Fearful-Oar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$688

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 10-20 02:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

60% 100% +$1

Crypto

19% 100% +$0

Tech

17% 100% +$0

Politics

4% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	1	$79	79	+79	No	+$0	06-12 09:29
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	1	$78	78	+78	No	+$0	05-26 01:40
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	1	$63	64	+64	No	+$0	03-11 03:03
open above 1pt5 on february 20 2026	1	$60	60	+60	Yes	+$0	02-20 17:05
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	1	$53	54	+54	Yes	+$0	04-09 02:33
ethereum above 2700 on february 2	1	$50	50	+50	No	+$0	02-02 09:26
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?	1	$47	47	+47	No	+$0	09-10 08:47
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	2	$45	45	+45	No	+$0	07-19 03:17
will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	1	$45	45	+45	No	+$0	03-11 03:04
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	1	$40	40	+40	No	+$0	05-06 07:09
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	1	$38	38	+38	No	+$0	05-06 07:08
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	1	$32	32	+32	No	+$0	08-10 06:51
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	1	$31	31	+31	No	+$0	09-01 08:11
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	10-20 02:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 02:07:38	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb94b66…
09-10 08:47:31	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xad69f2…
09-01 08:11:27	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xa8db29…
08-10 06:51:36	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x531085…
07-19 03:17:18	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe842e1…
07-19 02:44:00	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf6026d…
06-12 09:29:52	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xe4dc7c…
05-26 01:40:37	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x79bf3a…
05-06 07:09:10	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x3ff52f…
05-06 07:08:32	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x34ebe3…
04-09 02:33:41	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0xc54d7c…
03-11 03:04:39	will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x5c15de…
03-11 03:03:53	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	BUY	64	100¢	$63	0x557033…
02-20 17:05:18	open above 1pt5 on february 20 2026	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x1b5cb3…
02-02 09:26:26	ethereum above 2700 on february 2	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd26981…