22:13
btc updown 15m 1772772300	9	$340	877	0	+877	open	—	03-06 04:58
btc updown 5m 1772290500	167	$336	856	0	+856	open	—	02-28 15:00
btc updown 5m 1772287800	177	$334	886	0	+886	open	—	02-28 14:14
btc updown 5m 1772289300	158	$323	834	0	+834	open	—	02-28 14:37
btc updown 5m 1772285400	161	$322	834	0	+834	open	—	02-28 13:34
btc updown 5m 1772291400	159	$322	828	0	+828	open	—	02-28 15:14
btc updown 5m 1772291100	160	$322	769	0	+769	open	—	02-28 15:08
btc updown 5m 1772284800	148	$318	706	0	+706	open	—	02-28 13:23
btc updown 5m 1772286000	161	$315	806	0	+806	open	—	02-28 13:44
btc updown 5m 1772283900	156	$314	780	0	+780	open	—	02-28 13:08
btc updown 5m 1772834100	6	$299	492	0	+492	open	—	03-06 21:56
btc updown 5m 1772291700	149	$295	769	0	+769	open	—	02-28 15:18
btc updown 5m 1772288400	140	$294	752	0	+752	open	—	02-28 14:23
btc updown 5m 1772290800	134	$288	709	0	+709	open	—	02-28 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	87	$265	516	0	+516	open	—	04-25 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	6	$252	345	0	+345	open	—	04-28 10:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 16:41:36	btc updown 5m 1784565600	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x31b1d7…
07-20 16:41:34	btc updown 15m 1784565000	Up	BUY	26	24¢	$6	0x533e96…
07-18 02:59:51	btc updown 15m 1784342700	Up	BUY	88	54¢	$48	0x9891d6…
07-18 02:59:51	btc updown 5m 1784343300	Down	BUY	62	23¢	$14	0x012d0a…
07-17 21:59:28	btc updown 15m 1784324700	Up	BUY	47	60¢	$28	0xe25943…
07-17 21:59:27	btc updown 5m 1784325300	Down	BUY	43	32¢	$14	0xbaddf8…
07-14 19:29:11	btc updown 15m 1784056500	Up	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xdc66a2…
07-14 19:29:11	btc updown 15m 1784056500	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x0741cf…
07-14 19:29:08	btc updown 15m 1784056500	Up	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0xd3dfe1…
07-11 07:26:43	btc updown 5m 1783754700	Up	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0xfc4dd4…
07-11 07:26:41	btc updown 15m 1783754100	Down	BUY	28	17¢	$5	0xc1a0bc…
07-10 10:42:05	btc updown 5m 1783680000	Down	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0xc30bf3…
07-10 10:42:05	btc updown 15m 1783679400	Up	BUY	25	22¢	$5	0x1e9c9e…
07-09 19:27:17	btc updown 15m 1783624500	Down	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x70f80d…
07-09 19:27:17	btc updown 15m 1783624500	Down	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x5d33c5…
07-09 19:27:14	btc updown 15m 1783624500	Down	BUY	26	27¢	$7	0xc911d4…
07-07 21:12:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x117187…
07-06 21:44:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0x14a1b8…
07-05 16:59:52	btc updown 15m 1783269900	Down	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0xd17320…
07-05 16:59:52	btc updown 5m 1783270500	Up	BUY	22	70¢	$15	0x07e646…
07-05 08:59:52	btc updown 15m 1783241100	Down	BUY	42	26¢	$11	0x987e51…
07-05 08:59:52	btc updown 5m 1783241700	Up	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x6b5bbf…
07-05 08:59:47	btc updown 5m 1783241700	Up	BUY	61	27¢	$16	0xe506b2…
07-05 08:59:47	btc updown 15m 1783241100	Down	BUY	70	20¢	$14	0x7bb5a2…
07-05 08:59:46	btc updown 15m 1783241100	Down	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xc053a8…
07-05 08:59:44	btc updown 5m 1783241700	Up	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x8d18a5…
07-04 07:14:01	btc updown 15m 1783148400	Down	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x1c2025…
07-04 07:13:59	btc updown 15m 1783148400	Down	SELL	28	36¢	$10	0x7313fd…
07-04 07:13:58	btc updown 15m 1783148400	Down	BUY	37	42¢	$15	0xf6bbb0…
07-04 04:57:55	btc updown 5m 1783140900	Down	BUY	28	79¢	$22	0x760f24…
07-04 04:57:53	btc updown 15m 1783140300	Up	BUY	24	7¢	$2	0x3b372d…
07-04 03:28:52	btc updown 15m 1783134900	Up	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x3f1815…
07-04 03:28:50	btc updown 5m 1783135500	Down	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0x602d69…
06-29 09:54:44	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	Yes	BUY	222	5¢	$10	0xb662b5…
06-27 13:14:56	btc updown 5m 1782565800	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x84b0e3…
06-27 13:14:55	btc updown 15m 1782565200	Down	BUY	29	54¢	$15	0xf8d2a8…
06-18 06:58:58	btc updown 5m 1781765700	Up	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0xdd2e9d…
06-18 06:58:58	btc updown 15m 1781765100	Down	BUY	32	23¢	$7	0x5876cc…
06-13 16:17:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	19	26¢	$5	0x6c5e62…
06-13 05:44:48	btc updown 15m 1781328600	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0xb9dec7…
06-13 05:44:48	btc updown 5m 1781329200	Up	BUY	27	23¢	$6	0x531f11…
06-02 09:31:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,271	1¢	$47	0x362a3b…
05-20 17:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x829df2…
05-20 17:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x852e2d…
05-20 17:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	43	6¢	$3	0x3eb4c1…
05-20 17:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x3193d4…
05-20 17:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x8bb073…
05-19 17:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0x6d0bf6…
05-19 17:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	32	31¢	$10	0x7316a0…
05-19 17:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	42	41¢	$17	0xfefdbc…
05-17 21:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	42	40¢	$17	0xc55a7b…
05-17 21:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	63¢	$21	0xbdc7bf…
05-17 21:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	38¢	$14	0x43c126…
05-17 21:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	32	69¢	$22	0x89c16d…
05-17 21:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x6e8d37…
05-17 21:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	32	64¢	$21	0xb725fc…
05-17 20:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	79¢	$16	0xdf3363…
05-17 20:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xc0ce29…
05-17 20:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x01162d…
05-17 20:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xbdd4fd…
05-17 20:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xb5dec6…
05-17 20:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0x116e73…
05-17 20:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0xfd4a68…
05-17 20:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	29	51¢	$15	0xca5db8…
05-17 20:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	40¢	$3	0x1998d1…
05-17 20:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	37	56¢	$21	0xec0db2…
05-17 20:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0xc8aaa3…
05-17 20:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	47	33¢	$15	0x523206…
05-17 20:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	38	56¢	$21	0x35c062…
05-17 20:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xfd3699…
05-17 20:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x92a64f…
05-17 20:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x0571d8…
05-17 16:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	27	84¢	$22	0xa0f1b7…
05-17 16:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	76¢	$20	0xcd0735…
05-17 12:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	43¢	$16	0x25c1cb…
05-17 12:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	38	55¢	$21	0x5d0cfd…
05-17 12:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	39	39¢	$15	0xcc5117…
05-17 12:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	57¢	$21	0x81c7ed…
05-17 12:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	35	38¢	$13	0x260439…
05-17 12:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	35	38¢	$13	0xb19001…
05-17 12:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	38	54¢	$21	0x6dd6fb…
05-17 11:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0xc54a67…
05-17 11:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	30	38¢	$11	0x0cba52…
05-17 11:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	39	39¢	$15	0x32653f…
05-17 11:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	39	59¢	$23	0x54329b…
05-17 11:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	39¢	$7	0x035888…
05-17 11:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0xe9453c…
05-17 11:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0x22876e…
05-17 11:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	38	54¢	$21	0x294c70…
05-17 08:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	82	41¢	$34	0x93ceb6…
05-17 08:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	30	54¢	$16	0x8e6fea…
05-17 08:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x2ebceb…
05-17 08:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	38	55¢	$21	0xb41e9f…
05-17 08:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	30	54¢	$16	0x1dc4ee…
05-17 08:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x1008fd…
05-17 08:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	38	55¢	$21	0x98a082…
05-17 08:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xdba2ce…
05-17 08:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	37	55¢	$21	0xcac630…
05-17 08:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x070445…
05-17 00:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x9bcad1…