Cautious-Angel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$37

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,372

lifetime

Volume

$76.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 05-15 11:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 71% +$38

Other

0% 0% $-1

Politics

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774195200	4	$1.5K	1,216	1,204	+12	open	—	03-22 16:04
btc updown 5m 1774194600	4	$1.5K	904	897	+8	open	—	03-22 15:54
btc updown 5m 1774194900	2	$1.0K	580	576	+5	open	—	03-22 15:59
btc updown 5m 1774179900	4	$900	469	468	+0	open	—	03-22 11:48
btc updown 5m 1774054200	2	$899	463	462	+0	open	—	03-21 00:54
btc updown 5m 1774141500	2	$880	444	444	+0	open	—	03-22 01:09
btc updown 5m 1774143900	2	$873	464	463	+0	open	—	03-22 01:48
btc updown 5m 1774148700	4	$863	460	460	+1	open	—	03-22 03:08
btc updown 5m 1774149000	2	$857	440	440	+0	open	—	03-22 03:13
btc updown 5m 1774146300	2	$846	441	441	+0	open	—	03-22 02:28
btc updown 5m 1774048200	4	$838	438	437	+1	open	—	03-20 23:15
btc updown 5m 1774148400	2	$825	426	426	+0	open	—	03-22 03:03
btc updown 5m 1774150500	5	$821	542	504	+39	open	—	03-22 03:39
btc updown 5m 1774147500	2	$806	411	411	+0	open	—	03-22 02:49
btc updown 5m 1774179600	4	$804	437	398	+40	open	—	03-22 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	4	$800	450	450	+0	Down	+$32	05-06 11:28
btc updown 5m 1774178700	3	$797	415	415	+0	open	—	03-22 11:27
btc updown 5m 1774047900	2	$777	398	397	+0	open	—	03-20 23:08
btc updown 5m 1774178400	2	$752	392	391	+0	open	—	03-22 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$734	408	408	+0	Down	+$56	05-06 12:29
btc updown 5m 1774195800	2	$727	409	407	+3	open	—	03-22 16:14
btc updown 5m 1774177200	3	$717	427	376	+50	open	—	03-22 11:04
btc updown 5m 1774155900	2	$697	370	370	+0	open	—	03-22 05:09
btc updown 5m 1774172100	4	$692	379	378	+1	open	—	03-22 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$680	347	347	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 12:22
btc updown 5m 1774169400	2	$675	347	347	+0	open	—	03-22 08:54
btc updown 5m 1774041900	4	$666	399	397	+2	open	—	03-20 21:29
btc updown 5m 1774173900	2	$665	348	348	+0	open	—	03-22 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	4	$651	408	408	+0	Up	+$31	05-06 12:18
btc updown 5m 1774196400	4	$650	390	387	+3	open	—	03-22 16:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 11:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	131	68¢	$90	0x47d480…
05-15 11:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	102	90¢	$92	0xb88874…
05-15 11:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	102	91¢	$93	0xcbbb0e…
05-15 11:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	98	97¢	$95	0x69632a…
05-15 11:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	98	78¢	$76	0x4014db…
05-15 11:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	111	71¢	$79	0x14fd8c…
05-15 11:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	111	55¢	$61	0x7ad721…
05-15 11:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x72d520…
05-15 11:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	71	91¢	$64	0x54b1e9…
05-15 11:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	71	78¢	$55	0x7a5979…
05-11 00:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd0a0a1…
05-06 12:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	551	70¢	$388	0x5b1fe4…
05-06 12:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	408	97¢	$395	0xb3c133…
05-06 12:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	408	83¢	$339	0xe809d8…
05-06 12:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	347	98¢	$340	0x808847…
05-06 12:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	347	98¢	$340	0xac2af7…
05-06 12:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	32	7¢	$2	0x1e02a4…
05-06 12:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	376	90¢	$338	0x81baab…
05-06 12:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	376	80¢	$300	0xd371a1…
05-06 12:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x257e5c…
05-06 12:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	411	80¢	$328	0x096b9e…
05-06 12:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	411	65¢	$266	0xb22c09…
05-06 12:04:40	Will "Influencer" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf871aa…
05-06 11:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	289	96¢	$276	0xfc4741…
05-06 11:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	289	82¢	$238	0x0c77c2…
05-06 11:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xbbcfd5…
05-06 11:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	243	99¢	$241	0xeddf1d…
05-06 11:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	243	94¢	$230	0xcf9371…
05-06 11:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	22	36¢	$8	0x17fab2…
05-06 11:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x2c5bfe…
05-06 11:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	249	95¢	$236	0xcb4701…
05-06 11:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	249	88¢	$219	0xb9c735…
05-06 11:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	242	92¢	$222	0x8130e5…
05-06 11:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	242	84¢	$204	0x3b572b…
05-06 11:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	34¢	$5	0x732c75…
05-06 11:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	220	96¢	$211	0xb68b27…
05-06 11:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0x2f4dae…
05-06 11:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	230	89¢	$205	0x34af17…
05-06 11:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	230	80¢	$184	0x05e2aa…
05-06 11:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xb2d2b8…
05-06 11:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	225	85¢	$191	0x06e60a…
05-06 11:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	225	70¢	$156	0x5c30d1…
05-06 11:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	42	91¢	$38	0x21f328…
05-06 11:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7ba3dd…
05-06 11:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	42	81¢	$34	0xa9c4b5…
05-06 11:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xfcc6f0…
05-06 11:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xbdcb90…
05-06 11:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	185	91¢	$169	0x0ef932…
05-06 11:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	185	89¢	$165	0x40c1c1…
05-06 10:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0xe94443…
05-06 10:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0xfce730…
05-06 10:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	179	92¢	$165	0x5e4f39…
05-06 10:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	179	85¢	$152	0xc1b5ff…
05-06 10:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x05b91b…
05-06 10:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	42	72¢	$30	0x77763b…
05-06 10:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x920921…
05-06 10:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	25	25¢	$6	0xb9aa7c…
05-06 10:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x750060…
05-06 10:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	162	91¢	$147	0x3b07b2…
05-06 10:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	162	73¢	$118	0x550fb9…
05-06 10:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xafbd1e…
05-06 10:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	134	91¢	$122	0x72da07…
05-06 10:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	134	80¢	$107	0x674414…
05-06 10:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	147	75¢	$110	0xb95e88…
05-06 10:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	147	88¢	$129	0x53bfcd…
05-06 09:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	132	98¢	$130	0xf5def4…
05-06 09:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	132	90¢	$119	0x39f39c…
05-06 09:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x6fd745…
05-06 09:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	140	88¢	$123	0x64a9ce…
05-06 09:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	140	59¢	$83	0xa18bfa…
05-06 09:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe54e86…
05-06 00:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	155	60¢	$93	0x2e40e4…
05-06 00:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	155	52¢	$80	0x412970…
05-06 00:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x86c1b7…
05-06 00:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x432277…
05-06 00:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	101	80¢	$81	0x2e6164…
05-06 00:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	101	89¢	$90	0x28a50d…
05-06 00:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x76d059…
05-06 00:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	115	81¢	$93	0xfe0a33…
05-06 00:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	115	91¢	$105	0x8775d8…
05-06 00:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe2a565…
05-06 00:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	114	94¢	$107	0xa70c6d…
05-06 00:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	114	92¢	$105	0xdca4c2…
05-06 00:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	21	81¢	$17	0xdcd4ca…
05-06 00:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xa1aae5…
05-06 00:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x063ea2…
05-06 00:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x97b5c6…
05-06 00:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	99	99¢	$98	0x6a09c5…
05-06 00:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	99	94¢	$93	0x5682fc…
05-06 00:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	99	95¢	$94	0xeef3a4…
05-06 00:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	99	83¢	$82	0x20aad3…
05-05 15:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xbd0a74…
05-05 15:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	83	96¢	$80	0x4a3b41…
05-05 15:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	83	72¢	$60	0x3d826b…
05-05 15:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	67	98¢	$66	0x2c739e…
05-05 15:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	67	88¢	$59	0xdc3c6e…
05-05 15:03:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x227e2b…
05-05 15:03:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x1aec7b…
05-05 15:03:48	Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0x79b083…
05-05 15:03:44	Will Trump post "Blockade" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0xae802c…