Tragic-Bore — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13.3K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.3%

Resolved

4,339

Trades

8,321

lifetime

Volume

$306.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-27 15:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 177 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% -$13,313

Other

0% 29% -$34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 165 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	9	$4.6K	4,719	4,719	+0	Up	+$627	10-20 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	4	$2.4K	2,351	2,351	+0	Down	+$639	10-20 01:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 02:00 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,157	1,140	+18	Up	+$516	01-09 02:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 02:30 UTC	2	$1.3K	1,190	1,172	+18	Down	+$239	01-09 02:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 03:30 UTC	4	$1.2K	1,018	1,005	+14	Down	+$44	01-10 03:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	26	$1.1K	5,602	620	+4,982	Down	-$870	10-20 07:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 06:45 UTC	2	$1.0K	978	963	+15	Up	+$39	01-09 06:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 13:00 UTC	2	$1.0K	835	823	+12	Up	+$66	01-09 13:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 11:15 UTC	3	$983	1,211	639	+573	Down	-$214	01-10 11:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 17:00 UTC	3	$961	859	846	+13	Down	+$79	01-09 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	3	$915	911	911	+0	Down	+$263	10-19 04:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	3	$900	2,847	0	+2,847	Down	-$900	10-20 06:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 15:15 UTC	2	$889	642	632	+10	Up	+$282	01-11 15:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 08:00 UTC	2	$869	756	745	+12	Down	+$81	02-03 08:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 12:15 UTC	2	$854	606	596	+9	Down	+$245	01-10 12:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 12:30 UTC	2	$854	700	689	+11	Up	+$136	01-09 12:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 00:45 UTC	2	$824	1,194	1,176	+18	Down	-$187	01-10 00:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 16:00 UTC	8	$821	541	462	+79	Up	+$26	01-10 16:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 15:30 UTC	2	$804	665	654	+10	Up	+$123	01-10 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	5	$774	1,323	950	+373	Down	-$26	10-19 04:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 03:45 UTC	2	$746	516	508	+8	Up	+$197	02-02 03:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 13:45 UTC	3	$741	628	618	+10	Up	+$128	01-11 13:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 11:45 UTC	2	$730	520	512	+8	Down	+$192	02-03 11:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 14:00 UTC	2	$725	626	616	+10	Down	+$97	01-09 14:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 10:45 UTC	2	$698	671	660	+10	Down	+$41	01-09 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$693	676	676	+0	Down	+$213	10-22 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$684	520	520	+0	Up	+$75	10-20 07:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 12:00 UTC	5	$683	624	615	+9	Up	+$36	01-10 12:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 11:45 UTC	2	$670	536	528	+8	Down	+$78	02-02 11:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 00:15 UTC	2	$668	493	485	+8	Up	+$144	02-03 00:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	48	46¢	$22	0xbd08dc…
10-27 15:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	195	10¢	$20	0x2e3bb0…
10-27 15:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xb13d73…
10-27 15:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	70	79¢	$55	0x5263dc…
10-27 15:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	70	44¢	$31	0xfc1867…
10-27 15:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xd54cdf…
10-27 14:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	28	99¢	$27	0x734439…
10-27 14:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x999a8a…
10-27 14:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x6fe5d5…
10-27 14:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	32	79¢	$25	0x8ea803…
10-27 14:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x38f389…
10-24 00:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	65	44¢	$28	0xf48f8c…
10-24 00:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x175fc2…
10-24 00:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	129	2¢	$3	0xe67200…
10-24 00:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	129	38¢	$49	0x791ba0…
10-24 00:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	95	56¢	$53	0x8c583a…
10-24 00:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	95	39¢	$37	0x798fff…
10-24 00:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	112	57¢	$64	0x231bc6…
10-24 00:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	112	37¢	$42	0x0945b5…
10-23 23:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	47	93¢	$44	0xa914bb…
10-23 23:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	47	50¢	$23	0xeeaebf…
10-23 23:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	212	40¢	$85	0xd8910e…
10-23 23:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	145	36¢	$52	0xde3371…
10-23 23:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	67	41¢	$28	0x7fe43c…
10-23 23:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0xb6de09…
10-23 15:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	67	62¢	$41	0xe1c3d6…
10-23 15:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x26a36b…
10-23 15:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x937b7f…
10-23 15:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	106	57¢	$60	0xe7bcac…
10-23 15:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xa7df15…
10-23 15:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xb9c4d3…
10-23 15:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x08c9a5…
10-23 15:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	104	36¢	$37	0x02ae8e…
10-23 15:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x9b6485…
10-23 15:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	92	66¢	$61	0xbab678…
10-23 15:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0x2de180…
10-23 15:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	122	32¢	$39	0x99fc10…
10-23 15:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	72	71¢	$51	0xd5345f…
10-23 15:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	72	41¢	$30	0xae63d3…
10-23 14:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	84	33¢	$28	0x113ae2…
10-23 14:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xfe85d6…
10-23 12:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	88	91¢	$80	0x8ff998…
10-23 12:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x466306…
10-23 12:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	218	62¢	$135	0x7cd088…
10-23 12:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	218	19¢	$42	0xe5a5dc…
10-23 12:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	37	38¢	$14	0x1f4843…
10-23 12:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	252	6¢	$15	0xb61852…
10-23 12:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	252	30¢	$76	0x6d901f…
10-23 11:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0xbd0bd0…
10-23 11:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	174	65¢	$114	0x190ca4…
10-23 11:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	174	44¢	$76	0x4f416d…
10-23 11:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	112	29¢	$32	0xc08487…
10-23 11:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	56	59¢	$33	0x61c2c1…
10-23 11:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x390749…
10-23 11:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	116	51¢	$59	0xcd0f30…
10-23 11:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	116	25¢	$29	0x8f9b6c…
10-23 11:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x4819d6…
10-23 11:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	60	53¢	$32	0xfff3bb…
10-23 11:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x2fc6aa…
10-23 11:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	40	72¢	$29	0x23d9d2…
10-23 11:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x7b60a5…
10-23 10:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	91	90¢	$82	0xc972d5…
10-23 10:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0xec6dce…
10-23 10:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	140	52¢	$73	0x217552…
10-23 10:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	140	37¢	$52	0x21f20f…
10-23 10:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xa40307…
10-23 08:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	89	53¢	$48	0x1e84e1…
10-23 08:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xd8738d…
10-23 02:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	162	42¢	$68	0x43912f…
10-23 01:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	138	53¢	$73	0x3a7a0c…
10-23 01:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	138	40¢	$56	0x5d398a…
10-23 01:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	107	31¢	$33	0xb5d21c…
10-23 01:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	111	25¢	$28	0xc68582…
10-23 01:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	218	18¢	$39	0x015d49…
10-23 01:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	112	37¢	$42	0x5f0e7d…
10-23 01:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	735	37¢	$272	0x18bb45…
10-23 01:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	355	41¢	$145	0x0e7b37…
10-23 01:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	101	41¢	$42	0xbf767a…
10-23 00:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x59cebc…
10-23 00:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	63	77¢	$48	0xe6988c…
10-23 00:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	63	48¢	$30	0x171372…
10-23 00:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xf582ae…
10-23 00:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xe6e7f6…
10-23 00:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xda938b…
10-23 00:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	78	83¢	$65	0xab1a34…
10-23 00:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x9e1684…
10-23 00:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x5d6996…
10-23 00:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	83¢	$7	0x511682…
10-23 00:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0x3a0ed5…
10-23 00:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x19336c…
10-22 23:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x75b75c…
10-22 23:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	95	37¢	$35	0xad0bdc…
10-22 23:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x1d571c…
10-22 23:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	78	74¢	$58	0xa20037…
10-22 23:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	78	38¢	$30	0x64ca9c…
10-22 23:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xc7b2aa…
10-22 19:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	676	67¢	$453	0x24ab26…
10-22 19:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	676	35¢	$240	0x0d3209…
10-22 18:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x4cdd77…
10-22 18:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	401	73¢	$293	0xf74bb8…