Realized P&L (90d)
+$16
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
65.3%
Resolved (90d)
78
Trades (90d)
614
614 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$547
$547 lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$84
15 positions
First seen
2026-08-13
last 11-01 18:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 33 days
Categories
Politics
49% 79% +$12
Other
37% 46% +$5
Sports
13% 26% -$1
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +30 $19 67¢ $20 +$1 10-29 08:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +30 $16 52¢ $16 $0 10-30 08:17
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +9 $9 95¢ $9 $0 11-01 00:10
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +9 $8 74¢ $7 -$1 09-17 10:58
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +9 $6 70¢ $7 +$1 10-29 12:55
Ravens vs. Bills Bills — +7 $4 90¢ $6 +$2 11-01 18:04
Vikings vs. Lions Lions — +7 $4 70¢ $5 +$0 11-01 18:20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +5 $4 72¢ $4 $0 10-29 17:19
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +7 $4 52¢ $3 $0 10-28 08:56
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +3 $3 97¢ $3 +$0 10-22 08:45
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +3 $2 65¢ $2 +$1 11-01 07:04
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-24 06:27
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +2 $1 42¢ $1 +$0 10-29 19:35
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? Yes +1 $1 79¢ $1 $0 10-31 10:56
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +0 $0 26¢ $0 +$0 11-01 11:36