Outstanding-Warrior — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.5%

Resolved

296

Trades

4,083

lifetime

Volume

$11.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 05-20 19:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 48% $-10

Other

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spgi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 4pt33	4	$111	98	100	-2	open	—	02-10 13:54
spx opens up or down on february 6 2026	7	$46	60	60	+0	open	—	02-05 22:18
bitcoin up or down february 11 5am et	2	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	02-11 10:38
bitcoin up or down february 10 4pm et	3	$28	25	25	+0	open	—	02-10 21:55
bitcoin above 78k on february 5	8	$26	400	400	+0	open	—	02-04 23:55
will switzerland win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	8	$24	2,397	936	+1,460	open	—	02-18 23:42
btc updown 15m 1770897600	3	$22	20	10	+10	open	—	02-12 12:14
spx opens up or down on february 9 2026	3	$22	27	5	+22	open	—	02-09 14:11
spx opens up or down on february 5 2026	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	02-05 12:32
cboe quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 06 2026 2pt95	3	$21	100	37	+63	open	—	02-06 11:10
btc updown 15m 1770830100	1	$20	41	0	+41	open	—	02-11 17:18
btc updown 5m 1771245300	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	02-16 12:39
xrp updown 5m 1771452900	3	$18	14	14	+0	open	—	02-18 22:18
googl above 300 on february 27 2026	2	$16	49	49	+0	open	—	02-10 14:42
spx opens up or down on february 10 2026	5	$16	21	10	+11	open	—	02-10 14:25
btc updown 15m 1770852600	1	$15	24	0	+24	open	—	02-11 23:33
eth updown 15m 1771275600	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	02-16 21:14
hubs quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 11 2026 2pt99	1	$15	100	0	+100	open	—	02-10 17:32
bitcoin up or down february 11 1pm et	1	$15	25	0	+25	open	—	02-11 18:14
eth updown 15m 1771279200	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	02-16 22:11
will los ratones win the lec 2026 versus	2	$14	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	02-08 20:54
uaa quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 06 2026 neg0pt01	5	$14	56	56	+0	open	—	02-06 12:43
cvs quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt99	3	$14	112	0	+112	open	—	02-10 11:00
btc updown 15m 1770840900	1	$14	20	0	+20	open	—	02-11 20:21
eth updown 15m 1771396200	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	02-18 06:44
net quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 11 2026 0pt27	3	$13	80	0	+80	open	—	02-10 17:37
lol fnc g2 2026 02 08	3	$13	100	100	+0	open	—	02-08 20:59
hood quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt63	6	$13	100	0	+100	open	—	02-10 14:24
bitcoin up or down february 11 7am et	2	$13	35	0	+35	open	—	02-11 12:50
btc updown 15m 1771194600	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	02-15 22:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 19:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x523977…
05-20 19:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa37859…
05-20 17:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7f59e8…
05-20 17:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdefada…
05-20 17:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x8c5dcc…
05-20 16:30:07	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5b2bb3…
05-20 16:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x232339…
05-20 13:40:08	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x3d1509…
05-20 13:40:07	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd55f47…
05-20 13:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb34027…
05-20 13:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8f2124…
05-20 12:53:28	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5de3c5…
05-20 08:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7909ec…
05-20 08:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x22a93e…
05-20 05:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc14576…
05-20 05:10:10	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe9c167…
05-20 05:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf8ee51…
05-20 05:05:07	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbfb4b5…
05-20 05:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf225fc…
05-20 05:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x2a9d56…
05-20 05:00:06	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7ae6c1…
05-20 01:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x4154a4…
05-20 01:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd9bedd…
05-20 01:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x32d894…
05-20 00:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa0f28f…
05-20 00:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9ebb57…
05-20 00:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x819c6e…
05-20 00:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xd66ef3…
05-19 23:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe543d4…
05-19 23:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd9e7b0…
05-19 22:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x27ba66…
05-19 22:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf44104…
05-19 22:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x553798…
05-19 22:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x67fd38…
05-19 22:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xca8c91…
05-19 22:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xb59164…
05-19 22:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x8d925f…
05-19 20:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdd21c8…
05-19 19:30:51	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbf524b…
05-19 19:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x702aff…
05-19 17:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x50ccc4…
05-19 17:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x5d3700…
05-19 17:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3631e1…
05-19 16:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfb5d6b…
05-19 14:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x8c3938…
05-19 14:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2a9b63…
05-19 14:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc288f4…
05-19 13:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xac26c0…
05-19 13:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x818a37…
05-19 13:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4fef9a…
05-19 11:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4f7b47…
05-19 10:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x089e36…
05-19 09:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa94287…
05-19 09:31:57	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0xc72619…
05-19 09:30:15	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8c6092…
05-19 09:25:25	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc288ab…
05-19 07:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf83a41…
05-19 05:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x83f1fd…
05-19 04:30:39	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb99bf9…
05-19 02:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xadb89f…
05-19 02:05:29	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x28b562…
05-19 01:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x34ef33…
05-19 01:30:07	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x946536…
05-19 01:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdd77dc…
05-19 01:25:09	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe0f8ff…
05-19 01:25:07	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x727123…
05-19 00:25:22	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd80e60…
05-19 00:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8b3bb2…
05-19 00:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7fad4c…
05-18 21:35:38	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa3f6b8…
05-18 21:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6bbbc2…
05-18 21:30:06	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5716a8…
05-18 21:25:03	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xed7b52…
05-18 20:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x178939…
05-18 19:50:59	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7153d2…
05-18 19:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf75112…
05-18 19:45:04	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd6ae23…
05-18 19:05:10	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x540f8c…
05-18 19:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa708f7…
05-18 18:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x87e9c6…
05-18 18:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8e095a…
05-18 18:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2c4fbe…
05-18 18:05:30	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x1498be…
05-18 18:05:10	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3ea48f…
05-18 15:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x8e3738…
05-18 15:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x698a4a…
05-18 11:40:14	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7119cc…
05-18 11:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x8891a6…
05-18 10:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2df3db…
05-18 10:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xd84aa0…
05-18 10:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x26fef9…
05-18 10:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa4d210…
05-18 10:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x76a1cf…
05-18 06:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xee3d1b…
05-18 06:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x97cd0a…
05-18 04:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7aaa8e…
05-18 04:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xad1cee…
05-18 02:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x634327…
05-18 02:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x26af7e…
05-18 01:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8f24b6…