Substantial-Stirfry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.2%

Resolved

Trades

326

lifetime

Volume

$13.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 05-07 08:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 85% +$16

Other

8% 25% $-23

Politics

6% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	6	$520	631	0	+631	Up	$-318	05-06 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	7	$520	532	0	+532	Down	+$12	05-06 19:14
btc updown 5m 1771862700	2	$433	491	0	+491	open	—	02-23 16:09
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	1	$400	402	0	+402	open	—	04-23 17:34
btc updown 5m 1771862100	3	$331	431	0	+431	open	—	02-23 15:59
btc updown 5m 1771861800	5	$323	331	0	+331	open	—	02-23 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	6	$311	350	0	+350	Up	+$39	05-06 17:09
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$308	385	0	+385	open	—	04-14 18:50
btc updown 5m 1771861500	2	$301	323	0	+323	open	—	02-23 15:50
btc updown 5m 1776188400	2	$270	280	0	+280	open	—	04-14 17:42
btc updown 5m 1776187800	2	$259	271	0	+271	open	—	04-14 17:34
btc updown 5m 1771857900	3	$257	267	0	+267	open	—	02-23 14:49
btc updown 5m 1776187500	1	$254	259	0	+259	open	—	04-14 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	5	$231	259	0	+259	Down	+$28	05-06 18:39
btc updown 5m 1771855500	2	$205	208	0	+208	open	—	02-23 14:09
dota2 stels yes 2026 02 23	2	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	02-23 15:19
will germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$201	103	103	+0	open	—	02-10 16:32
btc updown 5m 1776186600	2	$200	212	0	+212	open	—	04-14 17:14
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Anna Bondar	2	$200	204	0	+204	open	—	04-27 15:29
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$200	216	0	+216	open	—	04-27 11:55
btc updown 5m 1771857300	4	$199	250	0	+250	open	—	02-23 14:39
btc updown 5m 1771861200	2	$193	304	0	+304	open	—	02-23 15:44
btc updown 5m 1771854600	3	$189	196	0	+196	open	—	02-23 13:54
btc updown 5m 1771860900	1	$179	194	0	+194	open	—	02-23 15:38
nba nop cha 2026 02 02	4	$164	108	108	+0	open	—	02-02 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	6	$154	163	19	+143	Down	$-3	05-06 17:48
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$143	80	80	+0	open	—	02-03 11:55
btc updown 5m 1771859100	5	$140	154	0	+154	open	—	02-23 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	5	$140	152	0	+152	Up	+$12	05-05 05:18
btc updown 5m 1776188700	4	$130	135	0	+135	open	—	04-14 17:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 08:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xf2c5a1…
05-07 07:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0xf8d502…
05-07 07:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8e8b99…
05-06 19:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x87448e…
05-06 19:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x266aa6…
05-06 19:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x5af2f0…
05-06 19:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xe3e82a…
05-06 19:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x01162f…
05-06 19:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xb9b09a…
05-06 19:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xaac8c1…
05-06 19:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa08d40…
05-06 19:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa71517…
05-06 19:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbe6e65…
05-06 19:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x2adb1d…
05-06 19:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5c6b9d…
05-06 19:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x50a258…
05-06 19:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x9295e4…
05-06 19:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf2f5a6…
05-06 19:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x868a12…
05-06 18:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x5208f4…
05-06 18:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xf3bf7b…
05-06 18:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xd8cfa9…
05-06 18:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x8bd4fc…
05-06 18:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0x573518…
05-06 18:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x29fa0b…
05-06 18:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x550d94…
05-06 18:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	114	87¢	$100	0xe8d280…
05-06 18:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x44874a…
05-06 17:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xe52d63…
05-06 17:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x5dd165…
05-06 17:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x744981…
05-06 17:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xadfad5…
05-06 17:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xaad34d…
05-06 17:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xe86090…
05-06 17:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	19	20¢	$4	0x248574…
05-06 17:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa33b2c…
05-06 17:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x8ad2fc…
05-06 17:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x54af06…
05-06 17:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x89f1fa…
05-06 17:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xfacb56…
05-06 17:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xb4b997…
05-06 17:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xbb6695…
05-06 17:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xfd8281…
05-06 17:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x03af58…
05-06 17:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x981f3e…
05-06 17:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x80d811…
05-06 17:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x9e71ed…
05-06 17:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x66deed…
05-06 17:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x3d9f77…
05-06 17:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x220b45…
05-06 17:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x7ea481…
05-06 17:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x7022ef…
05-06 17:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x9f9cbf…
05-06 17:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x676c1f…
05-06 17:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x57da9d…
05-06 17:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x7e3634…
05-06 15:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x98e5b7…
05-06 13:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5fcf98…
05-06 11:20:58	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marco Trungelliti vs Zachary Svajda	Marco Trungelliti	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x12620d…
05-06 11:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcd8a23…
05-06 11:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x56200a…
05-06 11:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x7c98e5…
05-06 11:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x04a9cf…
05-06 11:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x3d134d…
05-06 10:57:38	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Zhizhen Zhang vs Daniel Altmaier	Zhizhen Zhang	SELL	14	50¢	$7	0xed3a20…
05-06 10:57:18	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Zhizhen Zhang vs Daniel Altmaier	Daniel Altmaier	SELL	17	49¢	$8	0xa9b9a0…
05-06 10:31:02	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Zhizhen Zhang vs Daniel Altmaier	Zhizhen Zhang	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x044e39…
05-06 10:30:42	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jenson Brooksby vs Sebastian Baez	Sebastian Baez	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x8c673d…
05-06 09:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x09ad16…
05-06 09:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x3c67ae…
05-06 08:21:30	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Zhizhen Zhang vs Daniel Altmaier	Daniel Altmaier	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xe92e58…
05-06 08:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xce53a8…
05-06 08:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x589e3f…
05-06 08:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x792634…
05-06 08:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x24b9d2…
05-06 08:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x440e55…
05-06 08:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x61e0d4…
05-05 22:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xf76111…
05-05 22:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x1c55c5…
05-05 22:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x2be977…
05-05 22:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xc29526…
05-05 22:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x170cc6…
05-05 20:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x21b841…
05-05 20:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xb56ee5…
05-05 20:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xbddcba…
05-05 17:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x600630…
05-05 17:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x93cbaa…
05-05 15:51:56	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch	Mayar Sherif	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x360d3b…
05-05 15:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x274ed1…
05-05 15:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xcea885…
05-05 15:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xc115bd…
05-05 15:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x4336a7…
05-05 15:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xa02b84…
05-05 15:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x796fe3…
05-05 12:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xa6ba75…
05-05 12:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x6e97cc…
05-05 12:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x0d54b7…
05-05 12:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x9ae656…
05-05 11:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xe20396…
05-05 11:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xba9512…