Failing-Dump — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$388

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.1%

Resolved

593

Trades

1,300

lifetime

Volume

$4.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-28

last 08-27 02:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 61% -$203

Other

41% 42% -$89

Sports

6% 29% -$95

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7PM ET	5	$86	57	57	+0	Up	+$4	06-02 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10PM ET	18	$78	327	327	+0	Down	+$1	06-11 02:56
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 27?	3	$62	155	155	+0	Yes	+$22	08-26 22:40
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	19	$50	75	45	+30	No	-$13	07-05 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10AM ET	7	$46	28	28	+0	Down	+$4	06-02 14:21
lol hle1 g2 2026 07 05 total games 4pt5	6	$43	25	25	+0	Under	+$7	07-05 08:47
itf kolyach orlov 2026 07 01	5	$43	26	26	+0	Vladyslav Orlov	+$10	07-02 15:36
will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	11	$42	100	100	+0	Yes	$0	07-06 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5AM ET	4	$40	30	30	+0	Down	+$1	06-02 09:17
ethereum up or down june 10 2026 9am et	1	$39	50	0	+50	Up	+$11	06-10 13:32
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 5?	13	$39	40	40	+0	Yes	-$8	07-04 23:34
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 6?	17	$37	40	40	+0	No	$0	07-05 04:59
xrp up or down june 11 2026 5am et	2	$37	20	20	+0	Down	+$3	06-11 10:05
ethereum up or down june 12 2026 4am et	2	$36	20	20	+0	Up	+$3	06-12 08:23
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 27?	2	$36	170	170	+0	No	-$4	08-27 02:02
bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 7pm et	1	$36	50	0	+50	Up	-$36	06-10 23:11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 6?	7	$36	30	29	+1	Yes	+$3	07-06 10:50
solana up or down june 10 2026 7pm et	2	$35	50	0	+50	Up	-$35	06-10 23:12
ethereum up or down june 10 2026 7pm et	1	$35	50	0	+50	Up	-$35	06-10 23:11
bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 8am et	1	$34	50	0	+50	Up	+$16	06-10 12:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4AM ET	2	$32	20	20	+0	Down	+$4	06-02 08:40
bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 9pm et	2	$32	50	0	+50	Up	+$18	06-11 01:07
bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 5am et	2	$32	20	20	+0	Up	+$4	06-12 09:26
xrp up or down june 10 2026 5am et	1	$32	50	0	+50	Up	-$32	06-10 09:13
xrp up or down june 10 2026 6am et	3	$32	50	0	+50	Up	-$32	06-10 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6AM ET	2	$31	20	20	+0	Up	+$3	06-02 10:13
cs2 wbt mis 2026 07 02	4	$31	19	19	+0	WBT	+$8	07-02 15:36
lol agal dk 2026 07 15	3	$31	20	20	+0	AG.AL	+$9	07-15 14:29
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 6?	37	$31	578	477	+100	No	+$8	07-06 12:28
bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 5am et	1	$30	50	0	+50	Up	-$30	06-10 09:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-27 02:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x4385ec…
08-27 02:48:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x2eccf3…
08-27 02:38:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x54e3f1…
08-27 02:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x648d6f…
08-27 02:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	170	9¢	$16	0x3c2c1e…
08-27 01:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xf34e91…
08-27 00:36:52	KBO: NC Dinos vs. Hanwha Eagles	NC Dinos	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0x0f22f3…
08-27 00:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0xf02ae0…
08-26 23:32:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0xf2f57f…
08-26 22:40:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	34	27¢	$9	0x9955db…
08-26 22:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	121	27¢	$33	0xdcd451…
08-26 22:34:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x6b1f58…
08-26 21:39:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x63ea3d…
08-26 21:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	170	12¢	$20	0xe96ce6…
08-26 21:27:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	159	6¢	$10	0x6a5088…
08-26 21:25:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	164	12¢	$20	0xa9fee0…
08-26 21:23:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	155	13¢	$20	0xaa74f0…
07-20 16:29:21	kbo nc han 2026 07 08	NC Dinos	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x8444ec…
07-20 07:20:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 20?	No	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0xf36333…
07-15 14:29:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x21eb21…
07-15 14:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9a91a2…
07-15 14:29:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 15?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x95c4ae…
07-15 14:29:20	lol agal dk 2026 07 15	AG.AL	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc4bb8d…
07-15 08:57:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xfe17ab…
07-15 07:25:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xbfc762…
07-15 06:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x7de618…
07-15 04:55:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x48e105…
07-15 04:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x22053c…
07-15 04:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?	No	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0xbb39fb…
07-15 03:51:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 15?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0xdaefa5…
07-15 02:55:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0xe5acd0…
07-15 02:01:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 15?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x427c9b…
07-14 22:20:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 15?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$6	0xac67f8…
07-14 13:13:28	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xeb2ab2…
07-14 09:11:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x57adde…
07-14 08:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x3e83f7…
07-14 06:26:46	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x125388…
07-14 06:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0x0c4e2f…
07-14 05:31:41	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x394256…
07-14 04:15:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 14?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x7c543e…
07-14 00:17:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 13?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x40f1f5…
07-13 09:46:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 13?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x005c66…
07-13 04:25:53	Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x2f392b…
07-13 04:14:38	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	86	7¢	$6	0x264e55…
07-13 02:58:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 13?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xc8a9f8…
07-08 22:29:22	will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	Yes	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x1f5acc…
07-08 10:27:07	kbo ssg doo 2026 07 08	Doosan Bears	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xb8d8e2…
07-07 23:42:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x994f70…
07-07 23:41:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x75c197…
07-07 18:29:37	hok hero sygami 2026 07 09	SYGaming	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xbc5ab3…
07-07 16:31:28	lol ts sen 2026 07 15	Team Secret	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0xa160d0…
07-07 08:42:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 7?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa712d8…
07-07 05:26:08	kbo ssg doo 2026 07 09	Doosan Bears	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x9e5fd9…
07-07 05:22:29	will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x00e539…
07-07 05:21:49	kbo ssg doo 2026 07 08	Doosan Bears	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x932d89…
07-07 05:21:01	kbo kia lot 2026 07 08	Kia Tigers	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x3facd2…
07-07 05:18:29	kbo nc han 2026 07 08	NC Dinos	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb756e2…
07-07 04:32:10	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2e505a…
07-07 04:23:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 7?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xd3f6c7…
07-07 04:11:35	Will Max Homa win the 2026 ISCO Championship?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0xc4fa2f…
07-07 03:30:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	16	2¢	$0	0x93819d…
07-07 03:08:05	r6siege dk knt 2026 07 08	Dplus	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x537bd9…
07-07 01:50:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	48	13¢	$6	0x123552…
07-07 01:45:01	val tse pl 2026 07 07	Twisted Saints Esports	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x21ea5a…
07-07 01:37:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 7?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x097c5c…
07-07 01:27:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x927083…
07-07 01:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x36ad1d…
07-07 01:04:05	lol ross ewi 2026 07 08	E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4797e0…
07-07 00:28:50	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 6?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x74ed54…
07-06 23:53:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on July 7?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x764fd4…
07-06 23:36:29	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 8?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x0802a8…
07-06 23:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	36	10¢	$4	0xb83687…
07-06 23:26:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on July 7?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0xf88e52…
07-06 23:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	19	4¢	$1	0xe11ca4…
07-06 23:00:01	mlb hou wsh 2026 07 07 nrfi	No	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xd07cd8…
07-06 22:59:41	mlb hou wsh 2026 07 07 nrfi	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x20b511…
07-06 22:59:16	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x3435a2…
07-06 22:59:07	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xbe077f…
07-06 22:46:41	mlb nyy tb 2026 07 07 nrfi	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb1d133…
07-06 21:22:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	41	21¢	$9	0xe67bcf…
07-06 21:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x8261f9…
07-06 21:19:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x3d3cd7…
07-06 21:16:37	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x22dee5…
07-06 18:02:05	val m80 sad 2026 07 10	SaD Esports	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x869936…
07-06 17:30:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 8?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x1c504e…
07-06 17:15:46	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x398bef…
07-06 15:16:58	Will Egypt be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xe124da…
07-06 14:59:35	Will Norway score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x8f0518…
07-06 14:58:47	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xb72e66…
07-06 14:57:26	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xbb0fc2…
07-06 14:37:34	val la red 2026 07 07	RED Canids	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x9ddb0e…
07-06 14:36:04	cs2 fdb paina 2026 07 08	Fake do Biru	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd72e8f…
07-06 14:34:43	cs2 fdb paina 2026 07 08	Fake do Biru	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xe2813b…
07-06 14:10:22	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	No	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0x71c069…
07-06 14:06:02	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	17	9¢	$2	0xec3879…
07-06 14:05:08	ucl trf lar 2026 07 07 spread away 1pt5	Tre Fiori FC	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xf86d58…
07-06 13:42:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on July 7?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xe2cdef…
07-06 13:36:58	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 6?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x309c5e…
07-06 13:34:44	Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xa49eb1…
07-06 13:19:32	Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xcaea1a…