Judicious-Applewood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$216

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.9%

Resolved

228

Trades

588

lifetime

Volume

$1.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-28

last 09-03 12:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 42% -$207

Other

11% 33% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 08:15 UTC	10	$73	104	104	+0	Up	+$9	06-16 08:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 11:30 UTC	8	$38	45	45	+0	Up	+$2	06-17 11:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 19:00 UTC	8	$35	40	40	+0	Down	+$5	07-08 19:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 13:00 UTC	2	$32	38	38	+0	Up	+$3	06-17 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	9	$29	52	52	+0	Down	-$19	05-28 13:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 10:00 UTC	7	$29	97	97	+0	Up	-$15	06-16 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$28	32	0	+32	Down	-$28	07-24 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 09:55 UTC	1	$26	30	0	+30	Up	+$4	07-09 09:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 09:45 UTC	5	$26	30	30	+0	Down	+$4	06-18 09:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 09:30 UTC	4	$24	60	0	+60	Up	+$6	06-16 09:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 10:15 UTC	7	$19	140	0	+140	Up	-$19	06-16 10:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 08:00 UTC	2	$17	37	37	+0	Up	+$3	06-18 08:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 07:45 UTC	2	$16	40	0	+40	Up	+$4	06-16 07:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 08:45 UTC	4	$16	40	0	+40	Up	+$4	06-16 08:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 08:30 UTC	4	$16	40	0	+40	Up	+$4	06-16 08:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 18:15 UTC	4	$16	40	0	+40	Down	+$4	07-08 18:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 07:30 UTC	7	$16	40	0	+40	Down	+$4	06-16 07:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 12:00 UTC	8	$16	40	0	+40	Up	+$4	06-17 12:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 08:00 UTC	8	$16	40	0	+40	Up	+$4	06-16 08:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 14:40 UTC	3	$16	25	19	+7	Up	+$3	07-24 14:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 12:45 UTC	2	$16	30	30	+0	Up	-$5	06-17 12:50
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	5	$15	29	0	+29	Down	+$3	05-28 10:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 10:15 UTC	2	$12	30	0	+30	Down	+$3	06-18 10:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 09:45 UTC	5	$12	30	0	+30	Down	-$12	06-16 09:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	4	$12	24	0	+24	Up	$0	05-28 12:05
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	4	$12	30	0	+30	Up	-$4	05-28 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	4	$12	24	0	+24	Up	+$6	05-28 11:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	4	$12	23	0	+23	Up	$0	05-28 11:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 09:30 UTC	4	$12	30	0	+30	Up	+$3	06-18 09:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 10:45 UTC	2	$11	30	30	+0	Up	-$5	06-18 10:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-03 12:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x99aa40…
09-03 12:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x448c50…
09-03 11:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x2b9798…
09-03 11:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x49fb5f…
09-03 11:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x0b9852…
09-03 11:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe04d71…
09-03 11:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9d0f7a…
09-03 11:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x986aa4…
09-03 11:35:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-03 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x87ebd4…
09-03 11:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xc5e557…
09-03 11:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x868994…
09-03 11:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x12e99b…
09-03 11:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xe2fb68…
09-03 11:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x4cbcb3…
09-03 11:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x3c3d50…
09-03 11:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x03e7c1…
09-03 11:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x4aa9b6…
09-03 11:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5cc4c5…
09-03 11:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x634d45…
09-03 11:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xf3cccb…
09-03 11:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xd00d61…
09-03 10:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xacfeea…
09-03 10:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe5b234…
09-03 10:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x32a09f…
09-03 10:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc881e2…
09-03 10:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xc0c0a7…
09-03 10:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xf7f412…
09-03 10:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf9c826…
09-03 10:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x253512…
09-03 10:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x14bebb…
09-03 10:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x04f8fa…
09-03 10:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x759f43…
09-03 10:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x18cc25…
09-03 10:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xacfe31…
09-03 10:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1d500d…
09-03 10:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x65fe53…
09-03 10:12:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-03 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x128636…
09-03 10:10:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-03 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x07f2ac…
09-03 10:09:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-03 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xc9f47a…
09-03 10:05:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-03 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xe88ab9…
09-03 10:02:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-03 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x06b9a6…
09-03 10:00:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-03 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xb2a941…
09-03 10:00:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-03 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4ce1bb…
09-03 09:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbe753e…
09-03 09:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x8e5554…
09-03 09:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x21c4c4…
09-03 09:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb4c0b1…
09-03 09:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8b0d2c…
07-24 14:46:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x7e1e51…
07-24 14:43:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xb51114…
07-24 14:42:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 14:40 UTC	Down	SELL	19	32¢	$6	0x2be356…
07-24 14:40:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x8b652c…
07-24 14:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	32	89¢	$28	0xec9872…
07-09 18:59:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x16e8b5…
07-09 18:52:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xe087d0…
07-09 18:38:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xaff3d3…
07-09 18:37:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x842fdd…
07-09 18:37:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x3afcdb…
07-09 10:46:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xcddc19…
07-09 10:46:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0x1cb7ba…
07-09 10:42:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x08c78a…
07-09 10:35:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xdf3582…
07-09 10:22:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x1872cf…
07-09 10:08:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x69eec3…
07-09 10:07:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5920c8…
07-09 10:01:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x502714…
07-09 09:58:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0xe0fc0b…
07-09 09:46:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xa407d4…
07-08 19:07:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 19:00 UTC	Down	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x8a1615…
07-08 19:07:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 19:00 UTC	Up	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x012240…
07-08 19:05:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa037e5…
07-08 19:05:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xced99b…
07-08 19:05:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xc07d26…
07-08 19:05:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7ca946…
07-08 19:05:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1159cd…
07-08 19:00:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xe5aa1b…
07-08 18:47:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xdc69fd…
07-08 18:39:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 18:30 UTC	Up	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x8fdd95…
07-08 18:30:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5f7fa4…
07-08 18:30:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x1cd3c3…
07-08 18:30:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x042cc0…
07-08 18:22:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xffcc84…
07-08 18:22:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x60f46a…
07-08 18:16:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0x827e47…
07-08 18:16:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	40¢	$7	0x3c5825…
07-08 18:00:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9dab99…
07-08 18:00:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xce0a8f…
07-08 17:47:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4a7004…
07-08 17:47:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5d41c1…
07-08 17:44:40	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 9?	No	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0x3b0f51…
07-08 17:44:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 8?	No	SELL	1	44¢	$1	0x867dca…
07-08 17:44:11	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 8?	No	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x3a53de…
07-08 17:43:40	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 8?	No	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xf024b7…
07-08 17:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 9?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xda46da…
07-08 17:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 9?	No	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x283632…
07-08 17:42:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on July 8?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xc17c74…
07-08 17:41:49	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 9?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xae57ac…
07-08 17:41:40	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 9?	No	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xd88550…
07-08 17:41:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 9?	No	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0xcc019a…
07-08 17:41:23	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 9?	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xa02bfa…