Gregarious-Menopause — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.89K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

177

Trades

301

lifetime

Volume

$145.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$482

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 10-25 11:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

39% 88% +$2,584

Politics

36% 100% +$73

Crypto

17% 100% +$75

Tech

9% 78% +$158

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	14	$25.1K	25,146	0	+25,146	Yes	+$25	06-17 23:56
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$24.8K	24,898	0	+24,898	No	+$75	06-03 16:26
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$18.4K	18,480	0	+18,480	Yes	+$37	04-08 21:13
Paramount+ subscribers above 78M in Q1?	3	$13.4K	13,500	0	+13,500	Yes	+$81	05-04 20:51
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$8.0K	7,962	0	+7,962	No	+$10	05-01 00:33
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	1	$7.5K	7,462	0	+7,462	Yes	+$8	04-22 21:07
will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on april 19 2026	2	$7.4K	7,454	0	+7,454	Yes	+$10	04-21 15:23
Rocket League: NOVO Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner	4	$3.1K	1,556	1,555	+1	NOVO Esports	+$30	04-25 17:57
r6siege 130 sr 2026 04 23	3	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	Shopify Rebellion	+$2	04-24 00:46
Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 50B in Q1?	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$2	05-20 20:27
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Minor Playoffs	2	$1.9K	1,956	0	+1,956	Toronto KOI	+$9	04-24 23:31
Rocket League: Gentle Mates vs Vitality - Game 1 Winner	1	$1.5K	1,556	0	+1,556	Gentle Mates	+$31	04-25 17:55
Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $7.5B in Q3?	3	$1.3K	1,335	0	+1,335	Yes	+$1	05-13 22:10
Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 70B in Q1?	1	$1.1K	1,098	0	+1,098	Yes	+$1	05-20 20:30
Will NVIDIA Q1 adjusted gross margin be above 76%?	1	$971	972	0	+972	No	+$1	05-20 20:40
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers	1	$943	945	0	+945	Los Angeles Thieves	+$2	05-01 23:05
Will "Michael" score at least 35 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	1	$798	799	0	+799	Yes	+$1	04-27 14:00
Will NVIDIA Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 75% and 76%?	4	$781	931	0	+931	Yes	+$150	05-20 20:25
Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$771	772	0	+772	Yes	+$1	04-30 20:19
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Los Angeles Thieves - Game 3 Winner	1	$749	750	0	+750	OpTic Texas	+$1	04-26 21:45
Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 4.2M in Q1?	2	$740	740	0	+740	Yes	+$1	04-28 22:24
Will Dropbox (DBX) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$700	701	0	+701	Yes	+$1	05-07 20:26
gety quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 0pt01	1	$690	698	0	+698	No	+$8	08-10 20:16
will marriott mar q2 worldwide revpar be above 139 20260725194931754	5	$649	703	0	+703	No	+$54	08-03 11:08
will blackrock blk q2 quarterly total net inflows be above 225b 20260618011532653	4	$637	638	0	+638	No	+$2	08-01 15:18
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	3	$630	400	250	+150	Yes	+$9	10-18 23:58
Will "Pressure" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	1	$602	603	0	+603	Yes	+$1	06-01 14:21
will the last viking score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	1	$514	515	0	+515	Yes	+$1	06-01 14:20
Will Mohamed Salah join Al-Hilal?	1	$481	481	0	+481	No	+$0	08-06 16:46
Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 65B in Q1?	1	$463	464	0	+464	Yes	+$0	05-20 20:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 11:35:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0xfe5ba2…
10-24 10:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	38	1¢	$0	0x76b0cc…
10-23 21:18:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	184	1¢	$2	0x59a573…
10-18 23:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	110	98¢	$107	0xe097f2…
10-18 23:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	140	98¢	$137	0x0cc6d0…
10-18 23:35:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	400	96¢	$385	0x5fc079…
10-18 23:19:29	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	SELL	598	4¢	$24	0x12b929…
10-18 23:18:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	500	7¢	$36	0x8bf1e7…
10-18 23:18:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x20a16e…
10-18 23:18:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x07da64…
10-18 23:18:29	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	91	6¢	$5	0xa3a8e9…
10-18 23:14:32	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0xdcaea3…
10-18 23:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	1,215	0¢	$1	0x89271d…
10-17 23:15:45	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xff5ce3…
10-01 16:04:44	Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x7c0ef0…
08-10 20:16:54	gety quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 0pt01	No	BUY	698	99¢	$690	0x76481a…
08-10 20:16:00	qubt quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 neg0pt04	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x07a425…
08-10 20:12:27	qubt quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 neg0pt04	No	BUY	422	100¢	$421	0x9577e8…
08-06 20:28:26	will airbnb abnb q2 gross booking value be above 26pt4b 20260725020755861	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa3bb9e…
08-06 20:28:18	will airbnb abnb q2 gross booking value be above 26pt4b 20260725020755861	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$46	0x09b6f6…
08-06 20:27:24	mnst quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt58	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf2890d…
08-06 20:24:38	mnst quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt58	Yes	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x1e613e…
08-06 20:24:05	will airbnb abnb q2 gross booking value be above 27pt6b 20260725020755865	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x01e8b4…
08-06 20:17:08	grpn quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 neg0pt06	No	BUY	98	67¢	$66	0xa94329…
08-06 20:16:33	afl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 1pt76	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x43e33c…
08-06 20:16:26	grpn quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 neg0pt06	No	BUY	1	67¢	$0	0xc438ff…
08-06 20:15:44	sg quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 06 2026 neg0pt15	No	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0xc3be35…
08-06 20:13:32	icui quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 1pt91	Yes	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x644580…
08-06 20:11:48	ttd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt4	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0xb672b8…
08-06 20:10:50	yelp quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt36	Yes	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0xea5c7b…
08-06 20:09:45	will lyft lyft q2 rides be above 205m 20260725195759091	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xe930aa…
08-06 20:08:20	will lyft lyft q2 rides be above 185m 20260725195759091	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0bcbe4…
08-06 20:08:17	will lyft lyft q2 rides be above 205m 20260725195759091	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x10b0c4…
08-06 20:08:05	will lyft lyft q2 rides be above 185m 20260725195759091	Yes	BUY	221	100¢	$221	0x98ef59…
08-06 20:08:02	will lyft lyft q2 rides be above 205m 20260725195759091	Yes	BUY	212	100¢	$211	0xc889af…
08-06 20:04:21	will airbnb abnb q2 gross booking value be above 26pt4b 20260725020755861	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x345d93…
08-06 20:03:39	will airbnb abnb q2 gross booking value be above 27pt3b 20260725020755864	No	BUY	223	73¢	$163	0x53f84f…
08-06 16:46:32	Will Mohamed Salah join Galatasaray?	No	BUY	336	100¢	$335	0xc5ffc9…
08-06 16:46:27	Will Mohamed Salah join Al-Hilal?	No	BUY	481	100¢	$481	0x455e4b…
08-06 12:03:12	tday quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 neg0pt02	Yes	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x2a6a55…
08-06 11:32:51	pton quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt12	Yes	BUY	64	91¢	$58	0xdc404b…
08-06 11:11:53	trip quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt38	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x0a4f0d…
08-06 11:00:51	pton quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt12	Yes	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0xed0a8d…
08-06 10:23:21	etsy quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt72	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb52dd8…
08-05 21:41:51	will western digital wdc q4 exabytes shipped be above 240 20260718025354560	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x087cc0…
08-05 21:07:21	will western digital wdc q4 exabytes shipped be above 255 20260718025354560	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xcb05d7…
08-05 21:07:17	will western digital wdc q4 exabytes shipped be above 250 20260718025354560	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xd5d8d4…
08-05 20:41:11	ampl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 neg0pt01	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x05167c…
08-05 20:33:18	met quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 2pt29	Yes	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x825c37…
08-05 20:23:48	snex quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 1pt1	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0xbf99a7…
08-05 20:03:27	will western digital wdc q4 exabytes shipped be above 240 20260718025354560	No	BUY	70	84¢	$59	0x407c8c…
08-05 15:59:27	Will PlayTime win the 2026 Games of the Future tournament	Yes	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x50771e…
08-04 20:10:12	bbby quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 27 2026 neg0pt26	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdb13bd…
08-04 12:00:32	mcd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 3pt33	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$2	0x3cbd19…
08-04 11:06:06	mcd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 3pt33	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5a9f13…
08-04 11:06:05	mcd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 3pt33	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf32705…
08-04 11:05:45	mcd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 3pt33	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x73b1a9…
08-04 11:01:14	McDonald's (MCD) Q2 global comparable sales growth 1.5%-2.5%?	No	BUY	377	74¢	$279	0xcc9269…
08-03 22:45:36	ea quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt8	Yes	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xe7ddf1…
08-03 20:41:57	cbt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 03 2026 1pt65	Yes	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0xdfd5da…
08-03 20:33:02	crsp quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 03 2026 neg1pt18	Yes	BUY	147	95¢	$140	0x1ae6ae…
08-03 20:27:14	crsp quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 03 2026 neg1pt18	Yes	BUY	356	47¢	$167	0xd235e5…
08-03 20:11:08	ea quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt8	Yes	BUY	330	83¢	$273	0xfecc58…
08-03 17:33:57	Will Anna Leigh Waters win the 2026 Major League Pickleball MVP award?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x681536…
08-03 11:11:20	will marriott mar q2 worldwide revpar be above 142 20260725194931756	Yes	BUY	515	0¢	$1	0xc11535…
08-03 11:11:20	will marriott mar q2 worldwide revpar be above 142 20260725194931756	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x4be41b…
08-03 11:11:18	will marriott mar q2 worldwide revpar be above 142 20260725194931756	Yes	BUY	723	0¢	$1	0x0a7cbb…
08-03 11:11:11	will marriott mar q2 worldwide revpar be above 142 20260725194931756	Yes	BUY	552	0¢	$1	0x630277…
08-03 11:11:09	will marriott mar q2 worldwide revpar be above 142 20260725194931756	Yes	BUY	698	0¢	$1	0xf32be0…
08-03 11:08:50	will marriott mar q2 worldwide revpar be above 139 20260725194931754	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd09586…
08-03 11:05:06	will marriott mar q2 worldwide revpar be above 139 20260725194931754	No	BUY	654	95¢	$618	0x03ec68…
08-03 11:04:33	will marriott mar q2 worldwide revpar be above 139 20260725194931754	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2e866c…
08-03 11:04:33	will marriott mar q2 worldwide revpar be above 139 20260725194931754	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1954ab…
08-03 11:03:48	will marriott mar q2 worldwide revpar be above 142 20260725194931756	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xce21ae…
08-03 11:03:35	will marriott mar q2 worldwide revpar be above 143pt5 20260725194931757	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xdc4fce…
08-03 11:03:03	will marriott mar q2 worldwide revpar be above 137pt5 20260725194931753	Yes	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0x017ed2…
08-03 11:02:03	will marriott mar q2 worldwide revpar be above 139 20260725194931754	No	BUY	35	90¢	$31	0x52f617…
08-03 11:01:54	will marriott mar q2 worldwide revpar be above 137pt5 20260725194931753	Yes	BUY	134	90¢	$120	0x4eb631…
08-01 16:57:30	Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	316	1¢	$3	0x8afcf7…
08-01 16:57:20	Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x008673…
08-01 15:18:41	will blackrock blk q2 quarterly total net inflows be above 225b 20260618011532653	No	BUY	275	100¢	$275	0x0f7660…
08-01 15:18:32	will blackrock blk q2 quarterly total net inflows be above 225b 20260618011532653	No	BUY	314	100¢	$313	0x5f0b76…
08-01 15:11:50	will blackrock blk q2 quarterly total net inflows be above 175b 20260618011532651	Yes	BUY	172	100¢	$171	0xe13e75…
08-01 15:11:41	will blackrock blk q2 quarterly total net inflows be above 225b 20260618011532653	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9f5d62…
08-01 15:11:26	will blackrock blk q2 quarterly total net inflows be above 225b 20260618011532653	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x0c93ed…
08-01 15:11:21	will blackrock blk q2 quarterly total net inflows be above 125b 20260618011532649	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa2a86e…
08-01 15:11:17	will blackrock blk q2 quarterly total net inflows be above 200b 20260618011532652	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x1705b8…
08-01 15:11:08	will blackrock blk q2 quarterly total net inflows be above 175b 20260618011532651	Yes	BUY	163	99¢	$161	0xac57df…
08-01 15:11:02	will blackrock blk q2 quarterly total net inflows be above 150b 20260618011532650	Yes	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x0c88d3…
08-01 15:10:56	will blackrock blk q2 quarterly total net inflows be above 125b 20260618011532649	Yes	BUY	108	96¢	$105	0x6da6a5…
07-31 11:51:09	will abbvie q2 global skyrizi net revenues be above 22b 20260718022357819	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xac4ea3…
07-31 11:51:00	will abbvie q2 global skyrizi net revenues be above 18b 20260718022357815	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x938e70…
07-31 11:50:42	will abbvie q2 global skyrizi net revenues be above 18b 20260718022357815	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x82dcf5…
07-31 11:15:36	will abbvie q2 global rinvoq net revenues be above 2pt4b 20260718022655032	No	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x4ada3b…
07-31 10:21:39	will chevron cvx q2 oil equivalent barrels per day net production koebd be above 4pt0m 20260718020317331	No	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0xd10756…
07-31 10:13:44	will chevron cvx q2 oil equivalent barrels per day net production koebd be above 4pt0m 20260718020317331	No	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0x067711…
07-30 10:56:17	will hyatt hotels h q2 system wide hotels revpar be above 160 20260725195253869	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x2f2cff…
07-30 10:56:12	will hyatt hotels h q2 system wide hotels revpar be above 152 20260725195253869	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xbb987f…
07-30 10:56:08	will hyatt hotels h q2 system wide hotels revpar be above 154 20260725195253869	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x50a7ea…
07-30 10:55:53	will hyatt hotels h q2 system wide hotels revpar be above 156 20260725195253869	Yes	BUY	119	64¢	$76	0xf20b3a…