Spicy-Rocket — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$638

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.4%

Resolved

103

Trades

347

lifetime

Volume

$5.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 07-18 15:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Politics

69% 14% -$82

Other

31% 10% -$553

Crypto

0% 0% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	11	$1.2K	1,643	1,643	+0	No	+$557	03-29 07:33
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	45	$594	3,152	0	+3,152	No	-$594	04-28 04:14
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	9	$452	21,018	0	+21,018	Yes	-$452	03-03 19:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$353	2,572	2,572	+0	Yes	-$347	03-01 11:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	8	$220	242	242	+0	No	-$38	04-18 08:30
will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 21 2026	7	$217	309	232	+77	No	+$240	03-24 18:17
will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	2	$193	141	141	+0	No	-$7	04-02 15:01
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	7	$126	2,492	0	+2,492	No	-$126	04-26 14:13
will 80 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 362	10	$107	537	66	+472	Yes	+$440	04-21 12:38
will israel strike iraq by february 28	1	$90	660	0	+660	No	+$570	02-28 10:33
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	24	$85	3,496	3,496	+0	No	-$50	05-07 20:11
will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 20 2026	6	$81	402	402	+0	Yes	-$29	03-20 14:42
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 29 2026 526	1	$80	172	0	+172	Yes	-$80	03-30 14:23
will iran strike israel on march 10	8	$77	18,260	13,840	+4,420	Yes	-$50	03-17 02:03
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	2	$66	346	346	+0	No	-$4	04-24 06:59
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 31 2026 119	4	$58	489	489	+0	Yes	-$55	04-01 06:41
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	3	$57	2,821	0	+2,821	Yes	-$57	03-02 07:04
will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 24 2026	2	$49	82	82	+0	Yes	-$25	03-24 18:16
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 25 2026 431	4	$49	284	284	+0	Yes	-$31	03-25 16:07
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	3	$48	40	40	+0	Yes	+$27	05-20 06:27
will trump say jesus this week march 8	7	$46	17,290	15,860	+1,430	Yes	-$15	03-11 14:45
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 25 2026 968	2	$45	179	179	+0	Yes	-$15	03-25 09:37
will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 27 2026	2	$43	50	50	+0	Yes	-$7	03-27 08:16
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	6	$42	303	303	+0	No	+$6	05-06 17:46
will israel strike lebanon on march 3 2026	2	$39	1,269	0	+1,269	Yes	-$39	03-02 17:29
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	3	$38	2,235	25	+2,210	Yes	+$12	04-14 21:39
us strikes iraq by february 28	3	$33	33,430	0	+33,430	Yes	-$33	03-04 05:14
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	4	$31	2,376	0	+2,376	No	-$31	04-12 15:16
highest temperature in london on march 20 2026 13c	3	$31	2,081	81	+2,000	No	-$3	03-20 14:45
will iran strike israel on march 7	2	$31	193	193	+0	Yes	-$27	03-07 19:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 15:21:30	Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?	Yes	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0xb9df2e…
07-13 22:11:16	Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	Yes	BUY	232	0¢	$1	0xb42848…
07-13 19:02:26	Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	Yes	BUY	685	0¢	$2	0x11b5b5…
07-13 18:58:34	Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	Yes	BUY	937	1¢	$5	0x6d3735…
06-16 19:53:02	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x99faef…
06-01 13:02:58	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	BUY	164	1¢	$2	0xc230a3…
06-01 13:00:34	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0xdb0248…
06-01 11:30:18	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	BUY	369	0¢	$1	0x12f85c…
05-27 12:00:10	Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0x9c8bdc…
05-27 03:34:23	Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x8912f7…
05-26 12:47:22	Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x89de16…
05-26 12:46:40	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	SELL	64	2¢	$1	0x213a76…
05-26 12:45:21	Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	BUY	107	4¢	$4	0x4d4f6d…
05-26 12:40:06	Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	BUY	48	6¢	$3	0x506302…
05-26 12:39:38	Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0x23b587…
05-26 12:35:42	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	BUY	64	5¢	$3	0x655843…
05-20 06:27:41	Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	Yes	SELL	40	94¢	$38	0xd7b174…
05-19 14:29:21	Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	Yes	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0xb87b9e…
05-19 14:28:52	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	Yes	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0x61596c…
05-19 13:37:05	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x134659…
05-19 12:00:12	Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	Yes	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0x84a205…
05-12 13:13:23	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x54d032…
05-12 13:05:04	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x972cfd…
05-07 20:11:35	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	SELL	744	0¢	$2	0xed3fbc…
05-07 20:11:33	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	SELL	554	0¢	$2	0xd5b822…
05-06 17:48:15	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	354	1¢	$5	0xcb6b49…
05-06 17:46:38	Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	SELL	286	3¢	$9	0xceb48d…
05-06 00:32:56	Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	286	1¢	$2	0x49cecc…
05-06 00:32:44	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xa45b55…
05-05 18:21:58	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	82	1¢	$1	0xa745eb…
05-05 18:21:34	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	93	1¢	$1	0xb73820…
05-05 18:09:34	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	76	1¢	$1	0x3dd30a…
05-05 18:08:40	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	214	1¢	$3	0x46059e…
05-05 18:08:02	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xb29d8d…
05-05 18:07:38	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	227	2¢	$5	0xf01185…
05-05 18:02:20	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	SELL	2,752	1¢	$16	0x11cdc4…
05-05 17:02:24	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xb899ba…
05-05 16:59:40	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xd19e20…
05-05 16:58:18	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xe5a6f3…
05-05 16:57:58	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x66f273…
05-05 16:57:52	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x0ffdca…
05-05 16:52:46	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0xd227e7…
05-05 16:52:10	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	SELL	12	61¢	$7	0x20e4a1…
05-05 16:43:48	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0xdcc497…
05-05 15:55:58	Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x456070…
05-05 14:36:06	Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xfe1d7d…
05-05 14:35:36	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	SELL	375	0¢	$2	0xc751b3…
05-05 14:25:40	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	375	1¢	$3	0x93af47…
05-05 14:20:26	Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0x4e8b39…
05-05 13:57:34	Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x70fb9f…
05-05 13:03:48	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x945034…
05-05 13:03:30	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	430	1¢	$4	0x43773d…
05-05 10:52:12	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	99	2¢	$2	0x00ea3c…
05-05 10:51:48	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	240	2¢	$5	0xb4a18e…
05-05 09:52:36	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	SELL	25	29¢	$7	0x5b649e…
05-05 09:08:08	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	431	1¢	$6	0xc621da…
05-05 04:03:16	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	217	2¢	$5	0x844fa2…
05-05 02:35:48	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	162	3¢	$5	0xa9ee2b…
05-05 00:05:26	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	162	3¢	$5	0x055d7f…
05-02 19:26:50	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x8cb1a6…
05-02 13:01:48	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	458	2¢	$10	0x8a9e80…
05-01 22:30:56	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0x628298…
04-28 04:14:30	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	60	64¢	$39	0xdfd792…
04-26 19:39:26	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	56	32¢	$18	0xe08eb0…
04-26 19:39:10	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x41fa6d…
04-26 19:38:50	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xfaea81…
04-26 19:38:42	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x2fb1cb…
04-26 19:38:10	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xb1c324…
04-26 19:37:44	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x70a31a…
04-26 19:37:36	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x1f1f8b…
04-26 18:08:26	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x771ad9…
04-26 18:08:18	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x0f3ae4…
04-26 18:08:14	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x3f92b0…
04-26 15:31:24	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x53ba60…
04-26 15:31:18	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xca4a25…
04-26 15:31:12	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x09a347…
04-26 14:13:10	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	303	10¢	$30	0x3f5894…
04-26 14:12:10	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x6262e9…
04-26 14:12:02	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xf50bbc…
04-26 12:45:32	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xad3d1a…
04-26 10:29:48	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xc0211f…
04-26 09:42:00	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x70ae37…
04-26 09:06:00	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x1ffb95…
04-26 09:05:50	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x558a2a…
04-26 09:03:48	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xcc3498…
04-26 08:12:56	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x075bff…
04-26 08:12:46	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xbdd4f8…
04-26 08:12:42	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xdf7de6…
04-26 00:02:32	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x067170…
04-26 00:01:54	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	29	22¢	$6	0xb01918…
04-26 00:01:02	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x1d5840…
04-26 00:00:56	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xbc4692…
04-26 00:00:48	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xd57cfd…
04-26 00:00:42	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0xa7245f…
04-26 00:00:22	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x2459ef…
04-25 22:48:14	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x9a821f…
04-25 22:47:48	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xbb812f…
04-25 22:47:42	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xef3827…
04-25 22:47:34	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xdc7b24…
04-25 22:47:28	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x441ecd…