Major-Analogue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$211

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.5%

Resolved

1,593

Trades

11,346

lifetime

Volume

$16.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-03 13:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 16% $-211

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 422 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
xrp updown 15m 1769135400	148	$289	607	0	+607	open	—	01-23 02:45
xrp updown 15m 1769139000	97	$230	429	0	+429	open	—	01-23 03:44
btc updown 15m 1769308200	87	$202	361	0	+361	open	—	01-25 02:45
xrp updown 15m 1769318100	79	$168	326	0	+326	open	—	01-25 05:25
xrp updown 15m 1769316300	59	$126	264	0	+264	open	—	01-25 04:53
xrp updown 15m 1768934700	54	$121	246	0	+246	open	—	01-20 18:57
xrp updown 15m 1768932000	54	$119	248	0	+248	open	—	01-20 18:10
xrp updown 15m 1768930200	53	$113	226	0	+226	open	—	01-20 17:39
xrp updown 15m 1769130900	57	$109	239	0	+239	open	—	01-23 01:26
xrp updown 15m 1768948200	27	$100	178	0	+178	open	—	01-20 22:41
xrp updown 15m 1769133600	52	$98	183	0	+183	open	—	01-23 02:15
xrp updown 15m 1768878900	33	$86	147	0	+147	open	—	01-20 03:29
xrp updown 15m 1769140800	32	$84	147	0	+147	open	—	01-23 04:11
xrp updown 15m 1769022900	31	$84	148	0	+148	open	—	01-21 19:25
xrp updown 15m 1768873500	44	$76	167	0	+167	open	—	01-20 01:57
xrp updown 15m 1768909500	40	$73	180	0	+180	open	—	01-20 11:52
xrp above 1pt5 on february 6	9	$63	120	63	+56	open	—	02-06 16:56
xrp updown 15m 1768880700	28	$62	130	0	+130	open	—	01-20 03:51
xrp updown 15m 1769007600	26	$62	120	0	+120	open	—	01-21 15:08
xrp updown 15m 1769031000	27	$61	117	0	+117	open	—	01-21 21:42
btc updown 15m 1768049100	9	$58	40	40	+0	open	—	01-10 12:50
xrp updown 15m 1769006700	27	$58	125	0	+125	open	—	01-21 14:56
xrp updown 15m 1768894200	28	$57	128	0	+128	open	—	01-20 07:40
xrp updown 15m 1768887000	23	$53	106	0	+106	open	—	01-20 05:35
xrp updown 15m 1769301000	29	$52	119	0	+119	open	—	01-25 00:40
xrp updown 15m 1769301900	23	$47	87	0	+87	open	—	01-25 00:59
xrp updown 15m 1768927500	19	$46	84	0	+84	open	—	01-20 16:57
xrp updown 15m 1769134500	22	$46	99	0	+99	open	—	01-23 02:26
xrp updown 15m 1768897800	15	$42	72	0	+72	open	—	01-20 08:32
xrp updown 15m 1768907700	16	$33	80	0	+80	open	—	01-20 11:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 13:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x82083e…
06-03 13:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x1e7096…
06-03 13:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x99eaa2…
06-03 13:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x07b030…
06-03 13:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x508b5b…
06-03 13:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x4bc9de…
06-03 13:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x1b3ce2…
06-03 12:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x68be1c…
06-03 12:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x1293d7…
06-03 12:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x31794b…
06-03 12:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x126158…
06-03 12:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xbe9799…
06-03 11:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xa5e11e…
06-03 11:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xb4bb6d…
06-03 11:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xca96a9…
06-03 11:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x9d2cd9…
06-03 11:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x892939…
06-03 11:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x8662f9…
06-03 11:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x743cbc…
06-03 11:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x458d2a…
06-03 11:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xb0d943…
06-03 10:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x15f75e…
06-03 10:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xe8e2f2…
06-03 10:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xb1180f…
06-03 10:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$5	0xe03d54…
06-03 10:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x330630…
06-03 10:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x416dcf…
06-03 10:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xe8f9cb…
06-03 10:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x688640…
06-03 09:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x4bec0b…
06-03 09:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xfdee63…
06-03 09:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x8aaf81…
06-03 09:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x95c446…
06-03 09:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x6001ae…
06-03 09:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xd3c019…
06-03 09:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xab8ddf…
06-03 09:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x037d40…
06-03 09:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x268f23…
06-03 09:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xcbd0a5…
06-03 09:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xba4c3b…
06-03 08:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x3dd4cf…
06-03 08:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x4b7e1a…
06-03 08:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x07ddc6…
06-03 08:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xb4639b…
06-03 08:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x72feb3…
06-03 08:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x4ddbb6…
06-03 08:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xc014a4…
06-03 08:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xeb57ad…
06-03 07:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x0df372…
06-03 07:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xe0dd53…
06-03 07:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xa2c64d…
06-03 07:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xccbf1a…
06-03 07:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xbd790e…
06-03 06:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xff8e2a…
06-03 06:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x91b0e9…
06-03 06:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x8638fa…
06-03 06:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x84ec66…
06-03 06:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xb05a02…
06-03 06:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x9edd47…
06-03 06:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x1d45aa…
06-03 05:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x7297c4…
06-03 04:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x0dbd46…
06-03 04:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xa78adc…
06-03 04:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x6c1411…
06-03 04:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xdbde86…
06-03 04:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xb39cd0…
06-03 04:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2d7c80…
06-03 03:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x25f087…
06-03 03:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xe39fa0…
06-03 03:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xbada07…
06-03 03:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x9897a5…
06-03 03:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x241e0e…
06-03 03:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x1915e6…
06-03 03:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x4f9756…
06-03 03:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x6f9eaf…
06-03 02:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xf4831f…
06-03 02:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xeb193a…
06-03 02:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x7a3071…
06-03 02:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x08271d…
06-03 02:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x0d51ee…
06-03 02:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xfcd8f4…
06-03 02:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x2437fc…
06-03 02:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xd12aae…
06-03 02:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x117a18…
06-03 01:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xee0e0a…
06-03 01:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x32c838…
06-03 01:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xbefdaf…
06-03 01:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x86c665…
06-03 01:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xcaf965…
06-03 01:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xcd9c4a…
06-03 00:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xac2bb0…
06-03 00:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xe91abb…
06-03 00:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x30e70f…
06-03 00:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xd6e4c7…
06-03 00:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xd3e719…
06-03 00:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x77ea2f…
06-03 00:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x1fc7be…
06-03 00:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x37527a…
06-02 23:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x68b81c…
06-02 23:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xeb2221…