Polite-Hydrant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$43

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 05-21 01:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

82% 98% -$46

Politics

17% 100% +$2

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 59 million views on day 5?	1	$142	145	+145	Yes	-$142	05-21 01:53
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$141	141	+141	No	+$0	05-19 02:03
Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 4?	1	$141	143	+143	No	+$2	05-20 02:50
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	1	$140	140	+140	No	+$0	05-15 03:43
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	1	$140	140	+140	No	+$0	05-17 11:00
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$140	140	+140	No	+$0	05-09 05:44
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$140	140	+140	No	+$0	05-04 03:22
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$137	137	+137	No	+$0	04-24 06:53
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$137	139	+139	No	+$2	05-03 03:31
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$137	137	+137	No	+$0	04-27 02:30
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$137	137	+137	No	+$0	05-01 07:44
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	1	$137	137	+137	No	+$0	04-22 09:50
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	1	$104	139	+139	No	+$34	04-22 02:44
donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 60 79	1	$103	104	+104	No	+$1	04-18 09:14
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 40 64	1	$101	103	+103	No	+$2	04-18 02:45
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 220 239	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	04-13 07:45
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	05-11 08:07
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	05-10 03:50
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	1	$100	101	+101	No	+$1	04-16 07:53
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 180 199	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$1	04-12 02:00
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 40 64	1	$82	101	+101	No	+$19	04-11 07:29
will mrbeasts latest video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 4	1	$81	81	+81	No	+$0	04-08 09:46
will mrbeasts latest video get less than 72 million views on day 6	1	$81	81	+81	No	+$0	04-10 01:38
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 40 64	1	$76	81	+81	No	+$5	04-08 01:36
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	1	$75	75	+75	No	+$0	04-05 02:31
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	1	$70	75	+75	No	+$5	04-03 08:52
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	1	$69	70	+70	No	+$1	04-01 11:10
will google have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	1	$61	63	+63	Yes	+$2	03-30 10:42
elon musk of tweets march 2026 880 919	1	$55	55	+55	No	+$0	03-19 11:23
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1040 1079	1	$53	53	+53	No	+$0	03-23 09:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 01:53:01	Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 59 million views on day 5?	No	BUY	145	98¢	$142	0x0853bc…
05-20 02:50:24	Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$141	0x9cc564…
05-19 02:03:58	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x43ed06…
05-17 11:00:38	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xb298b3…
05-15 03:43:27	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xa18d19…
05-12 03:50:24	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x732606…
05-11 08:07:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd807f6…
05-10 03:50:08	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x34ba63…
05-10 03:50:01	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xd68fef…
05-09 05:44:24	Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x1d3636…
05-04 03:22:22	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xa6dc94…
05-03 03:31:40	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	139	98¢	$137	0xd740d0…
05-01 07:44:30	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x1a7be8…
04-27 02:30:56	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x28699e…
04-24 06:53:00	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xd1cad8…
04-22 09:50:20	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x6ca86a…
04-22 02:44:28	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	No	BUY	139	75¢	$104	0x2a6114…
04-18 09:14:06	donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 60 79	No	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0x62e720…
04-18 02:45:36	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 40 64	No	BUY	103	98¢	$101	0x2dc6bb…
04-16 07:53:04	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x771c88…
04-13 07:45:25	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 220 239	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfb4b72…
04-12 02:00:11	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 180 199	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9c4a23…
04-11 07:29:17	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 40 64	No	BUY	101	81¢	$82	0x9282e9…
04-10 01:38:39	will mrbeasts latest video get less than 72 million views on day 6	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x6b315f…
04-08 09:46:13	will mrbeasts latest video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 4	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x1345f8…
04-08 01:36:23	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 40 64	No	BUY	81	93¢	$76	0x193218…
04-05 02:31:19	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 100 119	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xbe926d…
04-03 08:52:03	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	No	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0xa28105…
04-01 11:10:07	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	No	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0x6defda…
03-30 10:42:48	will google have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	63	96¢	$61	0x82e499…
03-29 09:58:50	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 0 39	No	BUY	61	83¢	$50	0x4ec693…
03-27 11:17:57	will solana reach 100 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xca6665…
03-27 11:17:47	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x0fc4c6…
03-27 11:17:41	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe88d01…
03-27 11:17:35	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 0 39	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xce6611…
03-23 09:14:53	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfc9bf6…
03-23 09:14:39	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1040 1079	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x5addca…
03-19 11:23:27	elon musk of tweets march 2026 880 919	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xa105b8…
03-18 07:01:23	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 40 64	No	BUY	55	93¢	$51	0xd2ed42…
03-16 02:25:43	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xce31de…
03-15 02:42:41	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	51	100¢	$50	0x900e02…
03-08 07:31:17	will israel strike gaza on march 5 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xea4d4d…
03-05 09:24:43	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x9c02d7…
03-05 09:24:37	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 100 119	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x54a91e…
03-02 09:49:49	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd44e5b…
02-27 01:34:44	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x622e95…
02-27 01:34:38	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x29b66a…
02-27 01:34:32	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1eaabf…
02-27 01:34:28	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x00ab09…
02-27 01:34:16	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x27b476…
02-14 03:25:47	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 140 159	No	BUY	52	100¢	$51	0x3ad93e…
02-12 06:51:13	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 340 359	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xed0143…
02-11 03:01:19	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 115 139	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xa8c431…
02-10 07:08:05	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 0 39	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf2f3ce…
02-09 07:56:51	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 200 219	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe5fb98…
02-08 06:57:11	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 140 159	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x5c7e27…
02-04 01:53:52	will the ecb announce no change at the february 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1567d9…
02-02 10:58:10	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 0 39	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbf80d7…
02-01 07:21:36	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 280 299	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x749e2c…
01-29 09:12:14	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0xccdb2f…
01-26 07:05:42	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0xb5891e…
01-25 03:17:32	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 280 299	No	BUY	49	100¢	$48	0x87e6da…
01-23 08:22:52	will grok 4pt20 be released on january 23 2026	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x1a41c1…
01-20 09:04:32	no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	48	98¢	$48	0x6a75b7…
01-12 06:59:30	will primate opening weekend box office be between 9m and 11m	No	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0x81ff7b…