Itchy-Mrna — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$125

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

30.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,121

lifetime

Volume

$6.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-13

last 06-19 17:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

59% 50% $-24

Sports

32% — —

Politics

9% 100% +$149

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	No		-6	$-5	94¢	$-5	$-0	06-19 17:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	1	$275	300	0	+300	open	—	05-29 19:04
atp jodar carabel 2026 04 15	2	$196	100	100	+0	open	—	04-15 15:47
wta ostapen andreev 2026 04 13	4	$188	206	106	+101	open	—	04-15 16:00
atp altmaie medvede 2026 06 19	3	$132	200	0	+200	open	—	06-19 17:16
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	1	$126	300	0	+300	open	—	05-11 20:48
cricipl roy luc 2026 04 15	3	$103	58	58	+0	open	—	04-15 17:10
spl nsr ett 2026 04 24 nsr	2	$101	55	55	+0	open	—	04-15 20:01
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	1	$83	100	0	+100	open	—	06-01 21:02
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	1	$81	100	0	+100	open	—	05-11 22:10
atp kopriva darderi 2026 04 15	3	$75	87	0	+87	open	—	04-15 16:26
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	1	$35	74	0	+74	open	—	05-31 21:03
atp houkes lajovic 2026 04 15	2	$34	29	29	+1	open	—	04-15 15:08
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	1	$30	100	0	+100	open	—	05-29 18:50
ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 draw	2	$27	23	22	+1	open	—	04-15 20:56
Paris: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Diane Parry	1	$27	50	0	+50	Diane Parry	$-27	05-11 22:41
mlb wsh pit 2026 04 13 total 7pt5	3	$26	19	19	+0	open	—	04-13 23:37
mlb bos min 2026 04 13	2	$26	24	24	+0	open	—	04-13 23:55
mlb wsh pit 2026 04 14	4	$26	31	30	+1	open	—	04-15 00:25
nhl wsh cbj 2026 04 14	4	$25	16	16	+0	open	—	04-15 01:30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	1	$25	0	25	-25	open	—	06-19 17:23
mlb chc phi 2026 04 14 total 9pt5	4	$25	19	19	+0	open	—	04-15 00:34
mlb ari bal 2026 04 14	4	$25	42	41	+1	open	—	04-15 01:01
mlb ari bal 2026 04 13	2	$25	18	18	+0	open	—	04-14 01:02
mlb cle stl 2026 04 13 total 8pt5	3	$24	22	22	+0	open	—	04-14 00:48
nhl dal tor 2026 04 13	2	$24	16	16	+0	open	—	04-14 02:06
nba mia cha 2026 04 14 spread home 5pt5	5	$23	17	17	+0	open	—	04-15 01:51
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	04-17 19:36
nba mia cha 2026 04 14	4	$23	27	27	+1	open	—	04-15 01:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$23	42	42	+0	open	—	04-14 15:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	4	$23	29	28	+1	open	—	04-15 11:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 17:23:11	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x206913…
06-19 17:22:43	Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x252dc6…
06-19 17:22:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x1c1077…
06-19 17:16:34	atp altmaie medvede 2026 06 19	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0x19c2a6…
06-19 17:16:32	atp altmaie medvede 2026 06 19	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	79	66¢	$52	0x1971a2…
06-19 17:16:31	atp altmaie medvede 2026 06 19	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	120	66¢	$80	0x24f655…
06-01 21:02:36	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x9a018e…
05-31 21:03:31	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	74	47¢	$35	0xba5f17…
05-29 19:04:00	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	300	92¢	$275	0x12f7cf…
05-29 18:50:19	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x7007e9…
05-11 22:41:42	Paris: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Diane Parry	Beatriz Haddad Maia	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x6c27c1…
05-11 22:10:09	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x7f9faa…
05-11 20:48:53	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	42¢	$126	0x0df072…
04-28 10:50:52	Aix en Provence: Yibing Wu vs Alexandre Muller	Alexandre Muller	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x401c5e…
04-28 10:40:48	Aix en Provence: Yibing Wu vs Alexandre Muller	Alexandre Muller	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x7f0d53…
04-28 10:22:58	Mauthausen: Timofey Skatov vs Titouan Droguet	Titouan Droguet	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x82af60…
04-28 10:12:50	Mauthausen: Timofey Skatov vs Titouan Droguet	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xc2c935…
04-28 10:08:38	Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x191375…
04-28 09:56:24	La Bisbal: Elena Pridankina vs Kamilla Rakhimova	Kamilla Rakhimova	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x65aeda…
04-28 09:55:48	Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud	Stefanos Tsitsipas	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xb9dfa4…
04-28 09:54:52	Ostrava: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Maxim Mrva	Maxim Mrva	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x9e0cfc…
04-28 09:50:18	Mauthausen: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Choinski	Jan Choinski	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x38e68a…
04-28 09:46:18	La Bisbal: Elena Pridankina vs Kamilla Rakhimova	Kamilla Rakhimova	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe5946d…
04-28 09:45:42	Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x6cd965…
04-28 09:40:00	Mauthausen: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Choinski	Jan Choinski	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x14cd49…
04-28 09:30:28	Huzhou: Diletta Cherubini vs Ekaterina Reyngold	Ekaterina Reyngold	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x1f454c…
04-28 09:17:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xbb9f67…
04-28 09:14:18	Mauthausen: Matthew William Donald vs Nicolas Mejia	Nicolas Mejia	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x9d7ae2…
04-28 09:14:10	Mauthausen: Matthew William Donald vs Nicolas Mejia	Nicolas Mejia	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x6a5b80…
04-28 09:00:24	Mauthausen: Matthew William Donald vs Nicolas Mejia	Nicolas Mejia	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x324e7b…
04-28 09:00:10	Huzhou: Polona Hercog vs Xinyu Gao	Polona Hercog	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x4ae293…
04-28 08:34:48	Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)	Weibo Gaming	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x70a02c…
04-28 08:32:28	Mauthausen: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Sandro Kopp	Sandro Kopp	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x73cf44…
04-28 08:26:52	Hawks vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x23b37e…
04-28 08:22:20	Mauthausen: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Sandro Kopp	Sandro Kopp	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xb9cc89…
04-28 07:45:38	Huzhou: Hanyu Guo vs Dalila Jakupovic	Hanyu Guo	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x4b7bd3…
04-28 07:43:26	Shymkent 2: Sergey Fomin vs Jelle Sels	Jelle Sels	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xb84298…
04-28 07:35:36	Huzhou: Hanyu Guo vs Dalila Jakupovic	Hanyu Guo	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x046a15…
04-28 07:33:10	Shymkent 2: Sergey Fomin vs Jelle Sels	Jelle Sels	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa93569…
04-28 07:10:40	Huzhou: Rada Zolotareva vs Despina Papamichail	Rada Zolotareva	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x6be256…
04-28 07:10:10	Huzhou: Rada Zolotareva vs Despina Papamichail	Rada Zolotareva	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xa8aa69…
04-28 06:57:12	Huzhou: Rada Zolotareva vs Despina Papamichail	Rada Zolotareva	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x6c4dce…
04-28 06:35:24	Shymkent 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Oleksii Krutykh	Antoine Ghibaudo	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x4f58f7…
04-28 05:46:04	Shymkent 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Oleksii Krutykh	Antoine Ghibaudo	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x8bbab5…
04-28 05:42:54	Shymkent 2: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Sora Fukuda	Sora Fukuda	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xad67c2…
04-28 05:36:44	Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x054bf8…
04-28 05:29:04	Golden Knights vs. Utah	Golden Knights	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe1e431…
04-28 05:22:26	Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)	Nuggets	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x68df19…
04-28 05:21:34	Spread: Celtics (-11.5)	Celtics	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6a1b41…
04-28 05:16:02	Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd5f36d…
04-28 05:14:40	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6a59e8…
04-28 05:13:22	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 224.5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9c5f74…
04-28 05:09:18	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5	Over	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2bc3e4…
04-28 04:53:00	Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x897671…
04-28 04:28:18	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 221.5	Over	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x187826…
04-28 04:28:16	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 221.5	Over	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x474bfe…
04-28 04:19:46	Spread: Thunder (-11.5)	Suns	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc84dff…
04-28 04:18:20	Spread: Thunder (-10.5)	Suns	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1d9233…
04-28 04:18:08	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 221.5	Over	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x19110a…
04-28 04:07:42	Huzhou: Sara Saito vs Xinxin Yao	Sara Saito	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xd443a7…
04-28 04:03:26	Thunder vs. Suns	Thunder	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x53faaa…
04-28 04:03:18	Thunder vs. Suns	Thunder	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf062bc…
04-28 04:03:06	Thunder vs. Suns	Thunder	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe1eb47…
04-28 03:57:04	Huzhou: Sara Saito vs Xinxin Yao	Sara Saito	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xbf1e1b…
04-28 03:55:46	Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x19b4f7…
04-28 03:54:24	Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5	Under	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xe38db5…
04-28 03:41:44	Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5	Under	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xfb51e2…
04-28 03:25:46	Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5	Under	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xdd9fa1…
04-28 03:18:10	Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 215.5	Over	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa35868…
04-28 03:01:40	Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 213.5	Over	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x157567…
04-28 02:56:16	Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5	Over	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb29397…
04-28 02:53:08	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Magic	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0603e3…
04-28 02:51:48	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Magic	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x924829…
04-28 02:51:02	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Magic	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7fa394…
04-28 02:25:28	Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x3a179c…
04-28 02:15:26	Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x142f8a…
04-28 02:14:42	Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x63294d…
04-28 01:47:16	Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x3310a8…
04-28 01:45:36	Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6f0a9f…
04-28 01:26:50	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6bdf2d…
04-28 01:22:32	Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xee7533…
04-28 00:59:38	Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 215.5	Over	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe20ed0…
04-28 00:45:56	Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xaf1cd8…
04-28 00:43:28	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5	Under	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x54c5cc…
04-28 00:42:02	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5	Under	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc0af47…
04-28 00:39:46	Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0xa09baa…
04-28 00:26:12	Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x38020f…
04-28 00:25:14	Abidjan 2: Karim Bennani vs Karan Singh	Karim Bennani	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xec5520…
04-27 23:59:56	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x15ef32…
04-27 23:22:24	Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x5e2f58…
04-27 23:21:34	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5	Over	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x9dba92…
04-27 23:08:16	Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa41cd6…
04-27 23:06:10	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 224.5	Over	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xbde65c…
04-27 22:46:02	Abidjan 2: Karim Bennani vs Karan Singh	Karim Bennani	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xa55a43…
04-27 22:22:06	Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)	Golden Knights	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xbf8f51…
04-27 22:16:14	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x5c91f7…
04-27 22:13:22	Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x604b65…
04-27 22:08:32	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x17230b…
04-27 21:09:36	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc86e2f…
04-27 21:04:18	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbcb7f4…