Timely-Yolk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.16K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.6%

Resolved

494

Trades

25,720

lifetime

Volume

$20.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 07-31 14:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

100% 93% +$1,163

Politics

0% 83% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-31).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	439	$898	232	3,928	-3,696	Yes	-$2,912	05-25 07:27
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	14	$859	435	455	-20	No	+$15	03-17 12:04
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	441	$825	21	3,717	-3,696	No	+$814	05-25 07:51
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	13	$667	465	235	+230	No	+$22	03-16 11:33
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	773	$657	147	3,843	-3,696	No	+$619	05-25 06:40
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	742	$514	625	4,321	-3,696	No	+$382	05-25 07:30
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	398	$499	24	1,936	-1,913	No	+$490	06-01 06:24
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	743	$435	193	3,889	-3,696	No	+$417	05-25 07:20
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	374	$420	15	1,928	-1,913	Yes	-$1,499	06-01 04:13
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 300 319	160	$400	0	3,748	-3,748	No	+$400	02-14 17:04
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 320 339	182	$399	0	4,061	-4,061	No	+$399	02-14 17:24
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 280 299	130	$383	0	3,861	-3,861	No	+$383	02-14 16:01
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 340 359	185	$372	0	4,099	-4,099	No	+$372	02-14 18:01
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	117	$335	0	1,627	-1,627	No	+$335	03-29 15:18
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	258	$315	64	1,976	-1,913	No	+$287	06-01 03:14
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	290	$306	0	1,768	-1,768	Yes	-$1,462	03-29 14:43
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	135	$296	0	1,853	-1,853	No	+$296	03-29 22:05
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	463	$292	269	2,179	-1,909	No	+$239	06-01 03:37
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 260 279	28	$262	103	195	-92	No	-$15	03-16 08:32
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 260 279	327	$254	0	2,504	-2,504	No	+$254	02-14 17:43
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	579	$251	24	3,708	-3,684	No	+$244	05-25 14:38
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379	125	$241	0	1,871	-1,871	Yes	-$1,630	03-23 08:32
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 220 239	27	$232	125	125	+0	No	-$4	03-16 08:32
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	354	$228	0	2,723	-2,723	Yes	-$2,495	02-14 17:04
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 240 259	25	$221	113	133	-20	No	-$7	03-16 08:32
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 300 319	108	$217	0	1,658	-1,658	No	+$217	03-01 11:30
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	271	$216	0	1,993	-1,993	No	+$216	03-22 02:08
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 280 299	87	$213	0	1,838	-1,838	No	+$213	03-01 12:45
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	345	$209	0	2,064	-2,064	No	+$209	03-29 14:36
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 360 379	308	$201	0	2,518	-2,518	No	+$201	02-14 15:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 14:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on July 31?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x1bafd9…
07-31 14:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 31?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xda5b26…
07-31 14:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xb9649e…
07-31 07:03:23	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 31?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x17d6db…
07-31 06:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on July 31?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x2be457…
07-31 05:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 31?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x5e9723…
07-31 05:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 31?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x285c48…
07-31 04:55:23	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x06bef2…
07-31 04:04:05	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 31?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x62709f…
07-31 03:49:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x4603f8…
07-31 03:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0x36e5ce…
07-31 03:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xc99b05…
07-31 02:53:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xa1a162…
07-31 02:42:29	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on July 31?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x5b3c5e…
07-31 02:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0xd11029…
07-31 02:30:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0x13c7e7…
07-31 01:52:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C or below on July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x098f9c…
07-31 01:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	28	5¢	$1	0xf6a9eb…
07-31 01:44:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x39e0d4…
07-31 01:44:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x2ecba3…
07-31 01:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0xf84473…
07-31 01:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x926c54…
07-31 00:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on July 31?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x01be07…
07-30 23:38:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C or below on July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x4bc7f9…
07-30 23:37:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C or below on July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x9936fa…
07-30 21:17:44	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 30?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xf8b2c5…
07-30 21:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 30?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x7dda64…
07-30 20:53:26	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0xa0ccf9…
07-30 18:13:14	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 39°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xa75088…
07-30 13:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C or higher on July 31?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x11ff5e…
07-30 13:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x202327…
07-30 13:11:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 40°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xb09584…
07-30 13:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 41°C or higher on July 31?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xb50af5…
07-30 13:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x2f4a1d…
07-30 13:09:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 42°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x16720c…
07-30 13:05:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0x11084d…
07-30 12:52:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x1a17e0…
07-30 12:40:00	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xe07d14…
07-30 12:27:51	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xeeef24…
07-30 12:26:03	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 30?	Yes	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0x5c8985…
07-30 12:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on July 30?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x8c5ad5…
07-30 12:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 30?	Yes	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x50a12b…
07-30 11:48:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0x41aee1…
07-30 11:19:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0xa6d0b3…
07-30 11:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x36a040…
07-30 10:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 73°F or below on July 30?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xdbec50…
07-30 09:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 30?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xa7c209…
07-30 09:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0xfab732…
07-30 09:31:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0xa9867e…
07-30 09:24:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x60c2df…
07-30 08:49:14	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xe67197…
07-30 08:37:41	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 30?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0xd0c261…
07-30 08:29:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xc9e616…
07-30 08:29:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x3051c4…
07-30 08:08:29	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xecbe69…
07-30 08:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x6189b4…
07-30 08:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0x215caf…
07-30 07:43:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	18	12¢	$2	0xa211ea…
07-30 07:32:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xf21e0e…
07-30 06:36:11	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 30?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xb7a0a7…
07-30 05:51:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x8b1a9d…
07-30 05:50:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xa9ebe8…
07-30 05:49:08	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 30?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x4a41a3…
07-30 05:41:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0xb9a551…
07-30 05:38:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x8b67f7…
07-30 05:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	13	5¢	$1	0x7d108b…
07-30 05:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 91°F or below on July 30?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xbc4706…
07-30 04:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x501d50…
07-30 04:56:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 91°F or below on July 30?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x25a0b8…
07-30 04:32:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0x5a31cb…
07-30 04:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 91°F or below on July 30?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x919db7…
07-30 04:08:26	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 91°F or below on July 30?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x4b317c…
07-30 03:29:02	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on July 30?	Yes	SELL	16	2¢	$0	0xf6ab30…
07-30 03:13:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0x8db29e…
07-30 02:55:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0xe586f7…
07-30 02:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 30?	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x3b3e5f…
07-30 01:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x30d104…
07-30 00:20:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x0662f4…
07-29 23:59:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x8a9749…
07-29 23:53:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xcd2ca1…
07-29 23:11:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x87d175…
07-29 21:39:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xcdace0…
07-29 16:50:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0xabd4a4…
07-29 14:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xe7fdbd…
07-29 14:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x7fed04…
07-29 12:39:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x212a32…
07-29 11:52:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x843e66…
07-29 11:52:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0x6d8eba…
07-29 11:25:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xb6120e…
07-29 10:43:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0x6f37a0…
07-29 10:42:51	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 93°F or below on July 29?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x9eb2cd…
07-29 09:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0x4b26a9…
07-29 09:18:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x4ec424…
07-29 08:33:02	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x16d5e1…
07-29 07:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0xcbd527…
07-29 06:50:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x80bb49…
07-29 06:43:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x3d2e7b…
07-29 06:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on July 29?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x2e8786…
07-29 06:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 29?	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x530d82…
07-29 06:03:50	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 29?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x9d43c4…