Irritating-Subsidy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$325

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 06-13 17:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

79% 100% +$4

Crypto

14% 0% $-1

Other

6% 100% +$6

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	4	$50	31	31	+0	open	—	06-08 21:29
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	4	$45	34	34	+0	open	—	06-13 17:46
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	4	$21	376	376	+0	open	—	05-27 05:41
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	05-25 20:42
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?	2	$19	11	11	+0	open	—	05-04 00:59
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	05-28 08:33
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	05-01 06:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	05-01 06:09
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	06-08 18:01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-29 14:47
Will Trump say "President Xi" during events with Brazilian president?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$2	05-07 22:25
Will "COVID" or "Covid-19" or "Coronavirus" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	2	$6	4	4	+0	No	+$2	05-13 18:01
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-14 11:13
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-14 11:13
Will Trump say "BRICS" during events with Brazilian president?	2	$6	4	4	+0	No	+$2	05-07 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	3	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-25 20:25
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	05-12 20:35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-25 23:25
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-26 22:16
Will "UFO" or "Alien" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	2	$3	3	3	+0	No	+$1	05-13 09:56
Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-29 07:03
Will Bernie Sanders say "Corrupt" or "Corruption" in Michigan?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 00:51
gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	1	$3	34	0	+34	open	—	04-23 15:33
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-29 07:03
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during King Charles visit?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-29 07:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 19:51
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 11:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-26 22:20
Will Trump say "Heaven" during Chinese State Banquet?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-13 23:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 17:46:55	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0xab7839…
06-08 22:12:34	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0x50dfe7…
06-08 21:29:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	SELL	9	82¢	$8	0x63a995…
06-08 21:29:10	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	15	88¢	$14	0xaad666…
06-08 18:02:36	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0xf265b0…
06-08 18:01:30	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0xd3805b…
06-08 12:32:55	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0xb90c26…
06-08 12:07:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	16	77¢	$12	0xa7ff88…
06-08 07:54:33	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x1b0bac…
06-03 22:32:27	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x51fde2…
05-29 23:17:34	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x9c4636…
05-29 14:47:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xfa8e26…
05-28 08:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe988a6…
05-28 08:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x26f738…
05-28 08:33:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x0eb112…
05-27 05:41:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0xd70cbe…
05-26 08:16:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x149e2e…
05-26 08:15:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	251	4¢	$10	0x3aaa1c…
05-26 00:44:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0xe11e1a…
05-26 00:39:13	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	251	2¢	$5	0xb836a3…
05-25 20:42:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x8c5a7f…
05-19 21:04:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0x895b82…
05-14 11:13:20	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x2421cb…
05-14 11:13:06	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x2df641…
05-14 11:12:59	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xa85f1f…
05-13 23:09:39	Will Trump say "Heaven" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x8006bd…
05-13 19:03:59	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x708bc3…
05-13 19:02:22	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x098746…
05-13 19:01:46	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x5ef68b…
05-13 18:58:03	Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xb50d37…
05-13 18:01:34	Will "COVID" or "Covid-19" or "Coronavirus" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x723545…
05-13 09:56:31	Will "UFO" or "Alien" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$2	0xc29bb9…
05-12 20:35:45	Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe93796…
05-12 19:02:13	Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x6a692a…
05-12 00:32:46	Will "Dude" be said 10+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xcd7a7e…
05-12 00:31:06	Will "UFO" or "Alien" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xffab2d…
05-12 00:27:24	Will "COVID" or "Covid-19" or "Coronavirus" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb484fb…
05-11 00:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xba0e46…
05-07 22:25:35	Will Trump say "President Xi" during events with Brazilian president?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb7241a…
05-07 22:25:22	Will Trump say "BRICS" during events with Brazilian president?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x370681…
05-07 13:15:23	Will Trump say "BRICS" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x161282…
05-07 13:12:42	Will Trump say "President Xi" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x2f8179…
05-04 00:59:46	Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?	No	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0x264195…
05-04 00:55:20	Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xd02743…
05-04 00:51:22	Will Bernie Sanders say "Corrupt" or "Corruption" in Michigan?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc60098…
05-03 22:54:16	Will Bernie Sanders say "Corrupt" or "Corruption" in Michigan?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x14453b…
05-03 22:51:10	Will Bernie Sanders say "Authoritarian" or "Authoritarianism" in Michigan?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa46b91…
05-01 06:09:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x4ad460…
05-01 06:08:52	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf13859…
04-29 07:03:18	Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0x7a1a88…
04-29 07:03:04	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x54501c…
04-29 07:02:52	Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x4ecd19…
04-28 20:39:54	Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x98957b…
04-28 17:42:18	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2d624e…
04-28 01:13:20	Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5a4fb4…
04-26 22:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa364a4…
04-26 22:16:24	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xae6c25…
04-26 22:15:46	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0e8c5d…
04-26 18:33:44	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf61186…
04-26 00:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb29edd…
04-25 23:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xbbfd94…
04-25 23:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5433b7…
04-25 23:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x45dafb…
04-25 23:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x67c6f7…
04-25 23:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4c7b9d…
04-25 23:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0xb13add…
04-25 23:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x09826d…
04-25 20:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x408b36…
04-25 20:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xa8269b…
04-25 20:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6db02c…
04-25 20:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf5635b…
04-25 20:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xefb3a6…
04-25 20:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x87bf9a…
04-25 20:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x21c19e…
04-25 20:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x69791d…
04-25 20:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x8acdb5…
04-25 19:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x117d0d…
04-25 19:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xef6ef1…
04-25 19:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x232446…
04-23 23:58:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6f2823…
04-23 15:36:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x48333c…
04-23 15:33:52	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	No	BUY	34	9¢	$3	0x2b9bb2…