Powerless-Tog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.29K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.8%

Resolved

26,207

Trades

28,298

lifetime

Volume

$177.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-16 03:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 281 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 94% +$1,413

Other

3% 88% -$102

Politics

0% 0% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$169	100	100	+0	No	+$23	04-23 06:52
ethereum up or down january 19 10pm et	13	$72	140	0	+140	Down	-$2	01-20 03:56
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	3	$62	200	100	+100	Yes	-$24	06-07 01:03
bitcoin up or down january 20 9pm et	8	$50	100	0	+100	Up	-$10	01-21 02:58
ethereum up or down january 19 11pm et	11	$48	100	0	+100	Down	+$2	01-20 04:50
bitcoin up or down january 21 12pm et	7	$40	70	0	+70	Up	$0	01-21 17:58
bitcoin up or down january 19 8pm et	6	$38	50	10	+40	Down	+$1	01-20 01:57
bitcoin up or down january 20 5pm et	9	$37	80	0	+80	Down	+$3	01-20 22:55
ethereum up or down january 20 2pm et	7	$36	70	0	+70	Up	-$6	01-20 19:32
bitcoin up or down january 27 8pm et	6	$35	60	0	+60	Down	-$5	01-28 01:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 01:45 UTC	10	$34	40	10	+30	Up	-$6	01-19 01:51
bitcoin up or down january 20 7am et	7	$32	60	0	+60	Up	-$2	01-20 12:55
bitcoin up or down january 20 6pm et	8	$31	65	5	+60	Down	+$1	01-20 23:48
bitcoin up or down january 26 10pm et	5	$29	60	0	+60	Down	+$1	01-27 03:46
bitcoin up or down january 20 8pm et	6	$28	60	0	+60	Up	+$2	01-21 01:52
bitcoin up or down january 21 9am et	4	$28	50	0	+50	Up	+$2	01-21 14:35
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 17:45 UTC	3	$28	20	10	+10	Up	+$1	01-19 17:57
bitcoin up or down january 20 11am et	7	$28	50	0	+50	Down	+$2	01-20 16:43
bitcoin up or down january 20 7pm et	5	$28	47	0	+47	Up	+$2	01-21 00:43
bitcoin up or down january 19 5pm et	8	$28	60	0	+60	Down	+$2	01-19 22:39
bitcoin up or down january 25 10pm et	8	$27	60	0	+60	Down	+$3	01-26 03:20
ethereum up or down january 20 11am et	7	$27	50	0	+50	Down	+$3	01-20 16:44
bitcoin up or down january 20 12pm et	5	$25	30	20	+10	Down	+$3	01-20 17:44
bitcoin up or down january 6 9am et	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	01-06 14:59
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$22	20	20	+0	Yes	+$3	09-10 01:36
xrp up or down january 6 9am et	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	01-06 14:58
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 23:00 UTC	3	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	01-18 23:13
bitcoin up or down january 21 6pm et	5	$20	40	0	+40	Down	+$0	01-21 23:22
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 02:45 UTC	5	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	01-11 02:58
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 04:00 UTC	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	02-10 04:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 03:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x620cf2…
10-16 03:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x48c693…
10-16 02:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7a7d83…
10-15 23:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2b5fe0…
10-15 15:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xdae922…
10-15 15:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x24a45e…
10-15 13:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6f6e62…
10-15 13:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2f7f8b…
10-15 13:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb94c60…
10-15 12:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x76bbee…
10-15 12:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x8d3906…
10-15 12:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5dd93a…
10-15 12:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	38	1¢	$0	0x378dd2…
10-15 05:07:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x27b7e4…
10-15 05:07:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5ea324…
10-15 04:03:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x947824…
10-15 03:43:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcc79ab…
10-15 02:27:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x6704f3…
10-15 02:21:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x941670…
10-15 02:18:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x0fd0fd…
10-15 01:08:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x5434cf…
10-14 23:18:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x20a2e2…
10-14 22:43:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0404ed…
10-14 21:03:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x38e377…
10-14 15:02:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5c3162…
10-14 14:38:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x4322a7…
10-14 14:12:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x972a57…
10-14 14:08:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xff3235…
10-14 13:13:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe530be…
10-14 12:31:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1fa67e…
10-14 10:06:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb45d53…
10-14 09:49:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x912bae…
10-14 08:12:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdf39bb…
10-14 07:18:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfee2fb…
10-14 07:08:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x51751e…
10-14 07:04:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd177ee…
10-14 07:04:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x1f4b0f…
10-14 06:09:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6bdd96…
10-14 03:23:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcdc051…
10-14 02:53:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x10c5be…
10-14 01:52:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9a6b17…
10-14 01:28:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc2caad…
10-14 00:43:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6e52c5…
10-13 23:19:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	38	1¢	$0	0x6ba726…
10-13 14:13:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf8ed24…
10-13 13:58:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x30e012…
10-13 13:37:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe3b4c3…
10-13 13:33:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xf4ba24…
10-13 11:27:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x49f3e6…
10-13 03:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x49c7a9…
10-13 02:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdb2a79…
10-13 01:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x220825…
10-13 01:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdb2ca8…
10-13 00:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8f4c21…
10-13 00:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf3532a…
10-13 00:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x55cf1b…
10-13 00:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9f9e35…
10-12 23:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x2d08c0…
10-12 23:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xc8865a…
10-12 23:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x506172…
10-12 23:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x911f3f…
10-12 14:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x56be77…
10-12 14:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfad5a0…
10-12 13:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd853e7…
10-12 13:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x132721…
10-12 13:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc08d5f…
10-12 13:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7ec8b6…
10-12 06:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1f48b9…
10-12 06:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x099757…
10-12 05:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0af8c6…
10-12 05:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6f1983…
10-12 05:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x35723a…
10-12 04:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x03c47f…
10-12 04:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4d571f…
10-12 04:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x3e3a34…
10-12 01:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc4b2eb…
10-12 01:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe6886a…
10-12 01:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x610f39…
10-12 00:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe652a7…
10-12 00:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xd967bc…
10-11 21:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfa2982…
10-11 20:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x77d348…
10-11 18:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x32044b…
10-11 18:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xde5d56…
10-11 17:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbc0c1a…
10-11 17:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9f8043…
10-11 17:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x79f3ed…
10-11 16:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x007406…
10-11 16:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x051767…
10-11 15:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x10ec4e…
10-11 15:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x8ceed8…
10-11 15:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcab470…
10-11 15:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6126f3…
10-11 15:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xa900e3…
10-11 15:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x27c81b…
10-11 14:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8ca3a1…
10-11 14:38:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xec8339…
10-11 14:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd437dd…
10-11 14:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3d2b43…
10-11 14:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd0b22f…