Upset-Uplift — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$142

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.8%

Resolved

477

Trades

1,117

lifetime

Volume

$15.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 10-11 19:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 79% -$153

Other

0% 22% +$5

Politics

0% 50% +$3

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Sports

0% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 379 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:10 UTC	6	$379	207	207	+0	Up	+$19	10-05 03:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:10 UTC	6	$283	152	152	+0	Down	+$4	10-04 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	6	$282	146	146	+0	Up	+$2	10-04 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	7	$262	154	154	+0	Up	$0	10-03 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	7	$258	139	139	+0	Up	+$14	10-03 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	6	$252	241	141	+100	Up	+$10	10-03 07:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 18:05 UTC	5	$250	144	144	+0	Down	+$8	10-04 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	3	$246	174	137	+37	Down	+$26	10-03 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	6	$246	131	131	+0	Down	+$4	10-04 08:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:25 UTC	4	$246	139	139	+0	Up	+$6	10-05 03:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:20 UTC	4	$245	132	132	+0	Down	+$5	10-05 03:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:45 UTC	4	$241	122	122	+0	Up	+$1	10-04 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	5	$241	183	145	+38	Down	-$1	10-03 07:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	3	$228	142	142	+0	Up	+$8	10-03 07:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$226	127	127	+0	Up	+$26	10-04 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	3	$224	126	126	+0	Down	+$4	10-03 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	4	$224	133	133	+0	Up	+$4	10-03 06:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	5	$223	148	108	+40	Up	-$19	10-04 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	3	$221	128	111	+16	Up	+$1	10-03 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	4	$218	118	118	+0	Up	+$16	10-04 08:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:55 UTC	4	$211	153	153	+0	Down	+$11	10-05 03:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:00 UTC	3	$211	114	114	+0	Down	+$9	10-04 07:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	3	$206	108	106	+2	Down	+$4	10-04 08:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:55 UTC	4	$205	105	105	+0	Up	+$3	10-04 17:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:05 UTC	2	$205	105	105	+0	Down	+$5	10-04 17:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:40 UTC	2	$203	104	104	+0	Down	+$3	10-04 06:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:20 UTC	2	$203	103	103	+0	Up	+$3	10-04 06:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:30 UTC	3	$202	102	102	+0	Up	+$0	10-04 06:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:05 UTC	3	$190	140	78	+62	Down	+$12	10-05 03:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:00 UTC	6	$169	178	178	+0	Up	-$11	10-05 04:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 19:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xb9a63b…
10-11 19:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x565251…
10-11 19:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xa99e94…
10-11 19:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8ff522…
10-11 19:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x5a78fb…
10-11 19:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xee3059…
10-11 19:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x03845e…
10-11 19:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa86bfa…
10-11 19:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf72509…
10-11 19:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xc15067…
10-11 19:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x80c08b…
10-11 19:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0xdc9f44…
10-11 19:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8b52ae…
10-11 19:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe8c32e…
10-11 19:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9b94c8…
10-11 19:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9ffcb6…
10-11 19:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1b7d07…
10-11 19:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x6eae6d…
10-11 19:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	23	92¢	$21	0x18f459…
10-11 19:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x09caed…
10-11 19:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x0a25b1…
10-11 19:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9d2270…
10-11 19:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa5d9d8…
10-11 19:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x8d6652…
10-11 19:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x295b74…
10-11 19:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x96c1ab…
10-11 19:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x908596…
10-11 19:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x907a0a…
10-11 19:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0xb90831…
10-11 19:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xf2bf13…
10-11 19:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xbbfe98…
10-11 19:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xab9a93…
10-11 19:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x199df8…
10-11 19:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb1f82f…
10-11 19:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x953a3e…
10-11 19:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x292037…
10-11 19:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2aa025…
10-11 19:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0x9fb73f…
10-11 19:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xcba54a…
10-11 19:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x9b881f…
10-11 19:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xaf09d5…
10-11 19:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x8aa175…
10-11 19:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0x4fca18…
10-11 19:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x724977…
10-11 19:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xc7ebe1…
10-11 19:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7b3482…
10-11 19:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x966f6f…
10-11 19:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x420eb5…
10-11 19:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x41953b…
10-11 19:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x7f1cc1…
10-11 19:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x4391a0…
10-11 19:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb48748…
10-11 19:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x75d2da…
10-11 19:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4f567c…
10-11 19:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xae3498…
10-11 19:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe22326…
10-11 19:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3b3025…
10-11 19:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0x8e496e…
10-11 19:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xffb815…
10-11 19:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xda662f…
10-11 19:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x8e90a1…
10-11 18:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe1e4e8…
10-11 18:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x71ebc0…
10-11 18:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x77a787…
10-11 18:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xc07590…
10-11 18:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xebd1ff…
10-11 18:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xd2b0f9…
10-11 18:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x923585…
10-11 18:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa6bbde…
10-11 18:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x034e2f…
10-11 18:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xbfbdc7…
10-11 18:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	13	29¢	$4	0x8af17c…
10-11 18:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x4fa09c…
10-11 18:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x707334…
10-11 11:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x4d1e74…
10-11 11:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd5d53b…
10-11 11:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x943a50…
10-11 11:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc11f3d…
10-11 11:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdd3239…
10-11 11:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x04edbb…
10-11 11:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0xd73eeb…
10-11 11:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x8dc93f…
10-11 11:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf61fc2…
10-11 11:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	9	83¢	$7	0xc7a5d7…
10-11 11:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x553e94…
10-11 11:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbe10fd…
10-11 11:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6e7f00…
10-11 11:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf991aa…
10-11 11:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0383a1…
10-11 10:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf3ad1a…
10-11 10:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb608bd…
10-11 10:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0xfd0a09…
10-11 10:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x7c2e85…
10-11 10:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x3455fa…
10-11 10:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x55d0ac…
10-11 10:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x067d8d…
10-11 10:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbaed66…
10-11 10:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x06a751…
10-11 10:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8bdbfc…
10-11 10:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9d1f8f…