Cluttered-Okra — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$195

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.0%

Resolved

689

Trades

1,367

lifetime

Volume

$7.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 09-02 20:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Other

84% 72% -$222

Crypto

12% 58% -$71

Sports

3% 68% +$101

Politics

2% 43% -$3

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 151 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	14	$53	27	27	+0	Yes	+$2	02-01 13:47
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	8	$45	24	24	+0	Yes	-$1	02-02 13:52
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 14?	5	$44	37	37	+0	No	-$4	08-15 01:18
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	7	$41	913	913	+0	Yes	-$1	02-04 19:05
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 17?	3	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$1	08-17 15:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 20:45 UTC	4	$35	54	0	+54	Down	-$11	02-08 20:49
will the reserve bank of australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	3	$31	178	178	+0	No	+$6	02-10 16:15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 16?	4	$30	120	10	+110	Yes	-$10	08-16 09:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 16:45 UTC	11	$30	77	0	+77	Up	-$9	02-10 16:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 19:15 UTC	4	$27	62	0	+62	Up	-$27	02-09 19:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 16:00 UTC	7	$27	46	0	+46	Up	-$17	02-10 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$27	38	38	+0	Up	+$17	06-19 14:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 20:15 UTC	5	$25	47	0	+47	Down	+$5	02-08 20:18
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 15?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$0	08-16 01:21
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 15?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	08-15 20:26
aapl close above 255 on january 30 2026	5	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$1	01-30 19:57
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 15?	2	$25	13	13	+0	Yes	+$1	08-15 21:12
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on August 15?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	08-15 20:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 13:45 UTC	8	$24	55	0	+55	Up	+$0	02-10 13:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 20:30 UTC	6	$24	33	0	+33	Down	-$18	02-13 20:34
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 15?	3	$24	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	08-16 01:22
nothing ever happens iran strike edition	7	$24	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	02-01 13:29
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 15?	3	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	08-15 21:09
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 15?	3	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	08-15 20:34
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 15?	2	$24	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	08-15 22:06
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on August 15?	2	$24	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	08-15 21:14
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 15?	3	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	08-16 01:23
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or below on August 15?	3	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	08-15 18:01
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 15?	3	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	08-16 01:22
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 15?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	08-15 20:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-02 20:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xfc048a…
09-02 20:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6bae55…
09-02 20:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xdf90fd…
09-02 20:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xaeb7c9…
09-02 20:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xcd236e…
09-02 20:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x4682fc…
09-02 20:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x85c6a8…
09-02 20:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x83b56f…
09-02 20:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xad0fb1…
09-02 19:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x159a68…
09-01 21:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xc6e397…
09-01 17:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 1?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xf1f60d…
09-01 16:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 24°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0x951dbe…
09-01 12:53:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 1?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x40e6d2…
09-01 07:52:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 1?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd92e75…
08-31 16:13:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x2e1b0a…
08-31 16:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6612f4…
08-31 16:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x915834…
08-30 21:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x9d1aca…
08-30 18:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa3a88b…
08-20 22:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 20?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xc3107f…
08-20 22:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0x9289ba…
08-20 02:11:46	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa4cb7d…
08-20 02:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x719335…
08-20 02:11:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1d561b…
08-20 02:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 19?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x14bae9…
08-19 23:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4b46c9…
08-19 23:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 19?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xeee237…
08-19 22:54:58	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 19?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfdbc5a…
08-19 22:54:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd450a6…
08-19 22:54:10	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 19?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf3be21…
08-19 22:48:31	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7da667…
08-19 22:48:12	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on August 19?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb42670…
08-19 22:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x84a628…
08-19 22:06:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 19?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdd84ab…
08-19 22:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on August 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x482c5d…
08-19 22:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 19?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb38674…
08-19 21:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8b971f…
08-19 21:55:31	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4cc53f…
08-19 21:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xea8294…
08-19 20:56:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x33bfd6…
08-19 20:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x568acb…
08-19 20:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 19?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xba4d10…
08-19 19:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 19?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x75ce64…
08-19 19:00:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 19?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x65c112…
08-19 18:48:03	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x448678…
08-19 18:48:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x06405b…
08-19 18:42:39	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 19?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7e8b41…
08-19 18:03:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x278ded…
08-19 18:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd06bcc…
08-19 18:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x508b94…
08-19 18:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x500b92…
08-19 17:54:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd6d8c3…
08-19 17:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x059077…
08-19 16:01:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x37fa46…
08-19 15:59:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5069c7…
08-19 15:57:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 19?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc72144…
08-19 15:57:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb8f55c…
08-19 15:33:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x40bfcd…
08-19 15:33:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x530e12…
08-19 15:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe0b874…
08-19 15:21:52	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x656fb1…
08-19 15:17:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcb47d6…
08-19 15:14:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 19?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x648c4d…
08-19 15:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0890f2…
08-19 15:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcd010f…
08-19 14:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7d139f…
08-19 14:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5dffff…
08-19 13:42:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x74868e…
08-19 13:35:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x01f89c…
08-19 13:18:28	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0de577…
08-19 13:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf19106…
08-19 13:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 19?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xae315a…
08-19 13:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 19?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc64ab2…
08-19 13:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaee576…
08-19 13:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 19?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa5cf3d…
08-19 13:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 19?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1d4842…
08-19 11:09:28	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 19?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x533d01…
08-19 10:54:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 19?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbf7e84…
08-19 02:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 18?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x70a645…
08-19 02:14:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 18?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa8ba99…
08-19 02:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 18?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x072475…
08-19 01:46:40	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 18?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x143964…
08-18 23:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9a4b06…
08-18 22:45:27	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 18?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x722efc…
08-18 22:38:13	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3e112c…
08-18 22:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 18?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9914b3…
08-18 16:03:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 18?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x03476d…
08-18 15:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on August 18?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4d9b2f…
08-18 15:43:27	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x693d86…
08-18 15:42:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 18?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x65648f…
08-18 15:41:25	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 18?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xed616c…
08-18 15:40:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x050e01…
08-18 15:40:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1cfa93…
08-18 14:56:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 18?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x049925…
08-18 14:56:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6e2032…
08-18 14:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x08b398…
08-18 14:29:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 18?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x803c2c…
08-18 14:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc23592…
08-18 14:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 18?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x846b11…