Cluttered-Mattress — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$12

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

96.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

104

5,824 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$488

$47.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$35

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 23:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 120 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 90% -$547

Other

20% 95% -$162

Sports

1% 96% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$3

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 146 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Nick Hardt	—	+10	$10	100¢	$10	+$0	10-27 23:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in October?	No		+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	10-07 01:41
will wti reach 140 in october 2026	No		+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	10-15 01:43
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No		+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	10-08 17:00
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No		+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	10-27 08:06
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	No		+5	$5	98¢	$5	$0	10-26 01:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down february 6 4pm et	41	$155	155	80	+75	Down	+$5	02-06 22:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 20:45 UTC	33	$132	210	0	+210	Down	-$52	02-06 20:52
bitcoin up or down february 6 4pm et	30	$112	125	55	+70	Up	-$2	02-06 22:09
xrp up or down february 6 3pm et	25	$111	118	63	+55	Down	+$16	02-06 21:11
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	3	$107	56	56	+0	No	-$3	02-06 20:43
will send help be the highest grossing movie this weekend	2	$101	51	51	+0	Yes	+$0	02-12 00:07
highest temperature in london on february 6 2026 13corhigher	2	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$1	02-06 20:46
highest temperature in toronto on february 6 2026 1c	2	$100	51	51	+0	No	$0	02-06 20:46
will trn cm t be the next president of vietnam	3	$100	50	50	+0	No	$0	02-06 20:46
highest temperature in toronto on february 6 2026 0c	2	$99	51	51	+0	No	-$2	02-06 20:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 23:45 UTC	41	$91	180	0	+180	Down	-$16	02-06 23:58
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$91	51	51	+0	Yes	-$9	02-06 20:46
solana up or down february 6 4pm et	22	$85	87	42	+45	Up	-$2	02-06 22:09
ethereum up or down february 6 3pm et	23	$85	95	35	+60	Down	-$15	02-06 21:11
xrp up or down february 6 4pm et	19	$80	85	40	+45	Up	$0	02-06 22:09
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 20:45 UTC	14	$72	111	0	+111	Down	-$52	02-06 20:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 20:00 UTC	8	$67	87	0	+87	Down	+$2	02-07 20:15
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 23:30 UTC	8	$67	86	0	+86	Down	-$1	02-06 23:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 22:15 UTC	34	$64	130	0	+130	Up	-$4	02-06 22:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 22:00 UTC	5	$60	70	0	+70	Up	-$4	02-06 22:15
Map Handicap: BIG.A (-1.5) vs Reveal (+1.5)	11	$55	55	0	+55	BIG Academy	+$0	10-08 00:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 21:00 UTC	20	$54	108	0	+108	Down	-$2	02-06 21:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 23:45 UTC	23	$53	110	0	+110	Down	+$2	02-06 23:59
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 23:15 UTC	25	$52	105	0	+105	Down	-$7	02-06 23:19
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 07:30 UTC	4	$51	52	0	+52	Up	+$1	01-05 07:44
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 13:45 UTC	1	$51	52	0	+52	Up	+$1	01-05 13:59
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 02:00 UTC	1	$51	52	0	+52	Up	+$1	01-06 02:15
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 15:00 UTC	1	$51	52	0	+52	Up	+$1	01-06 15:15
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 19:45 UTC	2	$51	52	0	+52	Down	+$1	01-06 19:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 20:30 UTC	1	$51	52	0	+52	Down	+$1	01-04 20:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 23:58:50	Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Nick Hardt	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x23052f…
10-27 23:58:29	M15 Mazatlan: Rafael De Alba vs Joshua Peck	Rafael De Alba	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xded61c…
10-27 23:57:48	M15 Mazatlan: Rafael De Alba vs Joshua Peck	Rafael De Alba	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x293a9e…
10-27 23:56:30	Bitcoin above 82,800 on October 27, 8PM ET?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9a6005…
10-27 23:55:30	Queretaro: Victoria Rodriguez vs Alicia Herrero Linana	Alicia Herrero Linana	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb87a95…
10-27 23:53:24	Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Nick Hardt	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x504ca1…
10-27 23:48:32	Curitiba: Carolina M. Alves vs Julia Grabher	Julia Grabher	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3d958f…
10-27 23:21:41	W50 Morelia: Kennedy Gibbs vs Caterina Odorizzi	Kennedy Gibbs	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x94af11…
10-27 23:20:02	M15 Mazatlan: Frazier Rengifo vs Carlo Arena Fava	Frazier Rengifo	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5e75f4…
10-27 23:16:20	Sioux Falls: Sebastian Dominko vs Karl Poling	Sebastian Dominko	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf04098…
10-27 23:06:54	M25 Las Vegas, NV: Jerry Roddick vs Olaf Pieczkowski	Jerry Roddick	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcaf177…
10-27 23:04:18	Guayaquil: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri	Diego Dedura-Palomero	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xef5f55…
10-27 23:00:27	Guayaquil: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri	Diego Dedura-Palomero	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3593c3…
10-27 22:45:51	Erste Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Grigor Dimitrov	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x62e708…
10-27 21:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x832f4c…
10-27 20:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 28?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcc65af…
10-27 19:21:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C or higher on October 28?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xccb808…
10-27 19:17:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 28?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x93a35c…
10-27 19:08:02	VfL Bochum vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x44ee4b…
10-27 17:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on October 27?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3c80e2…
10-27 17:50:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9d50a4…
10-27 17:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on October 27?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xe15889…
10-27 16:44:27	M15 João Pessoa: Leonardo Storck Franca vs Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago	Leonardo Storck Franca	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe718b5…
10-27 16:43:44	Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x823d0d…
10-27 16:16:33	W35 Norman, OK: Salakthip Ounmuang vs Raquel Caballero Chica	Salakthip Ounmuang	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb5b446…
10-27 14:16:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb393ae…
10-27 14:07:02	Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev	Tommy Paul	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3f0b1b…
10-27 14:04:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9a8bca…
10-27 13:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb5493c…
10-27 12:39:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xec93e3…
10-27 12:19:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x033c63…
10-27 11:30:20	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf8f6f9…
10-27 11:15:30	Ranji Trophy: Puducherry vs Uttar Pradesh - Match goes to Day 5?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x40113f…
10-27 10:30:08	M15 Heraklion: Thando Longwe-Smit vs Victor Ryden	Thando Longwe-Smit	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x140e51…
10-27 10:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C or higher on October 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x99ceb7…
10-27 09:02:32	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x32c634…
10-27 08:35:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x06670b…
10-27 08:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on October 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9f1461…
10-27 08:06:53	Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc11d3d…
10-27 08:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3636a6…
10-27 07:54:11	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8148e1…
10-27 06:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3b2f75…
10-27 06:45:05	M15 Fergana: Akhmadjon Toshmukhamedov vs Oleg Kolninov	Akhmadjon Toshmukhamedov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc96977…
10-27 06:18:23	W35 Kunshan: Yuhan Wang vs Sohyun Park	Yuhan Wang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xce5b0e…
10-27 06:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd1fd0c…
10-27 05:49:59	Guangzhou Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Sofia Kenin	Kaitlin Quevedo	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6e5766…
10-27 05:43:12	Pan Pacific Open: Diane Parry vs Cristina Bucsa	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe281a1…
10-27 05:16:27	Quevedo vs. Kenin: Match O/U 23.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaafa9e…
10-27 05:06:32	Pan Pacific Open: Diane Parry vs Cristina Bucsa	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1b55db…
10-27 04:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9acfd1…
10-27 04:58:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc8ca37…
10-27 04:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x75be12…
10-27 04:28:57	Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5	Over	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4639c4…
10-27 04:28:20	Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5	Over	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0cb230…
10-27 04:21:05	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Warriors	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0f2104…
10-27 04:16:50	Spread: Warriors (-2.5)	Warriors	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x942673…
10-27 04:16:41	Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5	Over	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x779c75…
10-27 04:15:35	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Warriors	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf4d3a8…
10-27 04:14:48	Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)	Warriors	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc5871e…
10-27 03:59:02	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xca5287…
10-27 03:45:21	Red Wings vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6c3bbe…
10-27 03:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xac0521…
10-27 03:26:48	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x69fa8d…
10-27 02:49:09	Spread: Eagles (-7.5)	Cowboys	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb22f16…
10-27 02:28:20	Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	Thunder	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb96080…
10-27 02:22:27	CR Flamengo vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x863bd0…
10-27 01:15:21	Spread: Wizards (-3.5)	Hornets	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcda19c…
10-26 23:57:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x05591d…
10-26 23:08:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x463d7d…
10-26 21:35:35	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x282006…
10-26 19:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x40aa44…
10-26 19:01:47	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x000179…
10-26 18:55:41	Çaykur Rizespor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4ef0cd…
10-26 18:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C or higher on October 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6ed785…
10-26 17:36:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xada4a6…
10-26 16:31:56	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe61771…
10-26 15:25:03	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x790bef…
10-26 14:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x871e0a…
10-26 13:31:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2f6f28…
10-26 12:54:39	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x735bc3…
10-26 12:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa320e5…
10-26 11:42:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x72ef0d…
10-26 09:37:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb890a7…
10-26 08:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xed25e7…
10-26 08:53:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf03976…
10-26 08:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdc81d7…
10-26 08:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x058bf2…
10-26 08:10:06	Cilic vs. Zhang: Match O/U 22.5	Over	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x31db98…
10-26 08:09:39	Cilic vs. Zhang: Match O/U 22.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7957c7…
10-26 08:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0f73e1…
10-26 08:00:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5678d7…
10-26 07:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc71879…
10-26 04:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd1b2f8…
10-26 03:57:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1f439b…
10-26 03:07:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x945d79…
10-26 02:58:56	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4c89b6…
10-26 02:33:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x89d9a3…
10-26 01:54:44	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x59d9a7…
10-26 01:43:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0b5de2…
10-26 01:15:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0b4792…