Suburban-Cause — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$65

Unrealized P&L

+$264

Hit rate

46.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$200

Open exposure

$2.80K

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 10-27 07:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

86% 0% -$181

Tech

12% 100% +$116

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No		+2,909	$2,455	94¢	$2.7K	+$265	05-12 22:56
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+112	$83	74¢	$82	-$1	10-27 07:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	3	$2.5K	2,909	0	+2,909	open	—	05-12 22:56
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$416	325	325	+0	Yes	+$116	02-19 22:31
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$293	158	158	+0	Yes	-$1	02-19 22:31
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	6	$174	200	0	+200	open	—	06-08 12:09
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?	1	$150	200	0	+200	No	-$150	05-11 23:32
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	1	$83	112	0	+112	open	—	10-27 07:40
Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?	1	$29	32	0	+32	No	-$29	05-11 23:27
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	2	$7	200	0	+200	open	—	05-17 14:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 07:40:35	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	74¢	$83	0x08a7e9…
06-08 12:09:06	Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0xba0fec…
05-20 19:51:00	Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x71183a…
05-19 10:15:40	Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	70	87¢	$61	0xb8a420…
05-19 10:05:03	Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x688a19…
05-17 14:17:10	Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	175	4¢	$6	0x2adc05…
05-17 03:22:50	Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1be32c…
05-16 18:07:23	Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xed33ee…
05-15 13:54:03	Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	97	87¢	$84	0xa6694e…
05-12 22:56:18	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	2,353	85¢	$2,000	0xd544c5…
05-12 22:25:11	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	267	85¢	$227	0x4443c9…
05-11 23:45:49	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	289	79¢	$228	0xdcb24d…
05-11 23:32:53	Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x343581…
05-11 23:27:40	Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	BUY	32	92¢	$29	0xdc5dde…
02-19 22:31:18	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	158	92¢	$146	0xf3b51b…
02-19 22:31:12	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	325	82¢	$266	0x61713c…
02-19 16:04:58	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	158	93¢	$147	0x9f391e…
02-19 15:49:28	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	325	46¢	$150	0xdfad69…