Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

56.2%

Resolved

205

Trades

214

lifetime

Volume

$254

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-08-08

last 11-06 04:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

93% 56% +$7

Politics

6% 57% +$3

Tech

1% 100% +$3

Crypto

1% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+3	$1	100¢	$3	+$2	11-05 20:05
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	82¢	$1	+$0	11-04 08:47
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	+2	$1	41¢	$1	$0	11-04 19:23
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	+1	$1	42¢	$1	$0	11-05 12:02
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	34¢	$0	-$1	11-06 04:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	2	$5	9	+9	No	-$1	08-09 11:04
will rklb reach 88 by august 10 2026	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-11 23:15
will googl reach 355 by august 17 2026	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-17 21:39
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-30 14:11
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 Week of August 31 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	09-01 07:25
will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	1	$2	11	+11	Yes	-$2	08-12 07:16
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-03 20:44
wti closes above 86 on august 31 2026	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	+$6	08-30 23:34
will nflx dip to 80 in august 2026	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-29 03:39
wti up or down on august 11 2026	1	$2	10	+10	Up	-$2	08-11 10:39
will nvda reach 232 by august 17 2026	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-18 05:39
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	+$5	09-02 20:59
will pltr dip to 162 by august 10 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-11 01:43
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$1	08-20 03:11
spy up or down on august 10 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	08-10 07:16
will spy dip to 760 by august 31 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	08-31 11:24
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-01 18:15
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $205 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$1	08-24 00:53
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-09 23:15
will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-17 12:13
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	+$4	08-28 18:12
will pltr reach 183 by august 10 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	08-10 17:30
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-08 18:54
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-24 08:54
will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-17 12:17
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-22 14:22
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-09 02:55
Will anyone say "Coffee" during Big Brother E37?	1	$2	6	+6	No	+$3	09-20 02:10
Will anyone say "Coffee" during Big Brother E35?	1	$2	7	+7	No	+$5	09-17 09:07
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	2	$2	4	+4	No	$0	10-17 16:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 04:06:07	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xdc4845…
11-05 20:05:37	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x04ffd1…
11-05 12:02:48	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x57f6a9…
11-05 03:27:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb7d898…
11-04 19:23:04	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6098dd…
11-04 08:47:18	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x30da23…
11-04 00:47:04	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x0136ab…
11-03 16:34:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x5bf7b6…
11-02 20:18:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8e66bb…
11-02 00:18:07	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2b1384…
11-01 16:14:16	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf19ce5…
10-31 21:15:40	Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 86% to 88%?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4dba65…
10-30 23:27:04	CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 92% to 93.5%?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb73e4a…
10-30 14:52:09	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in October?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe6d235…
10-30 13:17:30	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xac2345…
10-30 04:07:09	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfe6ca0…
10-29 19:53:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x703287…
10-29 10:31:04	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0696a7…
10-29 02:30:55	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xea8f5d…
10-28 18:14:59	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2ab1fd…
10-28 10:02:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x956ff2…
10-28 02:02:41	Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xacb2a9…
10-27 18:01:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb48a60…
10-27 10:00:47	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4bbcac…
10-27 00:15:59	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9381c2…
10-25 04:12:54	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7c7ce8…
10-24 08:04:26	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xaf39d5…
10-23 23:42:08	Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 46% to 48%?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5d6f42…
10-23 23:39:56	Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 46% to 48%?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x81cad8…
10-23 15:35:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x85927a…
10-23 07:23:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xee8823…
10-22 23:23:15	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x39a40e…
10-22 14:05:06	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3e5865…
10-22 14:05:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8d5021…
10-22 06:04:04	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8b69d7…
10-21 21:52:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa2c683…
10-21 13:52:36	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5ff4ca…
10-21 05:51:59	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x68947e…
10-20 09:22:05	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2a0e54…
10-20 01:21:45	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe2e361…
10-19 17:21:17	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf336e8…
10-19 09:21:12	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x895e51…
10-19 01:20:56	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xca100c…
10-18 17:20:48	United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2ed0cb…
10-18 09:20:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x886621…
10-18 00:26:18	Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 32% to 34%?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5227f2…
10-17 16:23:21	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc81989…
10-17 16:07:02	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xac1668…
10-17 16:04:18	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x72817c…
10-17 04:25:24	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x99e24e…
10-16 19:13:22	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6265bc…
10-16 08:27:25	spx opens up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x537859…
10-16 08:27:22	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7f8ecc…
10-16 00:26:34	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x57fb02…
10-15 15:05:04	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xdefaac…
10-15 06:49:49	houthi military action against saudi arabia on october 17	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0a6b0c…
10-14 22:49:34	Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x818328…
10-14 14:31:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7f08ae…
10-14 06:30:38	will msft dip to 540 by october 12 2026 from october 13	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xad329a…
10-13 22:24:33	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x491af5…
10-13 14:22:02	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x745cf6…
10-13 06:19:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x00f164…
10-12 22:19:35	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x11daa8…
10-12 14:19:30	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6fb4f4…
10-12 06:19:11	Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x8419db…
10-11 22:19:02	Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd27d0e…
10-11 14:18:06	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa434f4…
10-11 06:11:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x979f14…
10-10 22:01:39	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xeace18…
10-10 13:30:55	Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1fb117…
10-10 04:28:57	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xeffca3…
10-09 19:29:41	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x6089f2…
10-09 11:27:45	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xaf08c9…
10-09 03:24:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x723de3…
10-08 19:24:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x798dbe…
10-08 19:18:36	Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x51989c…
10-08 10:16:39	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6d4c12…
10-08 02:16:29	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xba2810…
10-07 14:47:49	Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x466332…
10-06 15:54:12	Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x9a1134…
10-06 11:43:19	Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x826683…
10-06 07:51:33	Wingate & Finchley FC vs. Bedford Town FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7addfc…
10-05 13:12:25	Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x743e4b…
10-04 20:03:40	Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x79ff8b…
10-04 16:59:43	Will Costa Rica win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x106281…
10-04 13:05:17	Will Elon post "Border" on X this week?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd538b4…
10-04 09:04:23	Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x7d0936…
10-04 09:04:20	Costa Rica vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xff390e…
10-04 08:29:13	Racing Club Montevideo vs. CA Penarol Montevideo: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x23926f…
10-04 08:29:11	San Martin de Tucuman vs. Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x216eae…
10-04 07:52:01	Will Atletico de Rafaela win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x265096…
10-04 07:51:58	Will CA Colegiales win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb090c8…
10-04 07:16:40	Malta vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7792c2…
10-04 06:42:04	Will Girona FC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x47aaeb…
10-04 06:42:02	Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x50c246…
10-04 06:00:19	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x24fc9a…
10-04 06:00:16	Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. RB Ōmiya Ardija: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x4a32f3…
10-04 05:20:28	VVV Venlo vs. Roda JC Kerkrade: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7d4c20…
10-03 15:06:38	COD Meknès vs. Kawkab AC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe127c0…
10-03 15:06:36	Will COD Meknès win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4827cb…