Black-And-White-Turf — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

165

Trades

174

lifetime

Volume

$3.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$60

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-11 19:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Other

46% 100% +$6

Crypto

45% 100% +$6

Politics

6% 100% +$1

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 12?	No		+33	$33	99¢	$33	$0	11-11 19:28
Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No		+27	$27	100¢	$27	+$0	10-23 07:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2100 on april 22	2	$61	61	0	+61	Yes	+$0	04-22 02:18
ethereum above 2400 on april 11	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	04-11 16:12
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	3	$56	56	0	+56	No	+$0	05-15 13:49
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18?	1	$52	53	0	+53	No	+$0	10-17 08:29
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	1	$50	51	0	+51	Yes	+$0	09-22 10:34
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	11-04 12:08
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	10-10 17:48
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	1	$41	41	0	+41	Yes	+$0	07-31 09:46
bitcoin above 68k on august 9 2026	1	$41	41	0	+41	No	+$0	08-08 10:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	05-23 12:00
highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 21c	1	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	04-23 18:57
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?	1	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	09-28 06:57
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?	2	$38	38	0	+38	Yes	+$0	06-02 16:20
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	09-13 04:24
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	08-23 17:20
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	10-07 23:38
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$36	37	0	+37	No	+$0	09-20 14:41
ethereum above 2400 on april 19	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	04-19 14:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 26?	1	$34	34	0	+34	Yes	+$0	05-25 05:15
Will Tim Skelton be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	05-18 09:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 12?	1	$33	33	0	+33	open	—	11-11 19:28
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	04-20 17:17
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 19	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	04-19 12:10
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	1	$31	32	0	+32	No	+$0	07-12 12:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 23?	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$0	10-23 04:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	04-30 13:53
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	09-23 14:29
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-25 07:32
bitcoin above 60k on august 21 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	08-19 17:46
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	07-20 23:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 19:28:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xe1a1ee…
11-08 06:33:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x3a4925…
11-04 12:08:42	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x9b1507…
11-02 10:19:39	Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xedd14b…
10-30 12:44:36	Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x17ff10…
10-29 20:45:25	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x353632…
10-29 07:20:59	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xee1185…
10-27 07:56:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc9e010…
10-23 07:21:09	Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x1394f0…
10-23 04:24:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x7bcfcf…
10-18 01:51:50	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb1998f…
10-17 08:29:20	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0xe97e67…
10-12 10:35:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x2e69fd…
10-10 17:48:16	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x5bb3ca…
10-09 08:49:13	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 5 and October 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e75ac…
10-07 23:38:46	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x538afb…
10-03 16:59:45	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xaaecb4…
10-01 22:46:32	will bitcoin dip to 81k on october 1 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x514753…
10-01 02:38:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x5d21ee…
09-28 06:57:14	Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x96aa9f…
09-27 09:25:48	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x0dfe2d…
09-23 14:29:07	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x7e4f50…
09-22 10:34:33	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	51	100¢	$50	0x487367…
09-20 14:41:30	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$36	0xce49c7…
09-13 04:24:21	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x16d0a5…
09-03 23:18:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x7abe20…
08-28 12:48:15	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xbf0d8c…
08-27 23:04:42	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ded0e…
08-24 19:18:27	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x686f7a…
08-23 17:20:51	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x8264e4…
08-22 14:51:18	bitcoin above 70k on august 23 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc6698c…
08-19 17:46:12	bitcoin above 60k on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6fc16c…
08-18 17:41:54	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x23b259…
08-13 19:49:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 14?	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xa4412f…
08-12 19:11:18	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xba23f3…
08-08 10:18:24	bitcoin above 68k on august 9 2026	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x2a716f…
08-07 11:35:24	will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x78ad21…
08-06 07:20:47	ethereum above 1800 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xad5ed6…
08-01 20:19:20	will bitcoin dip to 56k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x117816…
07-31 09:46:00	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	Yes	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x525679…
07-28 04:26:46	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x94f951…
07-27 15:49:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6be408…
07-26 19:13:34	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x80fef7…
07-20 23:36:22	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x2ae4fb…
07-16 21:01:17	ethereum above 1700 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x77bbf6…
07-16 17:21:01	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x211065…
07-14 12:16:44	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1c15f0…
07-13 04:11:23	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7ca6af…
07-12 12:22:47	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$31	0xb82c46…
07-11 22:16:25	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x71a5c2…
07-05 15:35:23	will ethereum reach 1900 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb563c1…
07-04 19:57:53	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xf231ba…
07-04 06:42:02	bitcoin above 58k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf4b698…
07-04 03:01:53	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x4bbd83…
07-03 14:12:07	bitcoin above 54k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xac010f…
07-03 07:08:41	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x5f5335…
07-02 18:07:23	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x63c1e4…
07-02 07:11:11	bitcoin above 68k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3a90e5…
07-01 20:23:25	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x324507…
07-01 05:43:01	will andurils valuation hit high 110b by june 30	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xf054e8…
06-30 08:25:32	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x830dac…
06-29 17:15:14	Will STRC market cap hit $12B by June 30?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x423a01…
06-25 07:32:01	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x451929…
06-22 18:56:32	bitcoin above 60k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xcf85bb…
06-22 05:21:13	bitcoin above 68k on june 22 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x35749e…
06-21 22:10:25	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9c5107…
06-08 20:23:57	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x1c842f…
06-07 16:18:42	gpt 5pt6 released by june 8 2026 884	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x079b0c…
06-03 11:49:49	Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe5b3d1…
06-02 16:20:05	Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x03b1c6…
06-02 06:01:47	Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x35234d…
06-02 05:18:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf08f7b…
06-01 16:46:00	Will Thunder Parley advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xdcab04…
06-01 06:07:22	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x6db30a…
06-01 01:36:24	Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2a550e…
05-30 07:52:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd451b2…
05-29 22:20:12	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x9df371…
05-29 08:25:39	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by May 31?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x74f2e2…
05-29 05:37:06	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x39269a…
05-28 16:23:07	Will Islamic Group win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xed527f…
05-28 01:46:21	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xdfb093…
05-27 15:40:19	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xded32a…
05-27 14:53:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0xfa23a2…
05-27 01:26:21	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5cd17d…
05-26 08:19:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x7d3374…
05-26 03:24:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xbf7851…
05-25 23:50:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 26?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf3b6fd…
05-25 05:15:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xdb00ee…
05-25 02:19:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x514a78…
05-24 11:50:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xff1d1d…
05-24 02:25:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x32da70…
05-23 17:14:13	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2e25bb…
05-23 12:00:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x08a6d8…
05-23 00:22:10	Will "AMARGA NAVIDAD by Pedro ALMODÓVAR" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xfa5871…
05-21 04:08:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x8f3be2…
05-20 10:59:52	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x9d348e…
05-20 07:39:37	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xf3d582…
05-19 10:27:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x012c41…
05-19 03:52:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x1694f2…
05-18 14:13:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd2a8ea…