Gregarious-Menopause — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$90

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

143

lifetime

Volume

$128.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$901

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 06-17 23:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

40% — —

Other

33% 100% +$90

Crypto

19% — —

Tech

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	14	$25.1K	25,146	0	+25,146	open	—	06-17 23:56
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$24.8K	24,898	0	+24,898	open	—	06-03 16:26
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$18.4K	18,480	0	+18,480	open	—	04-08 21:13
Paramount+ subscribers above 78M in Q1?	3	$13.4K	13,500	0	+13,500	Yes	+$81	05-04 20:51
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$8.0K	7,962	0	+7,962	open	—	05-01 00:33
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	1	$7.5K	7,462	0	+7,462	open	—	04-22 21:07
will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on april 19 2026	2	$7.4K	7,454	0	+7,454	open	—	04-21 15:23
Rocket League: NOVO Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner	4	$3.1K	1,556	1,555	+1	open	—	04-25 17:57
r6siege 130 sr 2026 04 23	3	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	open	—	04-24 00:46
Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 50B in Q1?	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	05-20 20:27
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Minor Playoffs	2	$1.9K	1,956	0	+1,956	open	—	04-24 23:31
Rocket League: Gentle Mates vs Vitality - Game 1 Winner	1	$1.5K	1,556	0	+1,556	open	—	04-25 17:55
Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $7.5B in Q3?	3	$1.3K	1,335	0	+1,335	Yes	+$1	05-13 22:10
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers	1	$943	945	0	+945	open	—	05-01 23:05
Will "Michael" score at least 35 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	1	$798	799	0	+799	open	—	04-27 14:00
Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$771	772	0	+772	open	—	04-30 20:19
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Los Angeles Thieves - Game 3 Winner	1	$749	750	0	+750	open	—	04-26 21:45
Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 4.2M in Q1?	2	$740	740	0	+740	open	—	04-28 22:24
Will Dropbox (DBX) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$700	701	0	+701	Yes	+$1	05-07 20:26
Will "Pressure" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	1	$602	603	0	+603	open	—	06-01 14:21
will the last viking score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	1	$514	515	0	+515	open	—	06-01 14:20
Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 65B in Q1?	1	$463	464	0	+464	open	—	05-20 20:27
Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 4.6M in Q1?	4	$432	432	0	+432	open	—	04-28 22:27
Uber # of trips above 4.4B in Q1?	1	$363	364	0	+364	open	—	05-06 11:18
Will Cabot (CBT) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$361	361	0	+361	Yes	+$0	05-05 20:39
Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$349	350	0	+350	Yes	+$1	05-05 20:16
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$285	287	0	+287	open	—	04-29 20:04
Will SoundHound AI (SOUN) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$252	252	0	+252	No	+$0	05-07 20:43
Games Total: O/U 2.5	2	$238	500	0	+500	open	—	04-30 00:48
Will "Desert Warriors" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$222	222	0	+222	open	—	04-27 14:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 23:56:37	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	19,179	100¢	$19,160	0xfdc3c1…
06-17 23:56:32	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x7e7166…
06-17 23:56:14	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x20e114…
06-17 23:55:59	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x7b9d5c…
06-17 23:55:59	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x45fe4d…
06-17 23:55:58	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x25ee84…
06-17 23:55:56	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe12dc2…
06-17 23:55:56	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb91e87…
06-17 23:55:56	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8333ad…
06-17 23:55:56	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4307a6…
06-17 23:55:55	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xd592f3…
06-17 23:55:55	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc56450…
06-17 23:55:55	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xad6927…
06-17 23:55:53	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	4,676	100¢	$4,671	0xcb0b67…
06-03 16:26:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7,651	100¢	$7,628	0x1bed27…
06-03 16:26:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf2c033…
06-03 16:26:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,667	100¢	$1,662	0x4e6a23…
06-03 16:25:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4fe9ac…
06-03 16:25:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc46562…
06-03 16:25:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15,440	100¢	$15,393	0x846ce3…
06-01 14:21:04	Will "Pressure" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	603	100¢	$602	0xad531a…
06-01 14:20:41	will the last viking score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	515	100¢	$514	0x99ec1a…
05-20 20:53:47	Will Urban Outfitters (URBN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xabaa12…
05-20 20:48:48	Will Urban Outfitters (URBN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x3a095d…
05-20 20:27:18	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 65B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	464	100¢	$463	0x366358…
05-20 20:27:03	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 50B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0xfaf979…
05-13 22:10:28	Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $7.5B in Q3?	Yes	BUY	450	100¢	$449	0x6365c8…
05-13 20:25:09	Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $8.0B in Q3?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0478eb…
05-13 20:24:51	Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $8.5B in Q3?	Yes	BUY	137	99¢	$136	0xe2f2be…
05-13 20:24:44	Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $9.0B in Q3?	No	BUY	178	99¢	$176	0xf03734…
05-13 20:23:54	Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $9.0B in Q3?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xec7e57…
05-13 20:23:34	Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $8.5B in Q3?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xe890ad…
05-13 20:22:54	Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $7.5B in Q3?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xda54b0…
05-13 20:22:42	Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $8.0B in Q3?	Yes	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x744b22…
05-13 20:22:30	Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $7.5B in Q3?	Yes	BUY	884	100¢	$883	0xf52c59…
05-11 20:07:53	Will Quantum Computing (QUBT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x8f16a9…
05-07 20:43:17	Will SoundHound AI (SOUN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	252	100¢	$252	0xa9bc11…
05-07 20:27:45	Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x0b2500…
05-07 20:27:36	Will Toast (TOST) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x49c38f…
05-07 20:26:38	Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0xfedb4a…
05-07 20:26:14	Will Dropbox (DBX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x81dde8…
05-07 20:25:09	Will Toast (TOST) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x855d67…
05-07 20:21:27	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x984668…
05-07 20:19:33	Will Dropbox (DBX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	700	100¢	$699	0x732f5f…
05-06 21:07:27	Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x9595fc…
05-06 11:52:50	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Spirit Academy White vs Dark Phoenix - Game 1 Winner	Dark Phoenix	BUY	933	3¢	$30	0xdb5968…
05-06 11:18:44	Uber # of trips above 4.4B in Q1?	No	BUY	364	100¢	$363	0xb2a624…
05-05 20:39:48	Will Cabot (CBT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x06abaf…
05-05 20:38:44	Will Cabot (CBT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	359	100¢	$359	0xea4f5e…
05-05 20:16:18	Match Payers above 13.6 million in Q1?	No	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0x655485…
05-05 20:16:00	Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x899f77…
05-05 20:15:26	Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	235	100¢	$234	0xf94d12…
05-05 20:15:12	Match Payers above 13.6 million in Q1?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc009c5…
05-05 20:15:04	Match Payers above 13.6 million in Q1?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x885482…
05-05 20:14:56	Match Payers above 13.8 million in Q1?	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x08b072…
05-04 20:51:44	Paramount+ subscribers above 78M in Q1?	Yes	BUY	5,500	99¢	$5,467	0x0dd76c…
05-04 20:35:12	Paramount+ subscribers above 78M in Q1?	Yes	BUY	5,000	99¢	$4,970	0x16372a…
05-04 20:30:52	Paramount+ subscribers above 78M in Q1?	Yes	BUY	3,000	99¢	$2,982	0xcb7ebc…
05-04 20:06:20	Paramount+ subscribers above 80M in Q1?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x6674e1…
05-04 14:17:34	Will "Animal Farm" score at least 25 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x97cc4d…
05-02 19:24:10	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe9dae0…
05-02 19:18:42	Rainbow Six Siege: Pannuhuone vs Fight Club 1 - Game 2 Winner	Pannuhuone	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xd8a731…
05-02 19:17:44	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xf25b63…
05-01 23:05:08	Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers	Los Angeles Thieves	BUY	945	100¢	$943	0xc02270…
05-01 00:33:42	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	5,555	100¢	$5,550	0x5026bd…
05-01 00:07:50	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9d3f65…
05-01 00:07:44	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x196701…
05-01 00:07:42	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3dfe92…
04-30 22:03:32	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	2,406	100¢	$2,402	0x721616…
04-30 20:48:24	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dark Phoenix vs The Soulless Team (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 2nd Division	The Soulless Team	BUY	180	0¢	$0	0x25f917…
04-30 20:48:22	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dark Phoenix vs The Soulless Team (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 2nd Division	The Soulless Team	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0x182034…
04-30 20:47:30	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Aterion Esports vs Kings Crown - Game 2 Winner	Kings Crown	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x9c7b9c…
04-30 20:47:28	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Aterion Esports vs Kings Crown - Game 2 Winner	Kings Crown	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xc9e2bb…
04-30 20:47:24	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Aterion Esports vs Kings Crown - Game 1 Winner	Kings Crown	BUY	134	0¢	$0	0x39baa8…
04-30 20:47:22	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Aterion Esports vs Kings Crown - Game 1 Winner	Kings Crown	BUY	116	0¢	$0	0x24f0e2…
04-30 20:46:24	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: The World vs HARD GRIND - Game 2 Winner	The World	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0xf808cc…
04-30 20:46:20	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: The World vs HARD GRIND - Game 2 Winner	The World	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x01e067…
04-30 20:46:18	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: The World vs HARD GRIND - Game 1 Winner	HARD GRIND	BUY	134	0¢	$0	0xcf065e…
04-30 20:46:18	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: The World vs HARD GRIND - Game 1 Winner	HARD GRIND	BUY	116	0¢	$0	0x36b72e…
04-30 20:19:14	Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	772	100¢	$771	0xc2a1d0…
04-30 00:48:10	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0x1b592a…
04-30 00:45:42	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	250	95¢	$238	0xeebb62…
04-30 00:33:28	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 1st Division	Team Yandex	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0xb1d722…
04-30 00:31:44	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 1st Division	Team Yandex	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x6002dd…
04-30 00:10:34	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xcccfc1…
04-30 00:10:34	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0x0ed5a2…
04-30 00:10:24	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Cyber Hero vs Magic (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 1st Division	Magic	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x76c113…
04-30 00:10:24	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Cyber Hero vs Magic (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 1st Division	Magic	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x603fc2…
04-30 00:10:20	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Cyber Hero vs Magic (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 1st Division	Magic	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x894998…
04-30 00:10:20	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Cyber Hero vs Magic (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 1st Division	Magic	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x39ad00…
04-29 22:06:50	Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	183	99¢	$182	0x037664…
04-29 20:04:14	Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	287	100¢	$285	0x1d6b6a…
04-28 22:27:24	Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 4.6M in Q1?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe89d46…
04-28 22:27:18	Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 4.6M in Q1?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x3b780c…
04-28 22:27:12	Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 4.6M in Q1?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xc28be5…
04-28 22:27:04	Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 4.6M in Q1?	No	BUY	169	100¢	$168	0x61a85b…
04-28 22:24:12	Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 4.2M in Q1?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc907e5…
04-28 22:23:58	Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 4.2M in Q1?	Yes	BUY	728	100¢	$728	0xf693ab…
04-28 22:21:16	Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 4.8M in Q1?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xfdf2e9…
04-28 22:18:52	Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 4.4M in Q1?	No	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0x07f956…