Impolite-Strength — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

62.5%

Resolved

162

Trades

313

lifetime

Volume

$400

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-21

last 06-24 14:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 51% +$13

Other

35% 22% -$4

Politics

6% 33% +$3

Tech

0% 0% $0

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-24).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes		+100	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	05-15 17:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	4	$46	26	26	+0	No	$0	03-26 14:53
bitcoin up or down on february 7	19	$29	82	72	+10	Down	+$3	02-07 13:57
will company c be accused of insider trading	8	$21	0	40	-40	No	+$1	02-23 21:11
bitcoin above 64k on march 1	3	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	02-27 13:12
bitcoin up or down on february 5	8	$15	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	02-04 22:21
will how to make a killing opening weekend box office be between 3pt5m and 5m	5	$12	3	19	-16	No	+$0	02-24 11:37
will there be 1820 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	4	$11	0	22	-22	Yes	+$0	02-24 08:19
will kash patel attend the 2026 state of the union address	3	$10	0	20	-20	No	+$0	02-24 09:05
bitcoin up or down february 11 11am et	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	02-11 17:47
bitcoin above 72k on march 23	4	$9	50	50	+0	No	+$8	03-23 12:15
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	02-21 00:01
bitcoin up or down february 11 10am et	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	02-11 15:50
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 13:00 UTC	6	$7	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	01-24 13:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 13:45 UTC	2	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$5	01-21 14:01
hood up or down on february 24 2026	2	$5	0	10	-10	Up	$0	02-24 18:34
iot quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 05 2026 0pt13	2	$5	0	10	-10	Yes	$0	02-25 12:19
wbd quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 26 2026 0	2	$5	0	10	-10	No	$0	02-25 12:07
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$4	0	5	-5	Yes	+$4	02-25 06:15
will how to make a killing opening weekend box office be less than 3pt5m	3	$4	1	9	-7	Yes	$0	02-25 16:35
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 12:30 UTC	2	$4	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	01-24 12:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 09:30 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	03-09 09:38
coin up or down on february 10 2026	2	$3	5	5	+0	Down	$0	02-10 09:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 08:15 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	03-07 08:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 07:30 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	03-12 07:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 09:15 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	03-09 09:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 08:00 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	03-10 08:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 07:45 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	03-12 07:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 10:15 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	03-08 10:25
will the us next strike iran on march 4 2026 et	5	$3	500	500	+0	No	+$2	02-28 08:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 10:30 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	03-09 10:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 14:30:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 43°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x67f1ca…
06-24 14:30:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 43°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x0ccf48…
06-24 08:08:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 43°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xc5b21f…
06-24 08:08:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 43°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x651187…
06-24 08:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xfd89b2…
06-24 08:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x05702d…
06-24 07:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x53bde1…
06-04 07:42:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x46b72e…
06-02 15:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x75c71b…
06-02 15:38:47	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xb22dc2…
06-02 15:38:47	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	49	0¢	$0	0xaafe25…
06-02 14:32:08	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 2?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xa6f42e…
06-02 12:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4cda3c…
06-02 12:26:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 2?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x53ea9b…
06-02 11:11:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x74383a…
06-01 20:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 1?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xb2bf6a…
06-01 19:41:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xe6800a…
06-01 19:39:31	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x92ae11…
06-01 19:35:59	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x7202d3…
06-01 08:30:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x0d5dac…
06-01 08:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x219969…
05-30 17:11:50	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 30?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xd9abfd…
05-30 16:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x7e71be…
05-30 16:49:02	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 30?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x5bceba…
05-30 14:27:29	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 30?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x9073c3…
05-30 10:53:03	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x5fca9e…
05-30 10:15:43	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xbf4ec0…
05-30 10:13:23	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x54730c…
05-30 10:11:38	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x2fc8d9…
05-30 10:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xa7f9c2…
05-30 10:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0xed428b…
05-29 15:38:17	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8455d7…
05-15 17:44:51	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xcadaa7…
05-15 17:44:51	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	0¢	$0	0x0602bc…
05-11 02:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7046d6…
05-10 22:19:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x02fa9b…
05-10 13:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x33d621…
05-10 12:31:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9b4112…
05-10 11:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x65f18c…
05-10 11:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x260a78…
05-08 03:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 8?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xa87b66…
05-07 19:45:32	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x7ca1e6…
05-07 16:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 7?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0xf7528b…
05-07 16:12:25	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 7?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x49dda0…
05-07 11:13:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x02a10d…
05-07 09:59:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x815fe2…
05-07 07:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x7d7897…
05-07 07:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 7?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd2d035…
05-07 07:16:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 7?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x797179…
05-05 10:54:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 5?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x1edebf…
05-05 07:34:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xd7f9c7…
05-05 07:34:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x1728fc…
05-05 07:34:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0xd55958…
05-01 21:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 67°F or below on May 1?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3caf94…
05-01 14:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on May 1?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x511977…
05-01 06:32:22	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xdefc63…
05-01 06:32:22	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xad0ddb…
05-01 03:13:28	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x36eb91…
04-30 08:34:12	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x915847…
04-29 10:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x551f53…
04-29 10:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xfe552b…
04-29 10:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xd5ffb9…
04-29 10:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xa7871b…
04-29 10:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x9fff9c…
04-29 10:24:34	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb231f1…
04-29 10:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xb6804d…
04-11 11:01:01	bitcoin above 76k on april 11	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xd495e9…
03-27 10:29:53	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 320 339	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xc3b1b3…
03-26 14:53:25	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	No	SELL	26	87¢	$23	0x6181f8…
03-26 14:51:25	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	No	BUY	6	88¢	$6	0xa72a4b…
03-26 14:51:09	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x8f33c1…
03-26 14:51:07	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x8331a1…
03-24 08:00:25	bitcoin above 76k on march 24	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xaf0079…
03-24 07:48:09	bitcoin above 78k on march 24	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x1cede2…
03-24 07:32:41	will bitcoin reach 71k on march 24	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x791100…
03-23 12:15:49	bitcoin above 72k on march 23	Yes	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x5e7e3c…
03-23 11:53:37	bitcoin above 72k on march 23	Yes	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0x5927b7…
03-23 11:22:01	bitcoin above 72k on march 23	Yes	SELL	25	22¢	$6	0x7b12ff…
03-23 10:19:35	bitcoin above 72k on march 23	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xab7f41…
03-13 08:01:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0f0384…
03-12 09:00:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4153d2…
03-12 08:15:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x813d4a…
03-12 08:00:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe17811…
03-12 07:56:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x882b35…
03-12 07:44:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc2b125…
03-12 07:44:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x56bfca…
03-12 07:30:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8b4b51…
03-11 08:45:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x58d4a5…
03-11 08:30:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xaaf2f7…
03-11 08:15:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x234e76…
03-11 08:00:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe0d97e…
03-11 07:45:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x51bb21…
03-11 07:38:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 07:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x0fc764…
03-11 07:30:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0d22f7…
03-10 11:14:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x543824…
03-10 10:15:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6ac08b…
03-10 09:00:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb87acc…
03-10 08:37:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x64467f…
03-10 08:15:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb448bd…
03-10 08:09:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x8b784a…