Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$656

Unrealized P&L

-$21

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

899

Trades

1,073

lifetime

Volume

$4.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$31

3 positions

First seen

2026-07-30

last 09-24 15:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 51% -$593

Other

5% 49% -$14

Tech

2% 0% -$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	No	+80	$20	36¢	$29	+$9	09-24 15:05
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	+16	$1	5¢	$1	$0	09-24 15:36
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+343	$31	0¢	$1	-$30	09-24 15:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 14:15 UTC	2	$433	346	346	+0	Down	+$253	07-30 14:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$288	189	189	+0	Down	+$88	09-05 11:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 14:45 UTC	3	$203	357	357	+0	Down	+$3	07-30 14:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 14:40 UTC	2	$153	107	107	+0	Down	+$58	07-30 14:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 15:30 UTC	2	$110	259	0	+259	Down	-$110	07-30 15:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 14:10 UTC	1	$100	200	0	+200	Down	-$100	07-30 14:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 14:35 UTC	1	$100	323	0	+323	Up	-$100	07-30 14:37
Solana Up or Down - September 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	09-05 11:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 14:30 UTC	1	$100	357	0	+357	Up	-$100	07-30 14:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 18:10 UTC	6	$80	223	71	+151	Down	-$50	07-30 18:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 14:25 UTC	1	$79	2,852	0	+2,852	Up	-$79	07-30 14:28
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$50	1,488	0	+1,488	No	-$50	09-24 14:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 15:25 UTC	1	$50	167	0	+167	Down	-$50	07-30 15:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 14:50 UTC	1	$50	476	0	+476	Down	-$50	07-30 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 14:55 UTC	1	$40	349	0	+349	Down	-$40	07-30 14:56
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?	1	$31	343	0	+343	open	—	09-24 15:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 15:35 UTC	1	$30	70	0	+70	Up	-$30	07-30 15:35
Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$29	62	0	+62	Down	-$29	09-06 04:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 16:05 UTC	2	$25	109	0	+109	Up	-$25	07-30 16:07
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 05:30 UTC	2	$25	31	0	+31	Down	+$6	08-03 05:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 15:45 UTC	2	$22	17	17	+0	Down	+$2	07-31 15:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 15:55 UTC	2	$21	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	07-31 15:57
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	1	$20	80	0	+80	open	—	09-24 15:05
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?	1	$20	164	0	+164	open	—	09-24 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 08:55 UTC	2	$20	32	0	+32	Down	-$20	08-01 08:59
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 06:00 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	08-03 06:03
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 06:30 UTC	1	$20	27	0	+27	Down	-$20	08-03 06:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 15:00 UTC	2	$16	17	17	+0	Up	+$11	07-30 15:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 04:35 UTC	12	$14	19	0	+19	Up	+$0	08-03 04:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 15:50 UTC	2	$14	20	20	+0	Up	-$6	07-31 15:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-24 15:40:02	Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	343	9¢	$31	0x769bf8…
09-24 15:36:36	Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x072e17…
09-24 15:36:32	Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xcfdfb8…
09-24 15:36:20	Will AI solve 4 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x192f22…
09-24 15:36:18	Will AI solve 5 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x1a514b…
09-24 15:05:20	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x3efb14…
09-24 15:04:24	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	164	12¢	$20	0x471e66…
09-24 14:54:03	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x63bb5c…
09-24 14:51:03	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,488	3¢	$50	0x9767ab…
09-07 13:41:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 7, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xbed6fc…
09-07 13:05:06	BNB Up or Down - September 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x47474c…
09-07 13:05:06	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0a4575…
09-07 13:05:04	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xebc0a4…
09-07 13:05:04	XRP Up or Down - September 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc35237…
09-07 13:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2bc860…
09-07 13:05:04	ZCash Up or Down - September 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x28953d…
09-07 13:00:09	BNB Up or Down - September 7, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x201f92…
09-07 13:00:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 7, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1af7c1…
09-07 13:00:09	Solana Up or Down - September 7, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x11352a…
09-07 12:57:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x335be0…
09-07 12:56:58	XRP Up or Down - September 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xb15d73…
09-07 12:55:28	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xa1433f…
09-07 12:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x87d8de…
09-07 12:55:18	BNB Up or Down - September 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x8929b0…
09-07 12:55:06	BNB Up or Down - September 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8b46e4…
09-07 12:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb0f40e…
09-07 12:55:04	ZCash Up or Down - September 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6d558d…
09-07 12:55:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x677799…
09-07 12:55:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x4b66d6…
09-07 12:55:04	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x44f8a9…
09-07 12:55:04	XRP Up or Down - September 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x224a7a…
09-07 12:41:30	Solana Up or Down - September 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x68e609…
09-07 12:40:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x6b14bd…
09-07 12:40:04	BNB Up or Down - September 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xfb9e73…
09-07 12:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe4f4b7…
09-07 12:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xc7df25…
09-07 12:40:04	XRP Up or Down - September 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa2443d…
09-07 12:40:04	Solana Up or Down - September 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7fdbac…
09-07 12:40:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x01b650…
09-07 12:39:45	XRP Up or Down - September 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xceb7a8…
09-07 12:35:36	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xa82d79…
09-07 12:32:25	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x814c2b…
09-07 12:32:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x447b60…
09-07 12:31:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xb35b3e…
09-07 12:30:40	BNB Up or Down - September 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x6e1e55…
09-07 12:30:33	BNB Up or Down - September 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xd2c4e1…
09-07 12:30:06	ZCash Up or Down - September 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd5b31d…
09-07 12:30:06	BNB Up or Down - September 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x968644…
09-07 12:30:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x74b246…
09-07 12:30:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0b1396…
09-07 12:30:06	Solana Up or Down - September 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x04df3e…
09-07 12:30:04	XRP Up or Down - September 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfc527c…
09-07 12:30:04	XRP Up or Down - September 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe3ee5d…
09-07 12:30:04	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xcd6e7e…
09-07 12:30:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x8eebdd…
09-07 12:30:04	BNB Up or Down - September 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x794e91…
09-07 12:30:04	ZCash Up or Down - September 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x5bbcc2…
09-07 12:26:09	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x1100dd…
09-07 12:25:57	Solana Up or Down - September 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0xf30bd1…
09-07 12:25:52	XRP Up or Down - September 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xf64c8d…
09-07 12:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xa98ab9…
09-07 12:25:04	BNB Up or Down - September 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc57310…
09-07 12:25:04	Solana Up or Down - September 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc29c9f…
09-07 12:25:04	XRP Up or Down - September 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9f4ec0…
09-07 12:25:04	ZCash Up or Down - September 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x91eee2…
09-07 12:25:04	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5f074f…
09-07 12:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x120c37…
09-07 12:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x72a3ae…
09-07 12:21:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x6d3eb3…
09-07 12:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xffc9a8…
09-07 12:20:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x21f185…
09-06 18:34:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x134f75…
09-06 18:30:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfdbede…
09-06 18:25:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdf4443…
09-06 07:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xcd6613…
09-06 07:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6b7afe…
09-06 07:05:06	ZCash Up or Down - September 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0878cf…
09-06 07:00:06	Solana Up or Down - September 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6ac90e…
09-06 06:55:21	BNB Up or Down - September 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xfa0f31…
09-06 06:55:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x113c3c…
09-06 06:55:06	BNB Up or Down - September 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x71d728…
09-06 06:50:24	Solana Up or Down - September 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$2	0x4010d7…
09-06 06:50:09	Solana Up or Down - September 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc1888c…
09-06 06:45:09	BNB Up or Down - September 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0d0c6f…
09-06 06:45:06	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x5e45bf…
09-06 06:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x79d3c8…
09-06 06:40:45	BNB Up or Down - September 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xcc5d41…
09-06 06:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x37c9b8…
09-06 06:40:06	BNB Up or Down - September 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x46eb3f…
09-06 06:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xf7f14e…
09-06 06:35:09	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5be732…
09-06 06:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe35f9f…
09-06 06:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x8918ae…
09-06 06:25:12	XRP Up or Down - September 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x530743…
09-06 06:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3e7676…
09-06 06:25:06	XRP Up or Down - September 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x334f72…
09-06 06:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5cfb18…
09-06 06:20:07	Solana Up or Down - September 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5a2c6d…
09-06 06:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xc8476b…
09-06 06:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8dd762…