Familiar-Crow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved

2,204

Trades

5,086

lifetime

Volume

$6.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-22

last 10-29 12:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% -$37

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 179 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 08:15 UTC	9	$34	23	23	+0	Up	+$4	08-10 08:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	4	$29	15	15	+0	Up	+$1	08-10 12:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 17:45 UTC	23	$29	41	32	+10	Up	+$3	08-03 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	8	$24	19	19	+0	Up	+$6	10-29 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	4	$21	17	17	+0	Down	+$1	05-22 06:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 03:00 UTC	9	$20	18	18	+0	Up	$0	08-11 03:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 17:30 UTC	12	$19	321	21	+300	Up	+$1	08-03 17:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 18:00 UTC	13	$19	52	18	+33	Up	+$1	08-03 18:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 07:30 UTC	16	$19	56	56	+0	Up	+$3	08-04 07:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 05:30 UTC	14	$19	24	24	+0	Up	+$3	08-06 05:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 18:30 UTC	16	$18	21	21	+0	Up	+$2	08-12 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	9	$17	13	13	+0	Up	+$1	07-29 05:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 19:00 UTC	9	$17	28	28	+0	Up	+$1	08-07 19:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 18:45 UTC	7	$17	16	10	+6	Down	+$1	06-12 18:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 12:30 UTC	13	$16	16	16	+0	Up	+$2	08-07 12:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 18:30 UTC	13	$15	19	17	+1	Up	+$3	07-28 18:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 09:30 UTC	13	$15	31	31	+0	Down	+$1	08-04 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	4	$15	12	12	+0	Up	+$9	10-29 08:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 12:15 UTC	4	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	06-12 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	11	$14	113	27	+86	Down	+$0	09-13 15:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 12:15 UTC	11	$14	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	08-02 12:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 13:30 UTC	9	$14	15	15	+0	Up	+$4	08-12 13:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-18 11:15 UTC	6	$14	12	12	+0	Up	+$8	07-18 11:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 12:30 UTC	12	$14	13	13	+0	Up	+$2	08-03 12:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 13:15 UTC	9	$14	36	32	+4	Down	$0	08-07 13:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	10	$14	50	50	+0	Up	+$2	07-21 10:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 11:30 UTC	10	$14	18	18	+0	Up	+$4	08-04 11:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 12:45 UTC	7	$14	22	22	+0	Up	$0	08-07 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	11	$14	18	13	+5	Down	+$2	07-21 08:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	6	$13	16	8	+8	Down	-$1	10-29 11:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 12:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x02ab3b…
10-29 12:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xbd48dd…
10-29 12:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x38118d…
10-29 12:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	74¢	$9	0x18bc50…
10-29 12:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x4858fe…
10-29 12:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5f92ad…
10-29 12:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x72aeb5…
10-29 12:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x90a505…
10-29 12:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xede17c…
10-29 12:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xe681c5…
10-29 11:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x681cfc…
10-29 11:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2b3760…
10-29 11:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xf6ab87…
10-29 11:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x6e034e…
10-29 11:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd3bdeb…
10-29 11:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x132f42…
10-29 11:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe47ba7…
10-29 11:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2735e4…
10-29 11:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	64¢	$4	0x1d0797…
10-29 11:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0ba891…
10-29 11:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x69dc36…
10-29 11:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa08ca5…
10-29 11:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x7a199b…
10-29 11:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x482653…
10-29 11:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x93cc17…
10-29 10:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5b5ab8…
10-29 10:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4b5879…
10-29 10:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xf241f9…
10-29 10:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x68dfad…
10-29 10:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe8eea6…
10-29 09:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x287b2e…
10-29 09:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf35c95…
10-29 09:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xd10cf4…
10-29 09:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9f2d29…
10-29 09:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x96560a…
10-29 09:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc49616…
10-29 09:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xbd7990…
10-29 09:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x33a0ad…
10-29 09:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0xa9caf4…
10-29 09:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x884833…
10-29 09:15:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-29 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa978c1…
10-29 09:06:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-29 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0xa732a2…
10-29 09:04:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-29 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa272a5…
10-29 09:00:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-29 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x203116…
10-29 08:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0x8ec050…
10-29 08:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x6a7744…
10-29 08:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x71ad64…
10-29 08:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x233960…
10-29 08:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7a550d…
10-29 08:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xdbc76a…
10-29 08:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x46fabc…
10-29 08:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x045a03…
10-29 08:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xca9e06…
10-29 08:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xd62a1a…
10-29 08:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x747918…
10-29 08:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x82fbfa…
10-29 08:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0x63b8b7…
10-29 08:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x433b20…
10-29 07:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x862ce9…
10-29 07:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x756a41…
10-29 07:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0d7866…
10-29 07:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x34fc71…
10-29 07:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x29d2d1…
10-29 07:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x15a8ea…
10-29 07:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x0a6e05…
10-29 07:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd16359…
10-29 07:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xca7020…
10-27 09:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xbd6f97…
10-27 09:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5dc056…
10-27 09:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3f1f39…
10-27 09:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x7e4ccf…
10-27 08:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x350e1f…
10-27 08:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc48e63…
10-27 08:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x42be49…
10-27 08:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2ccb75…
10-26 03:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x87c4b1…
10-26 03:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xde0378…
10-26 03:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe50098…
10-26 02:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x675ea2…
10-26 02:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x88d329…
10-26 02:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xee8a7e…
10-25 12:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd4737e…
10-25 12:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0ce6e3…
10-25 12:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x226163…
10-25 12:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe3a618…
10-25 11:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2cfd3a…
10-25 11:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xe1009b…
10-25 11:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1dadfc…
10-25 11:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x579b67…
10-25 03:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd5e831…
10-25 03:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf9d565…
10-25 03:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0x78f744…
10-25 03:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xbdbaa3…
10-25 02:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0xb76be2…
10-25 02:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xae1fb0…
10-25 02:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdaf60b…
10-23 03:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x721393…
10-23 03:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xe65e4f…
10-23 03:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6906b7…
10-23 03:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x729435…