Gargantuan-Frontier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$228

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.5%

Resolved

129

Trades

505

lifetime

Volume

$37.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-23 20:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Politics

49% 83% +$12

Other

33% 90% +$82

Crypto

12% 80% +$0

Tech

4% 100% +$10

Sports

2% 50% -$333

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike israel on march 10	8	$2.5K	1,259	1,259	+0	Yes	+$0	03-15 02:04
netanyahu out by march 31 854	34	$2.5K	3,071	3,071	+0	No	+$6	03-15 02:44
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	10	$1.9K	970	970	+0	Yes	+$1	02-14 17:45
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	4	$1.9K	950	950	+0	No	+$1	04-15 09:34
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	3	$1.8K	905	905	+0	No	+$1	04-16 00:47
trump out as president by march 31	8	$1.3K	667	667	+0	No	+$1	03-14 13:32
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	57	$1.2K	1,590	1,401	+189	open	—	09-12 04:36
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	8	$1.0K	1,956	1,956	+0	No	+$3	03-14 13:33
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	10	$1.0K	513	513	+0	No	+$0	01-11 11:19
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	3	$1.0K	670	335	+335	No	+$1	02-19 10:00
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt6t	2	$749	382	382	+0	No	+$5	06-10 01:21
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$735	370	370	+0	No	+$1	04-22 08:47
will bitcoin reach 115k in february 2026	2	$669	335	335	+0	No	+$0	02-20 20:03
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	7	$664	335	335	+0	No	+$0	02-15 10:26
will ethereum reach 4000 in february 2026	2	$663	333	333	+0	No	+$0	02-12 15:06
will trump say oil or gas or gasoline during dinner with dutch royals	5	$576	293	293	+0	No	+$9	04-14 04:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	4	$552	283	283	+0	No	+$1	04-13 05:38
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$511	257	257	+0	No	+$0	01-10 08:22
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	4	$503	259	259	+0	Yes	+$1	01-24 04:38
will trump say dike or sea during dinner with dutch royals	5	$497	359	140	+219	No	+$2	04-14 04:47
Will Josh Turek win the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary by between 20% and 30%?	3	$469	242	242	+0	Yes	+$11	06-05 14:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	6	$468	946	0	+946	No	+$5	05-29 12:35
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	7	$449	835	835	-0	open	—	09-11 04:31
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	3	$409	206	206	+0	Yes	+$2	05-12 23:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$398	205	205	+0	No	+$1	05-09 03:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	2	$394	198	198	+0	No	+$1	04-25 08:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	6	$393	200	200	+0	No	+$2	05-06 10:41
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	4	$390	260	130	+130	No	+$1	02-03 06:01
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	3	$387	263	133	+130	No	+$1	01-25 10:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	2	$387	200	200	+0	No	+$1	05-08 12:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-23 20:44:23	Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by 20–25%?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x8cf7f0…
09-15 13:48:15	LAPTOP listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	SELL	130	6¢	$8	0xb8b380…
09-14 00:37:10	Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by 20–25%?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3f0c8b…
09-12 17:45:49	Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by 20–25%?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x3b9b03…
09-12 17:44:03	Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by 20–25%?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xad458b…
09-12 14:53:03	Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by 20–25%?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xaa8c00…
09-12 14:50:37	Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by 20–25%?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x01bc18…
09-12 14:50:24	Will Chris Pappas win the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary by 20–25%?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x2f10b2…
09-12 04:36:40	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	SELL	31	36¢	$11	0x5cdcb3…
09-12 04:35:52	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x94de03…
09-11 12:42:51	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x0b90a4…
09-11 10:16:36	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x3b33ed…
09-11 10:10:21	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x978334…
09-11 10:10:04	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xdb3bba…
09-11 10:10:03	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	No	BUY	94	71¢	$67	0x9f18e2…
09-11 09:52:48	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	236	18¢	$42	0xf7f3c1…
09-11 09:43:13	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	SELL	246	30¢	$75	0x06ae04…
09-11 09:32:46	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xff18bc…
09-11 09:32:43	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0xf32af4…
09-11 09:32:42	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	SELL	97	39¢	$38	0xe3da2c…
09-11 08:38:36	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	18	37¢	$7	0xa6f33b…
09-11 08:37:48	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	SELL	257	41¢	$106	0xbfc5c8…
09-11 08:37:46	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x9c1177…
09-11 08:03:54	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x3ec77b…
09-11 08:02:58	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa68aec…
09-11 08:02:55	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x1c9a59…
09-11 08:02:40	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xba0de1…
09-11 08:01:18	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x62e8da…
09-11 08:00:58	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$3	0x456e14…
09-11 08:00:55	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0x480e14…
09-11 08:00:42	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xfc4784…
09-11 08:00:42	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	SELL	178	45¢	$80	0x452a75…
09-11 07:21:18	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xbcd6f8…
09-11 07:21:04	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	SELL	121	43¢	$53	0xa8a4b8…
09-11 07:01:42	houthis enter aden by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0xecbf13…
09-11 07:01:28	houthis enter aden by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x430d74…
09-11 06:57:07	houthis enter aden by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0x5781c0…
09-11 06:54:04	houthis enter aden by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	90	15¢	$13	0x1d53f2…
09-11 06:52:42	houthis enter aden by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x1e8b03…
09-11 06:43:42	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0xe39c98…
09-11 06:42:15	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	SELL	60	36¢	$22	0xef2e44…
09-11 06:41:01	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x4ceefd…
09-11 06:35:28	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	SELL	40	47¢	$19	0x9da635…
09-11 06:31:00	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	52	8¢	$4	0xc344d7…
09-11 06:24:25	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x1898da…
09-11 06:23:28	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	65	42¢	$27	0xe1be95…
09-11 06:19:54	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x55c971…
09-11 06:19:42	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xc9f379…
09-11 06:19:40	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	SELL	179	49¢	$88	0xe9d56f…
09-11 05:58:16	Will $LAPTOP reach $5 by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	1¢	$2	0xd7acd9…
09-11 05:55:34	Will $LAPTOP reach $5 by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0xc34cf1…
09-11 05:52:46	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x9a4924…
09-11 05:52:42	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	SELL	52	50¢	$26	0xf75d62…
09-11 05:45:30	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xcfba1f…
09-11 05:45:30	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3761e1…
09-11 05:43:27	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xc7c18c…
09-11 05:40:18	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1dc202…
09-11 05:39:48	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xf6cbf9…
09-11 05:39:40	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x98a6dd…
09-11 05:38:40	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0x5a89f3…
09-11 05:38:00	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	978	32¢	$313	0x8fe694…
09-11 04:31:00	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	28	24¢	$7	0xc34764…
09-11 04:15:19	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0x7814df…
09-11 04:14:48	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	237	27¢	$64	0x4bb09f…
09-11 04:14:34	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	321	31¢	$100	0xd8d752…
09-11 04:13:06	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xc16cb4…
09-11 04:11:42	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	27	8¢	$2	0x82fb4d…
09-11 04:08:52	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	235	34¢	$80	0x4e5b6a…
09-11 03:52:39	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	825	23¢	$192	0xcb2070…
09-11 03:48:18	LAPTOP listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xb7795e…
09-11 03:25:19	LAPTOP listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	BUY	46	9¢	$4	0xc6265b…
09-11 03:25:10	LAPTOP listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0xe8b793…
09-11 02:33:42	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xc4c301…
09-11 02:30:40	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x7c6301…
09-11 01:59:09	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	41	7¢	$3	0x50ab4c…
09-11 01:58:57	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	55	7¢	$4	0x293eb0…
09-11 01:32:18	LAPTOP listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	SELL	260	10¢	$26	0xe9f894…
09-10 14:56:03	LAPTOP FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x6e4341…
09-10 13:19:46	LAPTOP listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	SELL	1,000	6¢	$60	0x9a5cb9…
09-10 13:19:07	LAPTOP listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	BUY	400	7¢	$28	0x1d58fc…
09-10 13:17:39	LAPTOP listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x36a5d8…
09-10 13:14:15	LAPTOP listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	BUY	92	9¢	$8	0x8f639d…
09-10 13:04:42	LAPTOP listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	BUY	678	9¢	$59	0x6e52dc…
09-10 12:41:46	Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0xe189b2…
09-10 12:40:51	LAPTOP FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	206	1¢	$2	0x115d8a…
09-10 11:07:27	LAPTOP FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0x88689a…
09-10 11:03:19	LAPTOP FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xe64e7e…
09-10 08:19:09	will laptop reach 10pt00 by september 30 2026	No	SELL	111	96¢	$107	0x8fb685…
09-10 08:17:01	laptop fdv above 3b one day after launch	Yes	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0x89cd2f…
09-10 08:16:22	will sb energy ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	40	62¢	$25	0x289773…
09-10 08:15:04	Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?	Yes	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0x0a9ad7…
09-10 07:59:57	laptop fdv above 3b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xe8563a…
09-10 07:58:22	laptop fdv above 3b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xc447e4…
09-10 07:31:25	will laptop reach 10pt00 by september 30 2026	No	BUY	61	96¢	$59	0xa1ea58…
09-10 07:17:54	will cmi declare the navier stokes problem solved by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xc5d0ee…
09-10 06:22:10	will sb energy ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x3e306e…
09-10 06:20:21	will laptop reach 10pt00 by september 30 2026	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x0e15ce…
09-10 05:21:15	will practical magic 2 score at least 35 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xd022ab…
09-10 05:19:01	will practical magic 2 score at least 35 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	SELL	35	15¢	$5	0x79acde…
09-10 05:17:52	will practical magic 2 score at least 35 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x7b1ef1…