Surprised-Watch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-04 12:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 50% $-3

Other

31% — —

Politics

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 8	1	$114	114	+114	open	—	01-07 12:22
will xrp reach 2pt3 december 29 january 4	1	$109	109	+109	open	—	01-03 09:04
will the price of ethereum be between 2900 3000 on january 14	1	$105	105	+105	open	—	01-14 12:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	1	$102	102	+102	open	—	04-30 12:10
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 12	1	$102	102	+102	open	—	04-12 09:30
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	1	$102	102	+102	open	—	04-25 11:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	1	$102	102	+102	open	—	05-04 03:51
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 17	1	$102	102	+102	open	—	04-17 12:30
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 20	1	$102	102	+102	open	—	04-20 11:20
bitcoin above 60k on march 9	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	03-09 13:43
will ethereum reach 2800 march 16 22	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	03-21 10:49
xrp above 1pt2 on march 6	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	03-06 13:22
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	03-23 10:37
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 380 399	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	04-01 11:55
highest temperature in lucknow on march 13 2026 36corbelow	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	03-13 13:46
will ethereum dip to 1600 march 30 april 5	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	04-05 06:31
will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on april 10	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	04-08 11:25
will radarscope be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 17	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	03-17 11:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	05-21 12:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	1	$87	87	+87	Yes	+$0	05-10 12:12
meta above 660 on january 23 2026	1	$61	61	+61	open	—	01-21 11:47
ethereum above 1800 on march 4	1	$52	52	+52	open	—	03-04 10:50
lol kcb fnc 2026 02 02	1	$51	62	+62	open	—	02-02 11:29
will the price of solana be between 90 100 on january 27	1	$49	49	+49	open	—	01-26 11:46
will threads be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 23	1	$49	49	+49	open	—	01-21 10:50
bitcoin above 64k on march 4	1	$48	48	+48	open	—	03-04 10:28
ethereum above 2700 on january 26	1	$46	46	+46	open	—	01-26 11:56
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 380 399	1	$46	46	+46	open	—	02-09 13:01
will the us next strike iran on february 9 2026 et	1	$29	30	+30	open	—	02-09 12:53
will shelter opening weekend box office be between 3m and 3pt5m	1	$26	26	+26	open	—	02-02 11:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 12:07:48	will wti crude oil wti hit high 175 in june	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2af422…
06-04 12:07:42	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdb7c48…
05-21 12:06:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x5f4676…
05-10 12:12:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x1161d3…
05-10 11:49:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x9c1298…
05-04 03:51:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x436930…
04-30 12:10:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x11de11…
04-25 11:28:30	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xebc6da…
04-20 11:20:00	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 20	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xc28127…
04-17 12:30:22	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 17	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xe2b6c5…
04-12 09:30:27	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 12	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x4462e2…
04-08 11:25:27	will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on april 10	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xbef115…
04-05 06:31:11	will ethereum dip to 1600 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x3e71f4…
04-03 11:01:47	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 4	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3598ac…
04-01 11:55:15	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 380 399	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x802f78…
03-23 10:37:19	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x54859d…
03-21 10:49:41	will ethereum reach 2800 march 16 22	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xbac664…
03-17 11:54:03	will radarscope be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 17	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x85d8ec…
03-13 13:46:27	highest temperature in lucknow on march 13 2026 36corbelow	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x78cfa1…
03-09 13:43:17	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x7b10d6…
03-06 13:22:21	xrp above 1pt2 on march 6	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x41d1d4…
03-04 10:50:55	ethereum above 1800 on march 4	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x017251…
03-04 10:28:35	bitcoin above 64k on march 4	Yes	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x220fba…
02-09 13:16:07	will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa9119e…
02-09 13:01:27	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 380 399	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xb4ecdf…
02-09 12:53:57	will the us next strike iran on february 9 2026 et	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xd8e0bc…
02-02 12:23:00	will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 8	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x15a1ad…
02-02 12:20:24	solana above 90 on february 2	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x6ded27…
02-02 12:15:58	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	No	BUY	23	84¢	$19	0xd43d70…
02-02 11:44:06	will shelter opening weekend box office be between 3m and 3pt5m	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xdd9ccd…
02-02 11:30:50	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 420 439	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x7c1f1b…
02-02 11:29:40	lol kcb fnc 2026 02 02	Fnatic	BUY	62	82¢	$51	0xf35887…
01-26 12:03:25	will there be 4 6 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc9eda3…
01-26 11:56:55	ethereum above 2700 on january 26	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x1cf14a…
01-26 11:46:05	will the price of solana be between 90 100 on january 27	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x1e52e2…
01-21 11:47:40	meta above 660 on january 23 2026	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x266a12…
01-21 10:50:06	will threads be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 23	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x3cfbc1…
01-14 12:40:38	will the price of ethereum be between 2900 3000 on january 14	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xf9f5f7…
01-14 12:39:00	will the price of xrp be greater than 2pt60 on january 15	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x18bf98…
01-07 12:22:35	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 8	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x90fc9e…
01-03 09:21:07	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3400 on january 4	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x278dd2…
01-03 09:05:03	bitcoin above 80k on january 3	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xfcc84b…
01-03 09:04:29	will xrp reach 2pt3 december 29 january 4	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x53e816…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	26	$3.03K	982	06-08 14:05
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	24	$2.79K	1,596	04-16 17:25
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	22	$32.6K	796	06-09 13:04
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	20	$971	370	03-23 01:58
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	16	$21.9K	507	05-21 10:07
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	14	$801	646	05-19 15:09
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	13	$20.7K	1,943	04-02 00:10
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	13	$8.85K	804	03-27 19:15