Unsightly-Precipitation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$79

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

21.9%

Resolved

Trades

189

lifetime

Volume

$1.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 06-09 20:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 25% +$79

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	1	$10	33	+33	open	—	05-04 09:00
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	1	$10	32	+32	open	—	05-30 02:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	1	$10	40	+40	Up	$-10	05-08 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	1	$10	30	+30	open	—	05-20 16:59
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	1	$10	104	+104	open	—	05-03 06:45
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	1	$10	31	+31	open	—	05-23 22:12
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	1	$10	40	+40	open	—	04-26 07:28
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	1	$10	32	+32	open	—	04-26 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	1	$10	31	+31	Up	$-10	05-08 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$10	33	+33	open	—	05-28 14:13
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$10	41	+41	open	—	05-30 14:14
xrp updown 15m 1780893900	1	$10	40	+40	open	—	06-08 04:59
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	1	$10	40	+40	open	—	05-17 12:29
sol updown 15m 1780792200	1	$10	50	+50	open	—	06-07 00:45
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	1	$10	71	+71	open	—	05-29 01:14
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$10	40	+40	open	—	06-02 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	1	$10	41	+41	Down	$-10	05-10 13:14
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	1	$10	31	+31	open	—	05-20 19:14
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	1	$10	34	+34	open	—	04-30 04:59
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	1	$10	40	+40	open	—	05-03 04:57
sol updown 15m 1777020300	1	$10	55	+55	open	—	04-24 08:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	1	$10	40	+40	open	—	05-02 10:13
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	1	$10	40	+40	open	—	05-02 15:29
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	1	$10	41	+41	open	—	05-23 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$10	33	+33	Down	+$23	05-06 20:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	1	$10	31	+31	Down	$-10	05-10 19:14
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	1	$10	60	+60	open	—	05-16 08:29
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	1	$10	33	+33	open	—	05-20 11:14
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	1	$10	62	+62	open	—	06-01 17:43
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$10	46	+46	open	—	05-03 18:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 20:59:28	sol updown 15m 1781037900	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x2bd4d0…
06-09 05:29:31	sol updown 15m 1780982100	Down	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x278054…
06-08 13:13:07	eth updown 15m 1780923600	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xfbb29c…
06-08 13:12:19	btc updown 15m 1780923600	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x13b647…
06-08 04:59:51	xrp updown 15m 1780893900	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xb0321a…
06-07 00:45:00	sol updown 15m 1780792200	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xb2c3bd…
06-06 21:27:16	sol updown 15m 1780780500	Down	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0x6f93a7…
06-06 10:29:12	sol updown 15m 1780740900	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xccdc75…
06-05 23:14:30	xrp updown 15m 1780700400	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xa26612…
06-05 16:12:54	btc updown 15m 1780675200	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xf7d4aa…
06-05 15:59:19	xrp updown 15m 1780674300	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x2f15a2…
06-05 09:29:40	btc updown 15m 1780650900	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x1ee31d…
06-02 03:14:48	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xe0ca39…
06-01 17:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x65ab61…
06-01 17:43:31	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x2d76ba…
06-01 13:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0xd7bf8e…
06-01 08:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x2a2d7f…
05-31 21:59:12	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x86dc1d…
05-31 19:59:48	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0xe56457…
05-31 01:57:41	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x57dbc4…
05-30 21:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x52c1fc…
05-30 21:44:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x6388c4…
05-30 19:59:06	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x9a1982…
05-30 17:29:50	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	81	12¢	$10	0xe2d45f…
05-30 14:59:09	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x927426…
05-30 14:43:23	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	82	12¢	$10	0x50b49b…
05-30 14:43:21	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x50719f…
05-30 14:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xf7f8d1…
05-30 14:14:49	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x6793b7…
05-30 10:29:46	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xca33a3…
05-30 02:58:43	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xb1d9b7…
05-29 15:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x515381…
05-29 06:29:04	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x0384a4…
05-29 02:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x853dd0…
05-29 01:14:50	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xe0717d…
05-29 00:43:30	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x87beeb…
05-28 14:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x4a45c4…
05-28 14:12:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0xe8fd00…
05-28 12:59:03	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xcc46ce…
05-28 10:43:43	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xe4ac75…
05-28 09:58:48	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x5e6bc8…
05-28 06:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x0379d0…
05-28 04:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	94	11¢	$10	0x3d6fd0…
05-27 15:44:10	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x2ad472…
05-27 11:29:38	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	42	23¢	$10	0x4291f7…
05-25 22:58:55	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xe8eca7…
05-25 20:59:41	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xcf6ed8…
05-25 20:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	146	7¢	$10	0x9c50d5…
05-25 19:29:42	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0x8da84e…
05-25 11:29:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0x9dc717…
05-25 09:44:28	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x7699fa…
05-25 09:14:47	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x23a5ca…
05-24 05:43:32	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0xc4c252…
05-24 04:44:56	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0xbd25f4…
05-23 22:12:42	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xf8e694…
05-23 12:44:20	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x22e90d…
05-23 05:59:16	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0xf1becd…
05-23 02:59:17	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x66e63e…
05-23 00:12:46	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x1e94c3…
05-22 21:58:27	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x9895ed…
05-22 21:14:25	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0x7e25ad…
05-21 17:59:48	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x26bda4…
05-21 14:44:21	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xe99dc0…
05-21 14:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	141	7¢	$10	0x8e5896…
05-20 19:14:04	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x493f0c…
05-20 16:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x5b6b44…
05-20 15:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x213999…
05-20 11:14:39	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x9ca269…
05-19 19:44:56	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x25a6be…
05-19 11:14:58	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	37	26¢	$10	0x813562…
05-19 06:29:50	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xae53d1…
05-18 23:12:14	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x520641…
05-18 22:28:42	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0xd4413f…
05-18 17:29:28	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0xaddb6d…
05-17 20:13:47	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x82764b…
05-17 19:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x142e3d…
05-17 18:43:39	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	33¢	$7	0x323da8…
05-17 15:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xad6c07…
05-17 12:29:36	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x7a5b5b…
05-17 10:59:49	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	23¢	$5	0x1eb19f…
05-16 23:14:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	84	12¢	$10	0xb590e3…
05-16 21:58:42	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0xae8462…
05-16 21:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x12f799…
05-16 12:29:43	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xf9cd3c…
05-16 08:29:57	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0x4dd96b…
05-16 05:42:56	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	122	8¢	$10	0x9be610…
05-16 01:14:22	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x93805a…
05-15 07:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x0b2b0b…
05-15 06:14:37	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x97ce35…
05-14 19:42:38	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	32¢	$9	0xdbfc44…
05-14 16:59:36	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	46	21¢	$10	0x9996e6…
05-14 16:59:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x2880a7…
05-14 11:59:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0xa4e0dd…
05-14 09:59:57	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	55	13¢	$7	0xa96b12…
05-13 20:57:17	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xece451…
05-13 20:44:22	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x0a1902…
05-13 19:44:45	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0x8321f8…
05-12 18:14:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x4dad0f…
05-12 05:44:51	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	32¢	$7	0xaa7389…
05-11 21:14:10	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0xa893bb…