Innocent-Lord — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$2.55K

Unrealized P&L

+$76

Hit rate

96.4%

Resolved (90d)

1,482

Trades (90d)

2,537

6,240 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$282.0K

$942.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$151

Open exposure

$333

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-28 17:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 251 days

Categories

Other

98% 94% -$2,499

Crypto

1% 84% -$323

Tech

1% 85% +$58

Sports

0% 67% -$129

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 181 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes		+335	$210	87¢	$292	+$82	10-26 18:49
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No		+63	$47	66¢	$42	-$6	10-28 17:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeasts next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3	5	$3.8K	1,972	1,972	+0	Yes	+$93	03-10 17:20
will mrbeasts next video get 67 million or more views on day 5	11	$3.6K	1,878	1,878	+0	Yes	+$148	03-12 13:08
highest temperature in paris on april 8 2026 27c	2	$1.5K	730	729	+0	No	+$7	04-08 21:27
will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1	36	$1.3K	2,498	0	+2,498	No	-$1,299	03-13 16:26
Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.10 by September 30, 2026?	7	$1.2K	1,210	0	+1,210	Yes	+$48	09-19 10:42
highest temperature in warsaw on april 9 2026 9c	2	$1.0K	523	523	+1	No	+$10	04-09 20:50
highest temperature in warsaw on april 10 2026 11c	2	$1.0K	517	517	+1	No	+$10	04-10 21:33
highest temperature in beijing on april 9 2026 17corhigher	3	$990	499	498	+0	No	+$6	04-09 08:43
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 13 2026 16c	3	$962	493	492	+1	No	+$21	04-13 21:06
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 18?	3	$901	603	301	+302	Yes	-$299	09-18 15:07
Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.25 by September 30, 2026?	7	$856	937	0	+937	Yes	+$81	09-13 06:12
Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.05 by September 30, 2026?	15	$820	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$112	09-20 10:52
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on May 7?	4	$811	412	412	+0	No	+$11	05-07 14:37
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 26?	2	$806	407	407	+0	Yes	+$6	06-26 14:15
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 11 2026 32corhigher	2	$805	406	406	+0	No	+$6	04-11 08:40
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 26?	2	$804	405	405	+0	Yes	+$4	06-26 15:29
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?	2	$804	405	405	+0	Yes	+$4	06-18 12:37
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 24?	2	$804	404	404	+0	Yes	+$4	06-24 14:06
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 4?	4	$803	508	303	+204	Yes	-$197	06-04 20:23
will mrbeasts next video get 59 million or more views on day 4	3	$760	400	400	+0	Yes	+$40	03-11 18:46
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 5?	2	$747	379	379	+0	No	+$11	05-05 18:53
gpt 5pt4 released by march 9	2	$738	451	451	+0	Yes	+$38	03-05 16:29
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 15?	22	$735	400	400	+0	No	+$65	10-16 03:46
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 10 2026 24c	2	$719	362	362	+0	No	+$3	04-10 21:34
highest temperature in milan on april 10 2026 20c	2	$715	359	359	+0	No	+$3	04-10 15:50
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 10 2026 32corhigher	3	$709	357	356	+0	No	+$3	04-10 11:33
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 18?	2	$703	354	354	+0	Yes	+$3	06-18 12:56
LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	2	$700	703	0	+703	Yes	+$3	09-10 09:20
highest temperature in beijing on april 13 2026 22c	2	$691	350	349	+0	No	+$7	04-13 08:20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 29?	3	$670	341	341	+0	No	+$10	05-29 21:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 17:30:26	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	63	75¢	$47	0xff122e…
10-28 17:29:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on October 29?	No	SELL	55	87¢	$48	0xd829b2…
10-28 17:27:31	over 3m committed to the over computer public sale	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xd8a3f3…
10-28 17:27:17	over 5m committed to the over computer public sale	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xf6142a…
10-28 17:26:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on October 29?	No	SELL	12	88¢	$11	0x7a0410…
10-28 15:41:53	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.00 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	35	68¢	$24	0x513df8…
10-28 13:58:34	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on October 28?	No	SELL	78	4¢	$3	0x2c3109…
10-28 11:08:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 29?	No	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xdbac4d…
10-28 10:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 28?	No	SELL	40	57¢	$23	0x8428b1…
10-28 10:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 28?	No	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x65bf1a…
10-28 10:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 28?	No	SELL	19	57¢	$11	0x356f87…
10-28 10:14:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 28?	No	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0x87bc5c…
10-28 10:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 28?	No	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0xf03d3a…
10-28 09:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x97c641…
10-28 09:25:05	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 28?	No	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x91d222…
10-28 08:40:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 28?	No	SELL	93	0¢	$0	0x442a7f…
10-28 03:07:36	Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?	No	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0xbf0f99…
10-28 01:50:39	Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?	No	BUY	44	65¢	$29	0x665554…
10-27 19:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 28?	No	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0xff7f26…
10-27 19:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 28?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xdf5ddb…
10-27 19:07:59	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 28?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xce13c3…
10-27 19:06:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 28?	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x797ed5…
10-27 16:48:00	highest temperature in buenos aires on october 29 2026 24c	No	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xed33c2…
10-27 15:58:06	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 27?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0xee4a0f…
10-27 15:38:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	19	35¢	$7	0xd3faf8…
10-27 15:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0xb8d557…
10-27 14:18:38	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x9913be…
10-27 14:13:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 27?	No	SELL	78	0¢	$0	0xdf4597…
10-27 14:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 28?	No	SELL	105	27¢	$28	0x1037f6…
10-27 11:59:26	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 29?	No	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xa740fd…
10-27 11:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	78	99¢	$77	0x3750f8…
10-27 09:27:30	Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?	No	BUY	39	66¢	$26	0xd5cbaf…
10-27 09:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on October 29?	No	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x07f056…
10-27 09:21:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on October 29?	No	BUY	67	74¢	$50	0x0dbdb7…
10-27 09:12:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$71	0xce11e6…
10-26 21:56:14	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on October 28?	No	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x475caa…
10-26 21:54:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	84	97¢	$82	0x3e117e…
10-26 18:49:24	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	134	63¢	$84	0xb74f17…
10-26 18:49:24	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x8a6153…
10-26 18:49:24	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	63¢	$69	0x6610cc…
10-26 18:48:45	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	63¢	$21	0xec7ae4…
10-26 17:56:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 26?	No	SELL	186	100¢	$186	0xb89a8b…
10-26 12:33:24	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	63¢	$24	0x2b388d…
10-26 11:35:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 28?	No	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x2cc10c…
10-26 11:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 28?	No	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x6f127b…
10-26 11:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	84	59¢	$50	0x915e8c…
10-26 11:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	105	48¢	$50	0xb795c0…
10-26 11:29:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x84024f…
10-26 11:27:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 28?	No	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x7dd673…
10-26 11:23:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 27?	No	BUY	87	58¢	$50	0x3a3d01…
10-26 11:22:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 27?	No	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xd26f40…
10-26 11:20:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	No	BUY	72	70¢	$50	0xeb2055…
10-26 11:16:23	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 27?	No	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xe2bc04…
10-26 09:33:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	113	78¢	$88	0x5da321…
10-26 09:32:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	74	75¢	$55	0x6e8644…
10-26 08:41:32	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 26?	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xe4c955…
10-26 08:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0x65df80…
10-26 08:39:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x803b49…
10-26 08:38:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 26?	No	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0xa51ccb…
10-26 08:38:32	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 26?	No	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0x1acc6f…
10-25 22:56:29	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 26?	No	BUY	95	73¢	$69	0xa71808…
10-25 22:55:14	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 26?	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x361069…
10-25 22:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x2b338a…
10-25 22:52:38	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 25?	No	SELL	127	99¢	$126	0xe22ce2…
10-25 22:52:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 25?	No	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0x18bb19…
10-25 13:47:03	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 25?	No	BUY	127	75¢	$95	0x504a05…
10-25 13:46:29	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 25?	No	SELL	99	96¢	$95	0xf7bc89…
10-25 11:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 25?	No	BUY	39	92¢	$36	0xdf3b4c…
10-25 11:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 25?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xcdec97…
10-25 09:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 25?	No	BUY	135	93¢	$126	0xc062b0…
10-25 09:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 25?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x199b85…
10-25 09:40:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 25?	No	BUY	56	92¢	$52	0xa1db49…
10-25 09:26:14	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0x21eade…
10-25 09:17:05	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 25?	No	BUY	312	64¢	$200	0x79785f…
10-24 15:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 24?	No	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x6942c3…
10-24 14:52:08	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 24?	No	BUY	44	80¢	$35	0x8825a9…
10-24 14:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 24?	No	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x79cd6a…
10-24 14:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 24?	No	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0x0bcbcb…
10-24 13:16:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 24?	No	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0x8b704c…
10-24 13:14:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 24?	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x4e565a…
10-24 13:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 24?	No	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x5921b7…
10-24 13:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 24?	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xa24ef0…
10-24 13:12:29	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 24?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x18a76e…
10-24 13:12:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 24?	No	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x12d296…
10-24 13:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 24?	No	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0xfe0605…
10-24 13:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 24?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xd0be97…
10-24 12:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 24?	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x0da636…
10-24 12:13:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 24?	No	BUY	75	52¢	$39	0x7addfd…
10-24 12:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 24?	No	BUY	63	56¢	$35	0x33c6f3…
10-24 11:10:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 24?	No	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x80996c…
10-24 11:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 24?	No	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xfdce24…
10-24 10:56:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 24?	No	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0xb63eef…
10-24 10:50:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 24?	No	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x3ce4be…
10-24 09:52:11	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 5°C on October 25?	No	BUY	39	60¢	$24	0x61ed2c…
10-24 09:19:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 24?	No	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0x36889a…
10-24 09:10:12	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 5°C on October 25?	No	BUY	72	60¢	$43	0xb77082…
10-24 09:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 24?	No	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0x408852…
10-24 09:01:53	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 5°C on October 25?	No	BUY	14	60¢	$9	0x8d1010…
10-24 08:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 24?	No	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0x73a5b9…
10-24 08:50:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 24?	No	BUY	49	59¢	$29	0xa2a059…