Definitive-Addiction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$33

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$88

Open exposure

$99

1 position

First seen

2026-04-04

last 07-07 16:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

87% 100% +$33

Politics

13% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No		+133	$100	74¢	$99	$-1	07-07 16:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$392	0	392	-392	open	—	07-06 17:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	2	$234	149	147	+2	open	—	04-11 10:19
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	1	$200	215	0	+215	open	—	07-03 05:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$191	114	114	+0	open	—	04-23 20:33
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	2	$186	135	135	+0	open	—	04-25 19:26
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$124	71	71	+0	Yes	+$4	04-19 18:28
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$100	191	0	+191	open	—	04-16 12:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	1	$100	133	0	+133	open	—	07-07 16:37
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	06-28 11:56
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April?	1	$94	112	0	+112	open	—	04-04 13:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	1	$92	162	0	+162	open	—	04-19 10:50
will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	1	$90	156	0	+156	open	—	04-04 08:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	1	$85	153	0	+153	open	—	04-14 22:47
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	1	$80	120	0	+120	open	—	04-21 21:44
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	2	$67	41	41	+0	open	—	05-29 09:49
will 40 49 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 371	1	$64	82	0	+82	open	—	04-19 18:28
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$60	95	0	+95	open	—	05-16 20:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	1	$50	63	0	+63	Yes	+$13	05-08 07:23
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	1	$50	110	0	+110	open	—	04-23 20:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	1	$50	66	0	+66	Yes	+$16	05-01 18:16
will 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day april 812	1	$45	81	0	+81	open	—	04-11 10:48
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	1	$40	46	0	+46	open	—	06-01 18:43
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	1	$30	99	0	+99	open	—	04-25 19:27
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	1	$20	149	0	+149	open	—	04-20 17:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 16:37:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xa1c275…
07-06 17:05:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	392	100¢	$392	0x2e23c6…
07-03 05:20:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0xda1738…
06-28 11:56:04	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x85ca4f…
06-01 18:43:46	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0xb35b47…
05-29 09:49:32	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	SELL	41	89¢	$37	0x51427c…
05-16 20:18:29	Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	63¢	$60	0x4a9079…
05-08 07:23:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x35aacd…
05-01 18:16:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x123795…
04-25 19:32:48	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	41	72¢	$30	0x3224ef…
04-25 19:27:54	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	Yes	BUY	99	30¢	$30	0xf18b8d…
04-25 19:26:44	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	135	71¢	$96	0x8d3bb2…
04-23 20:33:58	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	No	BUY	110	45¢	$50	0xbd2fc7…
04-23 20:33:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	114	97¢	$111	0x90b3ff…
04-21 21:44:16	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	No	BUY	120	67¢	$80	0x4228ac…
04-20 17:57:04	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	149	13¢	$20	0xf96b0b…
04-20 13:35:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	114	70¢	$80	0xd6b695…
04-19 18:28:30	will 40 49 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 371	No	BUY	82	78¢	$64	0x7c5c44…
04-19 18:28:10	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	71	91¢	$64	0xbd9bd7…
04-19 10:50:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	162	57¢	$92	0xef2d34…
04-16 12:33:20	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	191	52¢	$100	0xa1eb30…
04-14 22:47:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	153	56¢	$85	0xfd1e18…
04-12 21:11:41	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	71	85¢	$60	0x994918…
04-11 10:48:27	will 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day april 812	Yes	BUY	81	55¢	$45	0x84c01f…
04-11 10:33:53	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	135	67¢	$90	0x2a1361…
04-11 10:19:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	147	91¢	$134	0x54da78…
04-04 18:00:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x043121…
04-04 13:53:11	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	112	84¢	$94	0x10fe8c…
04-04 08:06:39	will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	Yes	BUY	156	58¢	$90	0xdba661…