Elated-Normal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.12K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.8%

Resolved

673

Trades

1,301

lifetime

Volume

$29.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 09-15 14:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 102 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 56% -$2,092

Other

13% 33% -$26

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 8am et	7	$743	1,535	238	+1,297	Up	-$457	08-03 12:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 11:00 UTC	4	$715	550	550	+0	Down	+$115	08-03 11:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:50 UTC	3	$491	320	320	+0	Down	+$91	07-21 17:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 06:45 UTC	7	$460	383	383	+0	Up	+$60	07-01 06:53
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 26?	4	$438	297	297	+0	Yes	+$58	06-26 05:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 06:30 UTC	6	$430	372	372	+0	Down	+$17	07-01 06:34
bitcoin up or down july 21 2026 10am et	4	$425	302	302	+0	Up	+$25	07-21 14:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 17:30 UTC	5	$418	611	133	+478	Up	-$222	08-29 17:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 17:15 UTC	4	$383	288	288	+0	Down	+$63	08-29 17:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 08:00 UTC	6	$382	317	316	+0	Down	+$42	06-30 08:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?	3	$334	196	196	+0	Yes	+$54	07-02 05:04
bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 4am et	5	$327	251	251	+0	Down	+$8	06-30 08:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 16:45 UTC	6	$322	218	218	+0	Up	+$42	08-06 16:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 05:30 UTC	6	$318	277	277	+0	Down	-$2	08-08 05:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 18:00 UTC	3	$300	374	0	+374	Up	-$300	07-21 18:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 17:00 UTC	4	$293	302	127	+175	Up	-$13	08-29 17:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 07:30 UTC	9	$285	346	173	+173	Up	-$35	07-13 07:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 07:00 UTC	7	$274	194	194	+0	Down	-$6	06-30 07:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 07:45 UTC	4	$258	253	220	+33	Up	+$24	06-30 07:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 15:00 UTC	9	$246	145	145	+0	Up	+$6	08-06 15:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 12:00 UTC	2	$242	186	186	+0	Down	+$42	08-03 12:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 07:40 UTC	3	$239	145	145	+0	Down	+$39	08-28 07:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 07:15 UTC	5	$238	166	166	+0	Up	+$18	08-28 07:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 10:30 UTC	2	$235	147	147	+0	Down	+$35	08-03 10:36
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 25?	2	$231	132	132	+0	No	+$31	06-25 04:01
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 24?	2	$226	129	129	+0	No	+$26	06-24 06:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 05:15 UTC	2	$226	135	135	+0	Up	+$26	08-08 05:23
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 25?	2	$225	127	127	+0	No	+$25	06-25 06:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 05:30 UTC	4	$219	173	173	+0	Up	+$39	07-01 05:45
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 27?	2	$212	114	114	+0	No	+$12	06-27 06:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 14:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xad8aa0…
09-15 05:47:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x2eb69d…
09-15 05:46:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xbf916c…
09-15 05:46:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:45 UTC	Down	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x4651f6…
09-15 05:45:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xb7c1a0…
09-15 05:33:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xc5aa6a…
09-15 05:32:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x4e5dfc…
09-15 05:32:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x7b0c1f…
09-14 08:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xb3c910…
09-14 08:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xfe9b12…
09-14 08:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x9a258d…
09-14 08:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x00a5e1…
09-14 08:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xde4fb1…
09-14 08:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xcdf899…
09-14 08:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe6f299…
09-14 08:18:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x093f90…
09-14 08:18:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x3bb4f6…
09-14 08:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x36d16a…
09-14 08:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xfb1933…
09-14 08:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x846f65…
09-14 08:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x078b76…
09-14 08:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xbb5742…
09-14 08:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x6690fc…
09-14 07:58:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 07:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x4ab426…
09-14 07:57:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x62a2a6…
09-14 07:54:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 07:50 UTC	Up	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0xf3d1a9…
09-14 07:52:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x33be43…
09-10 03:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x72b48e…
09-10 03:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xf57432…
09-10 03:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xf38509…
09-10 03:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb41a06…
09-10 03:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x37eff1…
09-10 03:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x8b93d9…
09-10 03:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf98902…
09-10 03:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe9d00e…
09-09 17:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x70a103…
09-08 17:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0xf3238e…
09-08 17:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf18b74…
09-08 17:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x0d3be1…
09-08 17:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xef5f87…
09-04 17:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf2f031…
09-04 17:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0f2177…
09-04 16:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	88¢	$2	0x4495a6…
09-04 16:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd2c82c…
09-04 16:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x5295d1…
09-04 16:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x2c4016…
09-04 16:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9b041d…
09-04 16:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8fad82…
09-04 16:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x3f8195…
09-04 16:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6b67d6…
09-04 16:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x8db5c0…
09-04 16:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x1a12bc…
09-04 16:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x073178…
09-04 16:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1c5075…
09-03 09:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xaa61dd…
09-03 09:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5a53d5…
09-03 09:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x395dcb…
09-03 09:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xcc0a9b…
09-02 16:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa16b28…
09-02 16:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd5cb6e…
09-02 16:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x708d5c…
09-02 05:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x996f7a…
09-02 05:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb71f0a…
09-01 17:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xdc1d5c…
09-01 16:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x55e82f…
09-01 16:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	44	92¢	$40	0xfd4837…
09-01 16:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xb963e2…
09-01 16:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xfaa2cc…
09-01 15:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	29	93¢	$27	0xe84f7a…
09-01 15:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x5f103d…
09-01 15:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x31293b…
09-01 15:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	16	72¢	$11	0x7bd028…
09-01 15:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x077250…
09-01 15:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x143cfa…
08-31 17:13:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xf5f30b…
08-31 17:08:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 17:05 UTC	Up	SELL	14	90¢	$12	0xcf412c…
08-31 17:08:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x92abfc…
08-31 13:09:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:05 UTC	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x79e31f…
08-31 13:09:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x680f43…
08-31 06:26:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x6508f5…
08-31 03:08:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 03:05 UTC	Down	SELL	16	78¢	$12	0x1afc99…
08-31 03:07:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xf29644…
08-31 03:01:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x8cf3d1…
08-31 02:56:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xfe287b…
08-31 02:51:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xe32a5b…
08-31 02:43:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 02:40 UTC	Down	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0xa4145c…
08-31 02:42:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xc18099…
08-30 16:52:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x9662e9…
08-30 16:48:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x87dbcc…
08-30 16:42:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x73d25e…
08-30 16:38:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 16:35 UTC	Up	SELL	51	36¢	$18	0x75639d…
08-30 16:37:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x19b19d…
08-30 15:49:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	203	10¢	$20	0x3d7d85…
08-30 01:13:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 01:10 UTC	Down	SELL	72	99¢	$72	0xcfbe4e…
08-30 01:13:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xfe720a…
08-30 01:13:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x7f9a29…
08-30 01:13:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x33e77d…
08-30 01:05:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	188	43¢	$80	0xb1af35…
08-29 18:11:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 18:00 UTC	Down	SELL	191	17¢	$32	0xcd83da…
08-29 18:05:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	191	42¢	$80	0x0f38fd…